Literature DB >> 26438287

Feedbacks, climate sensitivity and the limits of linear models.

Reto Knutti1, Maria A A Rugenstein2.   

Abstract

The term 'feedback' is used ubiquitously in climate research, but implies varied meanings in different contexts. From a specific process that locally affects a quantity, to a formal framework that attempts to determine a global response to a forcing, researchers use this term to separate, simplify and quantify parts of the complex Earth system. We combine new model results with a historical and educational perspective to organize existing ideas around feedbacks and linear models. Our results suggest that the state- and forcing-dependency of feedbacks are probably not appreciated enough, and not considered appropriately in many studies. A non-constant feedback parameter likely explains some of the differences in estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity from different methods and types of data. Clarifying the value and applicability of the linear forcing feedback framework and a better quantification of feedbacks on various timescales and spatial scales remains a high priority in order to better understand past and predict future changes in the climate system.
© 2015 The Author(s).

Keywords:  climate sensitivity; energy balance model; feedbacks

Year:  2015        PMID: 26438287     DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0146

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci        ISSN: 1364-503X            Impact factor:   4.226


  11 in total

1.  Feedbacks on climate in the Earth system: introduction.

Authors:  Eric W Wolff; John G Shepherd; Emily Shuckburgh; Andrew J Watson
Journal:  Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci       Date:  2015-11-13       Impact factor: 4.226

2.  Reconciling controversies about the 'global warming hiatus'.

Authors:  Iselin Medhaug; Martin B Stolpe; Erich M Fischer; Reto Knutti
Journal:  Nature       Date:  2017-05-03       Impact factor: 49.962

3.  Earth's outgoing longwave radiation linear due to H2O greenhouse effect.

Authors:  Daniel D B Koll; Timothy W Cronin
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2018-09-25       Impact factor: 11.205

4.  Relationship of tropospheric stability to climate sensitivity and Earth's observed radiation budget.

Authors:  Paulo Ceppi; Jonathan M Gregory
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2017-11-28       Impact factor: 11.205

Review 5.  An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence.

Authors:  S C Sherwood; M J Webb; J D Annan; K C Armour; P M Forster; J C Hargreaves; G Hegerl; S A Klein; K D Marvel; E J Rohling; M Watanabe; T Andrews; P Braconnot; C S Bretherton; G L Foster; Z Hausfather; A S von der Heydt; R Knutti; T Mauritsen; J R Norris; C Proistosescu; M Rugenstein; G A Schmidt; K B Tokarska; M D Zelinka
Journal:  Rev Geophys       Date:  2020-09-25       Impact factor: 24.946

6.  Slow climate mode reconciles historical and model-based estimates of climate sensitivity.

Authors:  Cristian Proistosescu; Peter J Huybers
Journal:  Sci Adv       Date:  2017-07-05       Impact factor: 14.136

7.  Prospects for narrowing bounds on Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity.

Authors:  Bjorn Stevens; Steven C Sherwood; Sandrine Bony; Mark J Webb
Journal:  Earths Future       Date:  2016-11-18       Impact factor: 7.495

Review 8.  Lessons on Climate Sensitivity From Past Climate Changes.

Authors:  Anna S von der Heydt; Henk A Dijkstra; Roderik S W van de Wal; Rodrigo Caballero; Michel Crucifix; Gavin L Foster; Matthew Huber; Peter Köhler; Eelco Rohling; Paul J Valdes; Peter Ashwin; Sebastian Bathiany; Tijn Berends; Loes G J van Bree; Peter Ditlevsen; Michael Ghil; Alan M Haywood; Joel Katzav; Gerrit Lohmann; Johannes Lohmann; Valerio Lucarini; Alice Marzocchi; Heiko Pälike; Itzel Ruvalcaba Baroni; Dirk Simon; Appy Sluijs; Lennert B Stap; Alexis Tantet; Jan Viebahn; Martin Ziegler
Journal:  Curr Clim Change Rep       Date:  2016-10-20

Review 9.  Aerosols in the Pre-industrial Atmosphere.

Authors:  Kenneth S Carslaw; Hamish Gordon; Douglas S Hamilton; Jill S Johnson; Leighton A Regayre; M Yoshioka; Kirsty J Pringle
Journal:  Curr Clim Change Rep       Date:  2017-03-11

10.  Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models.

Authors:  Katarzyna B Tokarska; Martin B Stolpe; Sebastian Sippel; Erich M Fischer; Christopher J Smith; Flavio Lehner; Reto Knutti
Journal:  Sci Adv       Date:  2020-03-18       Impact factor: 14.136

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