Base excess determined within one hour of admission predicts mortality in patients with severe pelvic fractures and severe hemorrhagic shock.

BACKGROUND: Unstable pelvic ring fractures with exsanguinating hemorrhages are rare but potentially lifethreatening injuries. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate whether early changes in acid- base parameters predict mortality of patients with severe pelvic trauma and hemorrhagic shock.
METHODS: Data for 50 patients with pelvic ring disruption and severe hemorrhage were analyzed retrospectively. In all patients, the pelvic ring was temporarily stabilized by C-clamp. Patients with ongoing bleeding underwent laparotomy with extra and/or intraperitoneal pelvic packing, as required. Base excess, lactate, and pH were measured upon admission and at 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, and 12 h postadmission. Patients were categorized as early survivors (surviving the first 12 h after admission) and nonsurvivors. Statistical analysis was performed by Mann-Whitney test; significance was assumed at p < 0.05. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated for early mortality from each acid-base variable.
RESULTS: Sixteen patients (32%) were nonsurvivors due to hemorrhagic shock (n = 13) or severe traumatic brain injury (n = 3). Thirty-four patients were early survivors. Base excess, lactate, and pH significantly discriminated between early survivors and nonsurvivors. Base excess determined 1 h after admission discriminated most strongly, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.915 (95% confidence interval, 0.836-0.993; p < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: Base excess, lactate, and pH discriminate early survivors from nonsurvivors suffering from severe pelvic trauma and hemorrhagic shock. Base excess measured 1 h after admission best predicted early mortality following pelvic trauma with concomitant hemorrhage.