| Literature DB >> 26601828 |
Hideyuki Tamai1, Naoki Shingaki1, Yoshiyuki Mori1, Kosaku Moribata1, Akira Kawashima2, Yoshimasa Maeda1, Toru Niwa1, Hisanobu Deguchi1, Izumi Inoue1, Takao Maekita1, Mikitaka Iguchi1, Jun Kato1, Masao Ichinose1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS: This study aimed to predict sustained viral response (SVR) to low-dose pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) plus ribavirin of elderly and/or cirrhotic patients with genotype 2 hepatitis C virus (HCV) using viral response within 2 weeks.Entities:
Keywords: Elderly; Hepacivirus; Liver cirrhosis; Pegylated interferon; Ribavirin
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2016 PMID: 26601828 PMCID: PMC4933424 DOI: 10.5009/gnl15193
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Gut Liver ISSN: 1976-2283 Impact factor: 4.519
Baseline Patient Characteristics
| Characteristic | Value (n=50) |
|---|---|
| Age, yr | 66 (39–78) |
| <65 | 20 (40) |
| ≥65 | 30 (60) |
| Sex | |
| Male | 21 (42) |
| Female | 29 (58) |
| Body weight, kg | 56.9 (35.4–92.3) |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 22.8 (16.8–43.2) |
| Prior interferon therapy | 12 (24) |
| History of HCC treatment | 9 (18) |
| Liver cirrhosis | 42 (84) |
| Diabetes | 11 (22) |
| Hypertension | 17 (34) |
| Fatty liver | 14 (28) |
| Genotype | |
| 2a | 34 (68) |
| 2b | 16 (32) |
| HCV RNA, log IU/mL | 5.7 (4.0–6.8) |
| HCV core Ag, fmol/L | 1,670 (31–12,400) |
| White blood cells, /mm3 | 3,595 (1,990–9,540) |
| Hemoglobin, g/dL | 13.0 (10.4–16.1) |
| Platelets, ×104/mm3 | 11.0 (5.4–27.7) |
| ALT, IU/L | 70 (19–173) |
| γ-GT, IU/L | 40 (15–324) |
| α-Fetoprotein, ng/mL | 9.7 (1.6–228.0) |
| Type IV collagen 7S, ng/mL | 7.2 (2.9–13.3) |
| Hyaluronic acid, ng/mL | 246.6 (24.9–938.0) |
Data are presented as median (range) or number of patients (%).
BMI, body mass index; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; HCV, hepatitis C virus; Ag, antigen; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; γ-GT, γ-glutamyl transferase.
Comparison of Pretreatment Factors between Patients with and without Sustained Virological Response
| Factor | SVR (n=28) | Non-SVR (n=20) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, yr | 65 (12.3) | 68 (12.5) | 0.489 |
| <65/≥65 | 12/16 | 8/12 | 0.843 |
| Sex, male/female | 15/13 | 5/15 | 0.048 |
| Body weight, kg | 59.2 (16.3) | 52.9 (11.7) | 0.181 |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 23.1 (2.8) | 22.2 (3.9) | 0.352 |
| Prior interferon therapy | 6 | 6 | 0.499 |
| History of HCC treatment | 5 | 3 | 1.000 |
| Liver cirrhosis | 24 | 17 | 1.000 |
| Diabetes | 7 | 2 | 0.271 |
| Hypertension | 8 | 8 | 0.408 |
| Fatty liver | 9 | 5 | 0.591 |
| Genotype, 2a/2b | 22/6 | 11/9 | 0.082 |
| HCV-RNA, log IU/mL | 5.2 (0.7) | 6.1 (0.7) | 0.001 |
| HCV core Ag, fmol/L | 623 (2,114.8) | 4,830 (4,797.5) | <0.001 |
| White blood cells, /mm3 | 3,680 (1,880) | 3,670 (1,565) | 0.341 |
| Hemoglobin, g/dL | 13.2 (2.1) | 12.8 (1.8) | 0.225 |
| Platelets, ×104/mm3 | 10.9 (5.0) | 10.7 (5.7) | 0.738 |
| ALT, IU/L | 80 (65.5) | 56 (82.5) | 0.069 |
| γ-GTP, IU/L | 38 (43.0) | 45 (70.5) | 0.770 |
| α-Fetoprotein, ng/mL | 14.4 (18.7) | 8.1 (18.2) | 0.117 |
| Type IV collagen 7S, ng/mL | 6.9 (2.7) | 7.8 (4.4) | 0.278 |
| Hyaluronic acid, ng/mL | 241.6 (305.2) | 260 (272.9) | 0.931 |
Data are presented as median (interquartile range) or number of patients.
SVR, sustained virological response; BMI, body mass index; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; HCV, hepatitis C virus; Ag, antigen; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; γ-GTP, γ-glutamyl transferase.
Independent Pretreatment Factors Contributing to Sustained Virological Response on Multivariate Analysis
| Factor | p-value | OR | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Female sex | 0.147 | 0.331 | 0.074–1.476 |
| HCV RNA, <5.9 log IU/mL | <0.001 | 12.964 | 3.072–54.709 |
OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; HCV, hepatitis C virus.
Comparison of On-Treatment Factors between Patients with and without Sustained Virological Response
| Factor | SVR (n=28) | Non-SVR (n=20) | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCV RNA level, log IU/mL | |||
| At week 1 | 3.1 (2.2) | 4.7 (1.3) | <0.001 |
| At week 2 | 1.2 (2.7) | 3.8 (2.0) | <0.001 |
| At week 4 | 0 (1.2) | 2.6 (3.0) | <0.001 |
| RVR | 16 | 1 | <0.001 |
| HCV core Ag level, fmol/L | |||
| At week 1 | 0 (0) | 225 (917.5) | <0.001 |
| At week 2 | 0 (0) | 0 (301.0) | <0.001 |
| PEG-IFN adherence, % | 100 (13.3) | 100 (25.0) | 0.821 |
| Ribavirin adherence, % | 100 (26.0) | 76.5 (30.0) | 0.257 |
| Ribavirin at week 2, ng/mL | 2,203 (962.3) | 1,225 (1,232.8) | 0.875 |
Data are presented as median (interquartile range) or number of patients.
SVR, sustained virological response; HCV, hepatitis C virus; RVR, rapid virological response; Ag, antigen; PEG-IFN, pegylated interferon.
Area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve according to Significant Predictive Factors for Sustained Virological Response
| Factor | AUC | p-value | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Male sex | 0.643 | 0.094 | 0.484–0.801 |
| HCV RNA level, log IU/mL | |||
| Baseline | 0.783 | 0.001 | 0.644–0.922 |
| At week 1 | 0.883 | <0.001 | 0.786–0.980 |
| At week 2 | 0.913 | <0.001 | 0.832–0.995 |
| At week 4 | 0.914 | <0.001 | 0.826–1.000 |
| RVR | 0.761 | 0.002 | 0.624–0.897 |
| HCV core Ag level, fmol/L | |||
| Baseline | 0.800 | <0.001 | 0.667–0.933 |
| At week 1 | 0.856 | <0.001 | 0.735–0.977 |
| At week 2 | 0.700 | 0.019 | 0.540–0.860 |
AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; HCV, hepatitis C virus; RVR, rapid virological response; Ag, antigen.
Predictive Values of Significant Factors Related to Sustained Virological Response
| Significant predictive factor | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCV RNA level, log IU/mL | |||||
| Baseline, <5.9 | 82 (23/28) | 75 (15/20) | 82 (23/28) | 75 (15/20) | 79 (38/48) |
| At week 1, <4.4 | 93 (26/28) | 75 (15/20) | 84 (26/31) | 88 (15/17) | 85 (41/48) |
| At week 2, <3.2 | 93 (26/28) | 80 (16/20) | 87 (26/30) | 89 (16/18) | 88 (42/48) |
| At week 4, <1.6 | 100 (28/28) | 75 (15/20) | 85 (28/33) | 100 (15/15) | 90 (43/48) |
| RVR | 57 (16/28) | 95 (19/20) | 94 (16/17) | 61 (19/31) | 73 (35/48) |
| HCV core Ag level, fmol/L | |||||
| Baseline, <3,365 | 89 (25/28) | 60 (12/20) | 76 (25/33) | 80 (12/15) | 77 (37/48) |
| At week 1, <40 | 93 (26/28) | 75 (15/20) | 84 (26/31) | 88 (15/17) | 85 (41/48) |
| At week 2, <20 | 100 (28/28) | 40 (8/20) | 70 (28/40) | 100 (8/8) | 75 (36/48) |
Data are presented as percent (number).
PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; HCV, hepatitis C virus; RVR, rapid virological response; Ag, antigen.