| Literature DB >> 26679561 |
Olivia Wesula Lwande1,2, George Omondi Paul3,4, Patrick I Chiyo3,5, Eliud Ng'ang'a6, Viola Otieno7, Vincent Obanda3,8, Magnus Evander1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a fatal arthropod-borne zoonotic disease of livestock and humans. Since the identification of RVF in Kenya in the 1930s, repeated epizootics and epidemics coinciding with El Niño events have occurred in several locations in Africa and Saudi Arabia, causing mass deaths of livestock and humans. RVF is of great interest worldwide because of its negative effect on international livestock trade and its potential to spread globally. The latter is due to the increasing incidence of extreme climatic phenomena caused by global warming, as well as to the increase in global trade and international travel. How RVF is maintained and sustained between epidemics and epizootics is not clearly understood, but it has been speculated that wildlife reservoirs and trans-ovarian transmission in the vector may be important. Several studies have examined the role of wildlife and livestock in isolation or in a limited geographical location within the one country over a short time (usually less than a year). In this study, we examined the seroprevalence of anti-RVF antibodies in cattle and several wildlife species from several locations in Kenya over an inter-epidemic period spanning up to 7 years.Entities:
Keywords: cattle; emerging disease; inter-epidemic period; one-health; trans-boundary disease; zoonosis
Year: 2015 PMID: 26679561 PMCID: PMC4683986 DOI: 10.3402/iee.v5.30106
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Infect Ecol Epidemiol ISSN: 2000-8686
Fig. 1Map of Kenya showing locations of sampled animals during the study.
Variation in seroprevalence of antibodies to RVFV in different wildlife species
| Category |
| Seroprevalence (%) | β estimate | Chi-square | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baboon | 34 | 0 | 0.000 | ||
| Black rhino | 7 | 28.6 | 5.932 | 12.745 | <0.001 |
| Buffalo | 95 | 17.9 | 5.431 | 12.487 | <0.001 |
| Elephant | 45 | 22.2 | 5.690 | 13.527 | <0.001 |
| Giraffe | 9 | 0 | 2.515 | 1.103 | 0.294 |
| Vervet monkey | 25 | 0 | 1.441 | 0.301 | 0.584 |
| Warthog | 57 | 8.8 | 4.632 | 8.750 | 0.003 |
| Wildebeest | 21 | 4.8 | 4.039 | 5.904 | 0.015 |
| Zebra | 3 | 0 | 3.582 | 2.059 | 0.151 |
Logistic regression coefficients were compared to baboons as the reference group. Kudu was removed from the analysis because there was only a single sample. RVFV, Rift Valley fever virus.
Annual variation in seroprevalence of IgG to RVFV in wildlife in the years 2008–2015 in Kenya
| Year | Negative | Positive | Seroprevalence (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 23 | 4 | 17.4 |
| 2009 | 52 | 5 | 9.6 |
| 2010 | 25 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 62 | 11 | 17.7 |
| 2014 | 52 | 13 | 25.0 |
| 2015 | 34 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Total | 248 | 33 | 11.6 |
Spatial variation in seroprevalence of IgG to RVFV in Kenyan wildlife by using seroprevalence in Ijara as a reference for assessment of variation between sampling sites
| Source | n | Seroprevalence (%) | β estimate | Chi-square | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ijara | 42 | 7.1 | 0 | ||
| Laikipia | 16 | 12.5 | 0.618 | 1.023 | 0.312 |
| Narok-Maasai Mara | 135 | 17.8 | 1.027 | 6.955 | 0.008 |
| Tsavo | 27 | 14.8 | 0.807 | 2.476 | 0.116 |
| Shanta Abaq | 21 | 9.5 | 0.331 | 0.322 | 0.570 |
| Garissa | 5 | 0.0 | −1.333 | 0.546 | 0.460 |
| Naivasha | 29 | 0.0 | −4.654 | 8.841 | 0.003 |
| Masalani | 20 | 5.0 | −0.253 | 0.144 | 0.704 |
Generalised linear model results showing coefficients of different bivariate models for prediction of seroprevalence of IgG to RVFV in buffalo
| Models/predictor variables | β estimate | Standard error | Z-statistic | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | −2.29507 | 0.53453 | −4.294 | <0.001 |
| Age | 0.14041 | 0.06726 | 2.088 | 0.037 |
| (Intercept) | −1.0361 | 0.351 | −2.952 | 0.003 |
| Males (compared to females) | −0.861 | 0.5611 | −1.535 | 0.125 |
| (Intercept) | −195.164 | 219.9378 | −0.887 | 0.375 |
| Year | 0.09628 | 0.10929 | 0.881 | 0.378 |
| (Intercept) | −1.3269 | 0.312 | −4.253 | <0.001 |
| Tsavo (compared to Narok-Maasai Mara) | −0.3779 | 0.6267 | −0.603 | 0.547 |
The best model for seroprevalence of antibodies to RVFV in buffalo
| Models/predictor variables | β estimate | Standard error | Z-statistic | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | −1.930 | 0.581 | −3.322 | 0.001 |
| Age | 0.146 | 0.070 | 2.090 | 0.037 |
| Male (compared to female) | −0.893 | 0.580 | −1.541 | 0.123 |