| Literature DB >> 26818069 |
Roland Faigle1, Elisabeth B Marsh2, Rafael H Llinas2, Victor C Urrutia2, Rebecca F Gottesman2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patients receiving intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) for acute ischemic stroke are at risk of developing complications, commonly necessitating admission to an intensive care unit (ICU). At present, most IVT is administered in the Emergency Department or in dedicated stroke units, but no evidence-based criteria exist that allow for early identification of patients at increased risk of developing ICU needs. The present study describes a novel prediction score aiming to identify a subpopulation of post-IVT patients at high risk for critical care interventions.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 26818069 PMCID: PMC4730614 DOI: 10.1186/s13054-016-1195-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care ISSN: 1364-8535 Impact factor: 9.097
Baseline characteristics of all IVT patients by critical care needs (n = 290)
| Characteristics | All patients | With critical care needs | Without critical care needs |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 290) | (n = 72) | (n = 218) | ||
| Age, years: median (IQR) | 64 (53–78) | 68.5 (57–79.5) | 63 (51–77) | 0.038 |
| Sex, male: n (%) | 146 (50.3) | 42 (58.3) | 104 (47.7) | 0.118 |
| Race, black: n (%) | 137 (47.2) | 45 (62.5) | 92 (42.2) | 0.003 |
| NIHSS: median (IQR) | 7 (5–12) | 9 (5–16) | 7 (5–11) | <0.001 |
| BP, mm Hg: median (IQR) | ||||
| SBP | 159 (142–181) | 180 (161–203) | 152 (140–174) | <0.001 |
| DBP | 90 (80–100) | 100 (87–112) | 87 (79–100) | <0.001 |
| IVT window <3 h: n (%) | 202 (69.7) | 48 (66.7) | 154 (70.6) | 0.525 |
| Medical comorbidities: n (%) | ||||
| Hypertension | 235 (81.0) | 65 (90.3) | 170 (78.0) | 0.021 |
| Hyperlipidemia | 146 (50.3) | 38 (52.8) | 108 (49.5) | 0.634 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 78 (26.9) | 23 (31.9) | 55 (25.2) | 0.265 |
| Coronary artery disease | 69 (23.8) | 17 (23.6) | 52 (23.9) | 0.967 |
| Reduced ejection fraction | 28 (9.7) | 8 (11.1) | 20 (9.2) | 0.639 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 58 (20.0) | 19 (26.4) | 39 (17.9) | 0.118 |
| Prior ischemic stroke/TIA | 80 (27.6) | 22 (30.6) | 58 (26.6) | 0.516 |
| Smoking | 92 (31.8) | 18 (25.0) | 74 (33.9) | 0.157 |
| Medications: n (%) | ||||
| Antiplatelet agent | 130 (44.8) | 31 (43.1) | 99 (45.4) | 0.727 |
| Anticoagulation | 17 (5.9) | 4 (5.6) | 13 (6.0) | 1.000 |
| Statin | 110 (37.9) | 23 (31.9) | 87 (39.9) | 0.227 |
| Glucose, mg/dl: median (IQR) | 120 (103–157) | 129 (106–166) | 117 (101–148) | 0.036 |
| Creatinine, mg/dl: median (IQR) | 1.0 (0.9-1.3) | 1.1 (0.9-1.4) | 1.0 (0.8-1.3) | 0.008 |
| GFR <60 ml/min: n (%) | 87 (30.0) | 23 (31.9) | 64 (29.4) | 0.678 |
| Stroke locationa: n (%) | 0.204 | |||
| Supratentorial | 268 (92.4) | 64 (88.9) | 204 (93.6) | |
| Right-hemispheric | 119 (44.4) | 31 (48.4) | 88 (43.1) | |
| Left-hemispheric | 149 (55.6) | 33 (51.6) | 116 (56.9) | |
| Infratentorial | 22 (7.6) | 8 (11.1) | 14 (6.4) | |
| LOS, days: median (IQR) | 4 (3–7) | 6 (5–12.5) | 4 (3–6) | <0.001 |
| ICU stay, days: median (IQR) | 1 (1–2) | 2 (2–5) | 1 (1–2) | <0.001 |
| Final diagnosis: n (%) | 0.074 | |||
| Stroke | 247 (85.2) | 66 (91.7) | 181 (83.0) | |
| Stroke mimic | 43 (14.8) | 6 (8.3) | 37 (17.0) | |
| Discharge to home: n (%) | 163 (56.2) | 21 (29.2) | 142 (65.1) | <0.001 |
| Mortality: n (%) | 17 (5.9) | 15 (20.8) | 2 (0.9) | <0.001 |
aLocation was confirmed by neuroimaging, or was presumed based on clinical presentation in cases where subsequent imaging was negative for ischemia; p values are for comparison of patients with and without critical care needs. BP blood pressure, DBP diastolic BP, GFR glomerular filtration rate, ICU intensive care unit, IQR interquartile range, IVT intravenous thrombolysis, LOS length of stay, NIHSS NIH Stroke Scale, SBP systolic BP, TIA transient ischemic attack
Multivariable analysis for predictors of critical care needs in the development group
| Variable | Odds ratio | 95 % CI |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, per 10 years | 1.33 | 0.94-1.89 | 0.102 |
| Black race | 3.81 | 1.46-9.93 | 0.006 |
| Male sex | 3.79 | 1.42-10.10 | 0.008 |
| Systolic blood pressure, per 10 mm Hg | 1.45 | 1.19-1.77 | <0.001 |
| Glucose, per 50 mg/dl | 1.25 | 0.89-1.77 | 0.193 |
| National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale | 1.09 | 0.99-1.19 | 0.071 |
Fig. 1Receiver operating characteristics curve for the score model predicting critical care needs in the validation group. The area under the curve (AUC) of 0.782 shows that the model is predictive of critical care after intravenous thrombolysis
Determination of the Intensive Care After Thrombolysis (ICAT) score
| Score component | ICAT score points |
|---|---|
| Male sex | |
| No | 0 |
| Yes | 1 |
| Black race | |
| No | 0 |
| Yes | 1 |
| Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg | |
| <160 | 0 |
| 160-200 | 2 |
| >200 | 4 |
| National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, score | |
| ≤6 | 0 |
| 7–12 | 1 |
| ≥13 | 2 |
| Total score | 0–8 |
Sensitivity and specificity of the Intensive Care After Thrombolysis (ICAT) score by cut point
| ICAT cut point | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Correctly classified (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≥2 | 97.2 | 28.0 | 45.2 |
| ≥3 | 84.7 | 55.1 | 62.4 |
| ≥4 | 69.4 | 80.7 | 77.9 |
| ≥5 | 45.8 | 94.0 | 82.1 |
| ≥6 | 23.6 | 97.3 | 79.0 |