Ties A Mulders1, Catalin Taraboanta2, Lotte C Franken1, Eddy van Heel3, Gunter Klass3, Bruce B Forster4, Yadon Arad5, S Matthijs Boekholdt6, Maarten Groenink6, Jiri Fröhlich2, Alan D Guerci7, Erik S G Stroes1, Sara-Joan Pinto-Sietsma8. 1. Department of Vascular Medicine, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. 2. Healthy Heart Prevention Clinic, Providence Heart and Lung Institute, St. Paul Hospital, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. 3. Prescan, Hengelo, The Netherlands. 4. Department of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. 5. Tiara Pharmaceuticals, Los Altos, CA, USA. 6. Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. 7. Department of Cardiology, St. Francis Hospital, Roslyn, NY, USA. 8. Department of Vascular Medicine, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Electronic address: s.j.pinto@amc.nl.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: There is discussion about incorporating a family history (FamHis) of premature coronary artery disease (CAD) in risk score algorithms. However, FamHis provides information on individual risk. Coronary artery calcification score (CACS) is a metric of atherosclerosis that may determine the individual risk within families at high risk of premature CAD. METHODS: In asymptomatic individuals (n = 704), we assessed the association between FamHis of CAD and elevated CACS. To assess the predictive value of CACS in individuals with a FamHis of CAD, we performed a post-hoc analysis on the St. Francis Heart Study (n = 834). We assessed, in a case control design, the risk of future CAD in individuals with a FamHis of CAD and either CACS >80th percentile or no CACS at all. RESULTS: Individuals with a FamHis for CAD had an increased risk for elevated CACS (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.23 (95% CI 1.48-3.36); p < 0.05), compared to those without a FamHis. In the prospective study (3.5 years follow-up), the event rate equally low in those with a positive FamHis and a negative FamHis (0% vs. 1%), if they had a CAC of 0. However, in those with CACS >80(th) percentile, a FamHis of CAD doubled the CAD event rate (positive FamHis 12.5% vs. negative FamHis 6.8%; adjusted HR 2.08 (95% CI 1.09-3.87; p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: CAC scoring leads to risk discrimination among those with a positive FamHis for premature CAD. These results support testing CAC score in asymptomatic individuals with a positive FamHis to identify a high risk population.
INTRODUCTION: There is discussion about incorporating a family history (FamHis) of premature coronary artery disease (CAD) in risk score algorithms. However, FamHis provides information on individual risk. Coronary artery calcification score (CACS) is a metric of atherosclerosis that may determine the individual risk within families at high risk of premature CAD. METHODS: In asymptomatic individuals (n = 704), we assessed the association between FamHis of CAD and elevated CACS. To assess the predictive value of CACS in individuals with a FamHis of CAD, we performed a post-hoc analysis on the St. Francis Heart Study (n = 834). We assessed, in a case control design, the risk of future CAD in individuals with a FamHis of CAD and either CACS >80th percentile or no CACS at all. RESULTS: Individuals with a FamHis for CAD had an increased risk for elevated CACS (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.23 (95% CI 1.48-3.36); p < 0.05), compared to those without a FamHis. In the prospective study (3.5 years follow-up), the event rate equally low in those with a positive FamHis and a negative FamHis (0% vs. 1%), if they had a CAC of 0. However, in those with CACS >80(th) percentile, a FamHis of CAD doubled the CAD event rate (positive FamHis 12.5% vs. negative FamHis 6.8%; adjusted HR 2.08 (95% CI 1.09-3.87; p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: CAC scoring leads to risk discrimination among those with a positive FamHis for premature CAD. These results support testing CAC score in asymptomatic individuals with a positive FamHis to identify a high risk population.