Parity and Risk of Stroke among Chinese Women: Cross-sectional Evidence from the Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort Study.

Epidemiological studies have investigated the association between parity and the risk of stroke, but the results have been inconsistent. The objective of this study was to assess the association among middle-aged and older Chinese women. We used data from the Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort Study. In total, 14,277 women were included in the analysis. Participants were classified into four groups according to parity. Stroke cases were self-reported during face-to-face interviews. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to investigate the association between parity and the risk of stroke while controlling for potential confounders. The prevalence of stroke among the study subjects was 2.7% (380 of 14,277). In the fully adjusted model, women who had experienced two, three, or four or more live births had 1.24 times (95% CI, 0.85-1.81), 1.97 times (95% CI, 1.30-2.98) and 1.86 times (95% CI, 1.14-3.03), higher risk of stroke, respectively, compared with women who had experienced one live birth. High parity was associated with an increasing risk of stroke in the present study. Further longitudinal studies are needed to confirm the association and to explore the unclear mechanism underlying the link between parity and stroke risk.

Stroke is a global health problem; it is the second most common cause of death and a leading cause of adult disability worldwide1. In China, stroke is the first cause of death and disability-adjusted life-years lost (DALYs lost) according to the global burden of disease (GBD) 2010 and the WHO’s health statistics and information systems23. Stroke remains one of the most devastating of all neurological conditions. Globally, stroke accounts for approximately 5.9 million deaths annually, with 102.2 million disability-adjusted life-years lost according to the GBD 2010 study3. Moreover, the number of patients with stroke will increase in the future because of demographic changes and the inadequate control of major risk factors for stroke. Therefore, it is crucial to identify the risk factors of stroke for the prevention of disease and its complications.

An epidemiological study has shown that stroke has a greater effect on women than on men because women experience more events and are less likely to recover4. The mechanisms for these sex-specific differences are unclear, and it has been argued that female reproductive factors may play a role in the development of stroke. Pregnancy induces dramatic alterations in the physiology, metabolism, and lifestyle. All of these changes may have a long-term influence on women’s prospective health5.

Parity has been reported as a long-term risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD)67. Because of shared factors between CHD and stroke, it may be inferred that the risk of stroke also increases as parity increases. A number of studies have reported positive associations789 between parity and stroke risk. Conversely, several studies have reported a protective effect of parity on stroke risk1011.

With regard to the controversy, the association between parity and risk of stroke remains to be clarified. Therefore, in this study we aimed to examine the association between parity and risk of stroke in middle-aged and older Chinese women based on the data from the Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort Study.

Results

Baseline characteristics

Table 1 presents the subjects’ baseline characteristics according to parity categorized into four groups. Among the 14,277 eligible participants, 380 (2.7%) reported a physician-diagnosed history of stroke. Age increased steadily across parity categories (P for trend < 0.001). The subjects with higher parity tended to have higher BMIs (P for trend <0.001). The incidence of stroke was positively related to parity, at 1.2%, 2.2%, 4.4%, and 5.2% for women who had experienced one, two, three, or four or more live births, respectively. Interestingly, family members of women with higher parity were less likely to suffer from stroke (P for trend < 0.001). Compared with women who had experienced one live birth, women with higher parity (two, three, or four or more live births) were more likely to report physician-diagnosed hypertension and diabetes. Women with higher parity tended to have a lower passive smoking rate and lower educational level (P for trend < 0.001). However, they had a higher smoking rate themselves than did those with a lower parity (P for trend < 0.001). In addition, higher parity women had a lower rate of adopting contraceptive methods or hormone replacement therapy (P for trend < 0.001). All differences for the listed variables except physical activity were statistically significant among different parity groups (P < 0.05).

Table 1

Baseline characteristics of study participants of 14,277 women by parity.

Parity
Characteristics	1(n = 4949)	2(n = 4781)	3(n = 2793)	≥4(n = 1754)	χ2/F	P
Age (y) (means ± SD)	54.19 ± 5.11	60.35 ± 5.78	65.32 ± 6.20	70.30 ± 6.15	4397.71	<0.001**
Marital status					795.23	<0.001*
Unmarried (%)	7(0.1)	11(0.2)	5(0.2)	1(0.1)
Married (%)	4493(91.0)	4172(87.6)	2324(83.3)	1268(72.4)
Widowed (%)	236(4.8)	459(9.6)	432(15.5)	476(27.2)
Divorced (%)	201(4.1)	120(2.5)	29(1.0)	7(0.4)
Education					2855.35	<0.001*
Elementary or below (%)	496(10.1)	1312(27.6)	1272(46.0)	1169(68.1)
Junior high school (%)	1887(38.4)	1932(40.7)	971(35.1)	430(25.0)
High school (%)	2024(41.2)	1150(24.2)	425(15.4)	96(5.6)
College or above (%)	510(10.4)	355(7.5)	97(3.5)	22(1.3)
Smoking status					340.87	<0.001*
Never (%)	4839(98.8)	4641(97.8)	2658(95.9)	1578(90.4)
Current (%)	48(1.0)	84(1.8)	75(2.7)	110(6.3)
Former (%)	12(0.2)	18(0.4)	38(1.4)	58(3.3)
Alcohol consumption					13.52	0.035*
Never (%)	4552(92.0)	4438(92.9)	2603(93.2)	1637(93.3)
Current (%)	348(7.0)	286(6.0)	151(5.4)	97(5.5)
Former (%)	46(0.9)	54(1.1)	38(1.4)	20(1.1)
Passive smoking (%)	1223(24.7)	958(20.1)	482(17.3)	245(14.0)	118.33	<0.001*
Family history of stroke (%)	397(8.1)	292(6.2)	79(2.8)	38(2.2)	138.00	<0.001*
Menopause status (%)	3927(79.4)	4558(95.4)	2725(97.6)	1722(98.2)	1143.58	<0.001*
History of contraceptive use (%)	1238(25.0)	1210(25.4)	614(22.0)	274(15.7)	79.25	<0.001*
History of HRT (%)	193(3.9)	160(3.4)	59(2.1)	24(1.4)	38.61	<0.001*
Hypertension (%)	1746(36.3)	2332(50.0)	1689(61.5)	1140(66.6)	695.97	<0.001*
Diabetes (%)	313(6.3)	562(11.8)	489(17.5)	349(19.9)	335.33	<0.001*
Physical activity (%)	4253(88.1)	4179(87.9)	2466(88.5)	1544(88.2)	0.52	0.92*
Stroke (%)	59(1.2)	106(2.2)	123(4.4)	92(5.2)	122.81	<0.001*
Menopause age	48.71 ± 3.87	49.24 ± 3.69	49.13 ± 3.73	49.10 ± 3.84	14.68	<0.001**
Abortion	1.33 ± 1.20	1.08 ± 1.12	0.92 ± 1.07	0.76 ± 1.03	143.87	<0.001**
BMI (kg/m2)	23.85 ± 3.31	24.55 ± 3.42	25.20 ± 3.62	25.20 ± 3.92	115.18	<0.001**

Note: Abbreviations: y, years; BMI, body mass index; HRT, hormone replacement therapy.

Variables are described as mean ± SD for numerical data and proportion (%) for categorical data.

*Chi-square test.

**ANOVA test.

Parity and stroke risk

Table 2 presents the results of the unadjusted and multivariate adjusted logistic regression models. For each model, the ORs and 95% CIs of stroke for the parity categories are presented. We used five logistic regression models for the evaluation of the relationship between parity and risk of stroke, to control for the major confounders of stroke. Model 1 (the univariate model) showed that women who had experienced two (OR = 1.88; 95% CI, 1.36–2.59), three (OR = 3.82; 95% CI, 2.79–5.23), or four or more live births (OR = 4.59; 95% CI, 3.29–6.39) had a significantly higher risk of stroke compared with women who had experienced one live birth. The results of Model 2 indicated that higher parity (three live births: OR = 2.28; 95% CI, 1.58–3.31; or four or more live births: OR = 2.28; 95% CI, 1.52–3.44) was associated with an increased risk of stroke, after adjustment for education, marital status, smoking status, alcohol consumption, passive smoking, family history of stroke, menopause status, history of contraceptive use, history of hormone replacement therapy, hypertension, diabetes, physical activity, and menopause age. These covariates have previously been reported to be associated with the risk of stroke121314151617. As abortion has a biological process similar to live birth, we added it into the above model. In Model 3, we still observed a significantly higher risk of stroke among women with higher parity (three live births: OR = 2.31; 95% CI, 1.59–3.34; or four or more live births: OR = 2.31; 95% CI, 1.53–3.48), compared with those who had experienced one live birth. Model 4 made an additional adjustment for age, which is a major risk factor for stroke18, and is closely associated with increasing parity. The ORs attenuated but remained statistically significant, ranging from 1.98 (95% CI, 1.31–2.98) for women who had experienced three live births to 1.87 (95% CI, 1.16–3.04) for women who had experienced four or more live births. Finally, in the fully adjusted model (Model 5), that included BMI, a main known risk factor for stroke1219, the ORs were 1.97 (95% CI, 1.30–2.98) for women who had experienced three live births and 1.86 (95% CI, 1.14–3.03) for women who had experienced four or more live births, compared with those with one live birth.

Table 2

Odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of stroke according to parity categories in different logistic regression models.

parity	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 4	Model 5
1	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
2	1.88(1.36–2.59)	1.36(0.95–1.95)	1.36(0.94–1.95)	1.24(0.86–1.81)	1.24(0.85–1.81)
3	3.82(2.79–5.23)	2.28(1.58–3.31)	2.31(1.59–3.34)	1.98(1.31–2.98)	1.97(1.30–2.98)
≥4	4.59(3.29–6.39)	2.28(1.52–3.44)	2.31(1.53–3.48)	1.87(1.16–3.04)	1.86(1.14–3.03)

Note: Model 1: univariate.

Model 2 adjusted for education, marital status, smoking status, alcohol consumption, passive smoking, family history of stroke, menopause status, history of contraceptive use, history of hormone replacement therapy, hypertension, diabetes, physical activity, menopause age.

Model 3 added abortion for adjusting based on Model 2.

Model 4 added age for adjusting based on Model 3.

Model 5 added BMI for adjusting based on Model 4.

Abbreviation: CI, confidence interval; BMI, body mass index.

Parity and stroke prevalence

The age-adjusted and fully adjusted prevalence of stroke is presented by parity in Figs 1 and 2 respectively. In Fig. 1, the age-adjusted prevalence of stroke was higher for each increasing parity group. The fully adjusted prevalence of stroke (Fig. 2) increased from the one live birth group to the three live births group, but declined slowly in the group with four or more live births. However, the prevalence of stroke was still higher among those with four or more live births than among those with one or two live births.

Figure 1

Presents the age-adjusted prevalence of stroke across parity groups, with the circles representing point estimation values and the ranges (including each point) representing 95% confidence intervals.

Figure 2

Presents the fully-adjusted prevalence of stroke in women by parity.

Every circle represents the point estimation value of stroke prevalence and every range line represents the 95% confidence interval.

Discussion

In this large, population-based study, we found that higher parity was associated with a significantly elevated risk of stroke among middle-aged and older Chinese women. After controlling for potential confounders, the association attenuated but remained statistically significant for women who had experienced three or more live births and those who had experienced one live birth, suggesting that higher parity is a risk factor for stroke in this population of Chinese women.

In the current study, women who had experienced one live birth were taken as the reference group. Nulliparity may reflect an inability to conceive or complete a pregnancy because of health factors such as polycystic ovary disease among Chinese women20, a known risk factor for stroke. It was reported that there were significant differences between nulliparous women and parous women of physiology and lifestyle2122. Furthermore, in China, the nulliparous women are mainly because of chronic disease or reproductive disease, which may confound the association between nulliparity and risk of stroke23. Therefore, nulliparous women were excluded from the data analysis to avoid potential bias in our present study.

The findings of our study are consistent with those of previous studies concerning the association between greater number of pregnancies and greater risk of stroke in women beyond typical childbearing age8. For instance, an analysis of women aged 45 to 74 years in the first National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Epidemiology Follow-up Study reported that women who had six or more pregnancies had a 70% higher risk of stroke compared with those who had never been pregnant8. Beral et al., in an earlier British study of middle-aged and elderly women, demonstrated a higher mortality rate from cerebrovascular disease in parous women than in nulliparous women24. A recent Chinese study showed that women who had five or more children had an increased risk for all types of incident stroke, with a subgroup comprised of ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage, and undefined stroke9. The two studies mentioned above found that only grand parity was associated with a higher risk of stroke. However, in the present study, we found that women who had experienced three or more live births had a higher risk of stroke compared with those who had one live birth, after fully adjusting for potential risk factors. In addition, there are reports of positive associations between parity and both carotid atherosclerosis and carotid intima media thickness, which are strong predictors of stroke2526. In contrast to these findings, several studies have shown a decline in the risk for subarachnoid hemorrhage, a subtype of stroke, with increasing parity101127. A study conducted by Mhurchu et al.28 found no association between parity and risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage. In the present study, we observed that the risk of stroke increased as the number of live births increased.

The biologic mechanism underlying the link between parity and stroke has not been well understood. Pregnancy itself is a risk factor for hemorrhagic stroke2930, and the experience of delivery has been reported to increase the risk of intracranial hemorrhage31. Multiparity is a known risk factor for pregnancy-induced hypertension32, which may increase the risk of stroke including ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke in the later life3334. Repeated pregnancies and deliveries may induce physical and psychological stress and also add strain to the cardiovascular system in women with high parity35. During pregnancy, hemodynamic changes and oxidative stress may induce decreased vascular resistance, and during delivery, vascular tension may also cause vessel weakening or aneurysms36, which may induce hemorrhage stroke. Throughout pregnancy, venous compliance increases, which steers the body towards decreased blood flow and increased venous stasis. The hypercoagulability induced by increased venous stasis could cause cerebral venous thrombosis, which is a significant cause of ischemic stroke. Higher parity is associated with increased carotid atherosclerosis, a well known cause of ischemic stroke37. Accumulating evidence suggests that parity is associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality later in life, and especially with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality38. As stroke itself is a kind of cardiovascular disease, the relationship between parity and stroke observed in our study may help to explain the association between parity and cardiovascular disease to some extent.

Pregnancy is a very important period for women, and may result in obesity and postpartum weight retention, which are of crucial importance to a woman’s health in later life539. In China, pregnant women are regarded as the most important people in most families, and they usually have an unhealthy diet of excess nutrition and little engagement in physical activity. Lack of exercise and a high-calorie diet are closely related to increased risks of weight gain and obesity, which were important risk factors for stroke in later life51240. A Chinese study reported that the average pregnancy weight gain was 17.1 ± 4.9 kg among 16,460 Chinese women41, a figure, much higher than the recommended amount of weight gain42. In the present study, the association between parity and stroke risk was attenuated but remained statistically significant after adjustment for BMI. It was reported that high body-mass index (BMI) was a risk factor for ischemic stroke but not for hemorrhagic stroke43. Therefore, BMI may contribute to explaining the association between parity and ischemic stroke risk.

The above-mentioned adverse changes induced by high parity provide biological plausibility for the increased risk of stroke associated with increasing parity in women. While a study conducted by Zhang et al.9 showed a significant positive association between number of children and prevalence of stroke not only in women, but also in their husbands. This suggests that explanations other than the biological consequences of pregnancy may also need to be considered when interpreting study results on high parity and stroke risk. Childrearing may increase anxiety levels because of increased responsibilities, sleep deprivation, and financial and occupational stress, and it has also been associated with adverse changes in lifestyle such as physical inactivity and unhealthy dietary habits644. These childrearing-related anxiety, stress, and adversely changed lifestyle factors may contribute notably to the elevated risk of stroke associated with high parity. In the current study, we did not obtain corresponding information on men particularly their spouses.

Our study has several strengths. A large sample size, structured questionnaires, standardized medical examinations, laboratory measures and accurate measures of potential confounders were used in the study, and information regarding demographics, reproductive health factors, lifestyle behaviors, history of disease, and medical examination results were available and valid in our study. Additionally, our interviewers were blind to the objectives of the research, and all were well trained before conducting the study. Therefore, to our knowledge, ascertainment bias was unlikely in our study.

This study has several limitations that need to be acknowledged. First, our data were cross-sectional. Although we demonstrated that higher parity was associated with risk of stroke in the present study, causal and temporal associations could not be ideally inferred. However, it is reported that the mean onset age of stroke was 64.9 ± 7.0 years old in Chinese women45 and the mean age for childbirth in China was 28.2 years46. Therefore, we could infer the vast majority of women had completed the childbearing before the onset of stroke. In our opinion, parity is likely a causal factor for the development of stroke. Second, stroke cases in the present study were obtained from self-reports without further verification by review of medical records, which may result in potential bias. However, several studies had reported that level of agreement between medical records and self-reporting of stroke was pretty high4748. Self-report of physician diagnosis of stroke might be valid instrument for large epidemiological survey. Consider that the relatively low education level and thus poor public knowledge of stroke for the participants in this study, the self-reported stroke might include the reporting of other stroke-like or stroke-related conditions. On the other hand, participants with mild stroke might tend to under-report the disease. Moreover, there is no specific classification of stroke, because stroke outcome in the present study was assessed through self-report. Therefore, we could not evaluate the associations between parity and the risks of different stroke subtypes. Third, some seriously ill patients with stroke could not participate in the medical examination, and consequently their corresponding information may be missed. Fourth, we did not collect data on some other potential confounders, such as income. Socioeconomic status is known to be related to both number of children and stroke risk, and its confounding effect should be a major concern in evaluating the association between parity and stroke. In our study, we found that adjusting for education attenuated, but did not eliminate, the association. Education has an apparent protective effect on the relationship between parity and stroke risk. We did not collect any other information on socioeconomic status, such as income, and thus we could not ideally evaluate its effects on the results. Additionally, we did not collect information on pregnancy complications and were therefore unable to account for their potential effects on the results. Pregnancy complications such as gestational diabetes, pre-eclampsia, and eclampsia have been associated with an elevated risk of stroke in later life3449. Finally, the findings of our study, conducted among middle-aged and older Chinese women, may not be generalizable to other populations.

In conclusion, parity is associated with the risk of stroke independent of possible confounders. Our findings have significant implications for further longitudinal studies, in which pregnancy complications, more socioeconomic information, and changes in physiology and lifestyle during pregnancy and the postpartum period can be prospectively measured to confirm the effects between parity and stroke. Further studies are also very much needed to explore the unclear mechanism underlying the link between parity and stroke.

Methods

Study participants

Data for the analysis was derived from the base-line survey of Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort Study, which is a collaborative study between Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, and Dongfeng Motor Corporation. The rational, design, fundamentals, and methods of the Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort Study have been described in detail previously50. Briefly, 87% (27,009 out of 31,000) of retired employees at Dongfeng Motor Corporation were recruited and agreed to participate in the study during September 2008 to June 2010. A structured questionnaire was used to collect information on demographic characteristics, lifestyle, disease history, reproduction-related information by trained interviewers. All participants were required to have a medical examination and provide biological samples such as blood, urine.

Among the 27,009 eligible participants, 14,957 were women. For current analysis, we excluded women who never had a live birth (n = 205). The participants who had missing data on parity or on self-reporting stroke were also excluded. All together, 680 participants were excluded from our study. The final sample size for the study was 14,277 women.

Ethics Statement

Written informed consent was obtained from all the participants. The study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology and Dongfeng General Hospital. All the methods in the present study were carried out in accordance with the approved guidelines.

Assessment of Stroke

Individuals with stroke in this study were the survivors from nonfatal stroke. The occurrence of stroke was ascertained by asking the following question: “have you suffered a stroke that was confirmed by a physician?” Every positive response was written down clearly. The patients who suffer aphasia or vascular dementia after stroke may be disabled to describe their medical history. In this situation, their family member was asked to help them to answer the questionnaire in our current study. In the current study, we did not distinguish between ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke.

Assessment of Parity

Parity was defined as the self-reported total number of live births. In this study, parity was classified into four categories: one live birth, two live births, three live births, and four or more live births.

Assessment of covariates

The questionnaire collected demographic information on sex, age, education and marital status (married, unmarried, widowed, divorced). Lifestyle information on smoking status (smoke more than 1 cigarette per day in the previous 6 months), passive smoking (exposure to environmental tobacco smoke for more than 15 minutes per day and more than one day per week over the past 6 months), alcohol drinking status (drink more than once per week in the previous 6 months), and physical activity was also obtained. Physical activity was defined as those who practiced walking, biking, tai chi, jogging, swimming, dancing, climbing stairs, playing ball sports more than 20 minutes per day and more than three times per week over the past 6 months. A positive family history of stroke was defined as the self-reported of at least one first-degree family member (father, mother, siblings, or offspring) being diagnosed by physician as having stroke. The reproduction related information including history of delivery, abortions, menopausal status (pre-menopause, post-menopause), age at menopause, history of contraceptive use, and history of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) were also collected. The anthropometric data included weight, height, waist circumference and systolic and diastolic blood pressures. Results of laboratory tests were obtained by medical examination. The BMI (body mass index) was calculated as the ratio of the weight in kilograms divided by height squared in meters.

Statistical analysis

The analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to test differences in means among four categories of parity for the numerical variables, and chi-square tests were used for categorical variables. Categorical data were summarized as proportion (%) and numerical variables were described as mean ± SD. We regarded stroke as a dependent variable and a series of multivariable logistic regression models were used to calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) across parity categories. Women with one live birth were regarded as the reference category. Model 1 examined the relationship between parity and stroke without adjustment for any covariates. Model 2 included education, marital status, smoking status, passive smoking status, alcohol drinking status, physical activity, family history of stroke, diabetes, hypertension, and factors related to reproductive health including menopausal status, age at menopause, use of contraceptives, and hormone replacement therapy (HRT). Model 3 included the covariates in Model2 plus abortion. Model 4 included the covariates in Model 3 plus age. At last, Model 5, the fully adjusted model, included all the above mentioned potential confounders in Model 4 plus BMI. The Cochran-Armitage trend tests were conducted using SAS statistical software (version 9.4) and other statistical analyses were performed by using SPSS software (version 17.0). All reported P values were two-sided, and P < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. The association between parity and prevalent stroke was assessed graphically according to age-adjusted model and fully adjusted model, separately, in the current study.

Additional Information

How to cite this article: Zhang, Y. et al. Parity and Risk of Stroke among Chinese Women: Cross-sectional Evidence from the Dongfeng-Tongji Cohort Study. Sci. Rep. 5, 16992; doi: 10.1038/srep16992 (2015).