Decision analysis in surgical education.

Surgical education can no longer be considered adequate if limited to description of surgical diseases and methods of management. Due to the growth in numbers of surgical diagnostic and therapeutic procedures, the surgeon of the future will find it increasingly necessary to understand the principles by which algorithms are constructed and by which individualized decisions should be made. Several systematic approaches for assisting clinical decision makers have been developed. Decision analysis is particularly appealing because it is flexible and readily adapted to a wide range of clinical situations. It explicitly guides the decision maker in determining the crucial variables in a clinical decision, and permits both objective data and personal preferences to play a part in decision making. Because it provides for personal estimates and preferences, decision analysis is not dehumanizing, even though it is quantitative, explicit, and mathematically rigorous. Topics for a series of seminars or case conferences are suggested. Decision analysis should be part of the intellectual preparation of every clinician.