Yen-Tsung Huang1, Hwai-I Yang, Jessica Liu, Mei-Hsuan Lee, Joshua R Freeman, Chien-Jen Chen. 1. From the Departments of aEpidemiology, bBiostatistics, Brown University, Providence, RI; cGenomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and dInstitute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Hepatitis B and C viruses are well-established risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but their coordinated etiologic mechanism remains unclear. We aimed to assess the mediation effect of the two viruses on HCC risk. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in Taiwan (R.E.V.E.A.L.-Hepatitis B Virus study), which included 3,851 participants seropositive for hepatitis B surface antigen and 278 incident HCC cases. Serum samples at enrollment or follow-up were tested for seromarkers and viral load of hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV). Mediation analyses for HCC risk were performed using Cox proportional hazards and linear regression models. RESULTS: Among participants with chronic hepatitis B, the direct effect of anti-HCV serostatus (positive vs. negative) independent of HBV viral load was associated with increased risk of HCC with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.7, 3.6), and the indirect effect mediated through suppressing HBV viral load decreased the HCC risk with an HR of 0.75 (95% CI = 0.67, 0.84). Opposite effects led to an attenuated marginal effect with an HR of 1.7 (95% CI = 1.2, 2.5). For an increase in HCV viral load from 800 to 404,000 IU/ml (minimum to median viral level), the HRs were 1.6 (95% CI = 1.2, 2.0) for the direct effect, 0.78 (95% CI = 0.72, 0.85) for the indirect effect, and 1.1 (95% CI = 0.89, 1.5) for the marginal effect. CONCLUSION: The results support a suppressive effect of HCV on HCC risk mediated through HBV viral load and an adverse direct effect.
BACKGROUND:Hepatitis B and C viruses are well-established risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but their coordinated etiologic mechanism remains unclear. We aimed to assess the mediation effect of the two viruses on HCC risk. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in Taiwan (R.E.V.E.A.L.-Hepatitis B Virus study), which included 3,851 participants seropositive for hepatitis B surface antigen and 278 incident HCC cases. Serum samples at enrollment or follow-up were tested for seromarkers and viral load of hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV). Mediation analyses for HCC risk were performed using Cox proportional hazards and linear regression models. RESULTS: Among participants with chronic hepatitis B, the direct effect of anti-HCV serostatus (positive vs. negative) independent of HBV viral load was associated with increased risk of HCC with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.7, 3.6), and the indirect effect mediated through suppressing HBV viral load decreased the HCC risk with an HR of 0.75 (95% CI = 0.67, 0.84). Opposite effects led to an attenuated marginal effect with an HR of 1.7 (95% CI = 1.2, 2.5). For an increase in HCV viral load from 800 to 404,000 IU/ml (minimum to median viral level), the HRs were 1.6 (95% CI = 1.2, 2.0) for the direct effect, 0.78 (95% CI = 0.72, 0.85) for the indirect effect, and 1.1 (95% CI = 0.89, 1.5) for the marginal effect. CONCLUSION: The results support a suppressive effect of HCV on HCC risk mediated through HBV viral load and an adverse direct effect.
Authors: Norah A Terrault; Anna S F Lok; Brian J McMahon; Kyong-Mi Chang; Jessica P Hwang; Maureen M Jonas; Robert S Brown; Natalie H Bzowej; John B Wong Journal: Hepatology Date: 2018-04 Impact factor: 17.425