| Literature DB >> 26535318 |
Talib Shah1, David J Cloke1, Steven Rushton1, Mark D F Shirley2, David J Deehan3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: There are little published data on factors relating to low back pain in the younger athletic population. HYPOTHESIS: Independent predictors of recovery and return to participation in sports could be determined by event analysis, which investigates the impacts of covariates, including age, position, and injury type, on the risk of delayed recovery after injury. STUDYEntities:
Keywords: LBP; adolescence; lower back pain; outcomes; recovery; risk factors; soccer; spondylolysis; youth
Year: 2014 PMID: 26535318 PMCID: PMC4555597 DOI: 10.1177/2325967114529703
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Orthop J Sports Med ISSN: 2325-9671
Number of Participants at Risk for Each Year of the Study by Age Group
| Season | Age Group, y | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <9 | <10 | <11 | <12 | <13 | <14 | <15 | <16 | ||
| 1 (as of May 1, 2001) | 274 | 290 | 323 | 331 | 357 | 413 | 326 | 323 | 2637 |
| 2 (as of May 1, 2002) | 265 | 298 | 300 | 353 | 321 | 397 | 305 | 336 | 2575 |
| 3 (as of May 1, 2003) | 267 | 297 | 316 | 313 | 333 | 362 | 272 | 304 | 2464 |
| 4 (as of May 1, 2004) | 274 | 298 | 306 | 320 | 309 | 339 | 269 | 237 | 2352 |
| 5 (as of May 1, 2005) | 249 | 273 | 299 | 330 | 309 | 329 | 257 | 232 | 2278 |
| Total | 1329 | 1456 | 1544 | 1647 | 1629 | 1840 | 1429 | 1432 | 12,306 |
| Mean (standard deviation) | 266 (10) | 291 (11) | 309 (10) | 329 (15) | 326 (20) | 308 (36) | 286 (29) | 286 (49) | |
Injury Diagnoses
| Nature of Injury | Frequency | % | Group |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low back pain | 153 | 49.4 | Soft tissue |
| Strain | 47 | 15.2 | Soft tissue |
| Not recorded | 21 | 6.8 | Other |
| Other diagnosis | 14 | 4.5 | Other |
| Spondylolysis | 13 | 4.2 | Bony tissue |
| Tissue bruising | 12 | 3.9 | Soft tissue |
| Muscular contusion | 11 | 3.5 | Soft tissue |
| Inflammatory synovitis | 10 | 3.2 | Bony tissue |
| Sprain | 9 | 2.9 | Bony tissue |
| Spondylolysthesis | 5 | 1.6 | Bony tissue |
| Fracture | 4 | 1.3 | Fracture |
| Neural | 4 | 1.3 | Other |
| Periostitis | 4 | 1.3 | Bony tissue |
| Capsular tear | 1 | 0.3 | Bony tissue |
| Chondral lesion | 1 | 0.3 | Bony tissue |
| Dislocation | 1 | 0.3 | Bony tissue |
| Total | 310 | 100 |
Injury by Anatomical Site
| Anatomical Site | Frequency | % |
|---|---|---|
| Lumbar | 138 | 44.5 |
| Not recorded | 63 | 20.3 |
| Erector spinae | 37 | 11.9 |
| Quadratus lumborum | 18 | 5.8 |
| Facet joint | 15 | 4.8 |
| Sacro-iliac | 14 | 4.5 |
| Coccyx | 7 | 2.3 |
| Sacrum | 7 | 2.3 |
| Ilium | 4 | 1.3 |
| Nerve related | 2 | 0.6 |
| Multifidi | 2 | 0.6 |
| Thoracic | 2 | 0.6 |
| Oblique | 1 | 0.3 |
| Total | 244 | 99.8 |
Recovery Time by Diagnosis
| Diagnosis | Recovery Time, d | |
|---|---|---|
| Median | Interquartile Range | |
| Fracture (n = 4) | 148.5 | 98.5-191 |
| Bony tissue (n = 44) | 15.5 | 8-82 |
| Soft tissue (n = 223) | 13 | 7-24 |
| Not recorded (n = 39) | 17.5 | 9-32 |
Figure 1.Frequency distribution of number of training days lost to muscle injuries.
Figure 2.Descriptive statistics of the data. (A) Average monthly incidence of injury by severity. (B) Annualized injury incidence/1000 hours of exposure for age groups <9 to <16 years. (C) Number of injuries/year for the 4 periods during the match. (D) Average monthly incidence of injury by competitive environment. (E) Average monthly incidence of injury by mechanism. (F) Number of injuries/year by position played. Box-and-whisker plots in B, C, and F: the dot indicates the median and the box indicates the interquartile range (IQR).
Results of a Generalized Linear Model With Incidence of Injury per 1000 Hours of Exposure as the Response and Age Class as an Ordered Predictor
| n | Estimate | SE |
| Pr(>| | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.020 | 0.050 | 0.402 | 0.691 | |
| Age class, y | |||||
| <10 | 3 | –0.001 | 0.058 | –0.018 | 0.986 |
| <11 | 3 | –0.002 | 0.058 | –0.035 | 0.972 |
| <12 | 4 | 0.007 | 0.056 | 0.132 | 0.896 |
| <13 | 4 | 0.068 | 0.056 | 1.215 | 0.237 |
| <14 | 5 | 0.171 | 0.055 | 3.104 | 0.005 |
| <15 | 5 | 0.268 | 0.055 | 4.847 | <0.001 |
| <16 | 5 | 0.159 | 0.055 | 2.871 | 0.009 |
The age class of players <9 years (n = 1) was omitted because of low cell counts. SE, standard error.
Figure 3.Survival curves representing the probability of not returning to sport as time from injury increases for all combinations of significant covariates at injury age 12 years. Dashed line, 95% confidence intervals.
Figure 4.Survival curves representing the probability of not returning to sport as time from injury increases for all combinations of significant covariates at injury age 16 years. Dashed line, 95% confidence intervals.
Event Analysis of Back Injuries Relative to the Base Chance Represented by Muscular Injuries
| Event Analysis | Proportionality of hazard | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeff | Exp(Coeff) | SE(Coeff) |
| Pr(>| | ρ | χ[ | Pr(<|ρ|) | |
| Age at injury | –0.133 | 0.875 | 0.053 | –2.531 | 0.011 | 0.073 | 1.760 | 0.185 |
| Nature of injury | ||||||||
| Bony Tissue | –0.581 | 0.559 | 0.181 | –3.219 | 0.001 | –0.105 | 3.280 | 0.070 |
| Fracture | –1.429 | 0.239 | 0.510 | –2.802 | 0.005 | 0.092 | 2.240 | 0.135 |
| Other | –0.181 | 0.834 | 0.177 | –1.021 | 0.307 | 0.130 | 4.900 | 0.027 |
The exponent of the coefficient (Exp[Coeff]), if significant, is indicative of the proportional change in hazard due to the variable. For the proportionality of hazard test, rho (ρ) is the correlation coefficient between survival time and the Schonfield residuals. Coeff, coefficient; SE, standard error.