Lars Brännström1, Björn Trolldal2, Martin Menke3. 1. Department of Social Work, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. 2. The Swedish Council for Information on Alcohol and Other Drugs (CAN), Stockholm, Sweden Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. 3. Department of Human Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Spatial dependencies may influence the success of community action strategies to prevent and reduce harmful alcohol use. This study examined the effectiveness of a multicomponent Responsible Beverage Service (RBS) programme targeting on-licensed premises on police-recorded assaults in Swedish municipalities. It was expected that the implementation of the programme within any given municipality had an indirect effect by reducing violent assaults in adjacent municipalities. METHODS: This study was a natural experiment exploiting the temporal and spatial variation in the implementation of the RBS programme to predict change in the rate of violent assaults in all Swedish municipalities during 1996-2009 (n=288; T=14; N=4 032). Yearly police-recorded violent assaults per 100,000 inhabitants aged 15 and above committed on weekend nights were used as a dependent variable. Programme fidelity was identified by means of survey data. A semilogarithmic fixed-effects spatial panel regression model was used to estimate the direct, indirect and total effects of the programme. RESULTS: The direct, indirect and total effects were -1.8% (95% CI -4.4% to 0.8%), -5.8% (95% CI -11.5% to -0.1%) and -7.6% (95% CI -13.2% to -2.2%), respectively. Averaged over time and across all municipalities, implementing one additional programme component in all municipalities will thus reduce violent assaults in one typical municipality by nearly 8%. CONCLUSIONS: The indirect effect of the programme was three times larger than its direct effect. Failing to account for such local spillover effects can result in a considerable underestimation of the programme's total impact and may lead to erroneous policy recommendations. Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/
BACKGROUND: Spatial dependencies may influence the success of community action strategies to prevent and reduce harmful alcohol use. This study examined the effectiveness of a multicomponent Responsible Beverage Service (RBS) programme targeting on-licensed premises on police-recorded assaults in Swedish municipalities. It was expected that the implementation of the programme within any given municipality had an indirect effect by reducing violent assaults in adjacent municipalities. METHODS: This study was a natural experiment exploiting the temporal and spatial variation in the implementation of the RBS programme to predict change in the rate of violent assaults in all Swedish municipalities during 1996-2009 (n=288; T=14; N=4 032). Yearly police-recorded violent assaults per 100,000 inhabitants aged 15 and above committed on weekend nights were used as a dependent variable. Programme fidelity was identified by means of survey data. A semilogarithmic fixed-effects spatial panel regression model was used to estimate the direct, indirect and total effects of the programme. RESULTS: The direct, indirect and total effects were -1.8% (95% CI -4.4% to 0.8%), -5.8% (95% CI -11.5% to -0.1%) and -7.6% (95% CI -13.2% to -2.2%), respectively. Averaged over time and across all municipalities, implementing one additional programme component in all municipalities will thus reduce violent assaults in one typical municipality by nearly 8%. CONCLUSIONS: The indirect effect of the programme was three times larger than its direct effect. Failing to account for such local spillover effects can result in a considerable underestimation of the programme's total impact and may lead to erroneous policy recommendations. Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/
Authors: Penny A Cook; Suzy C Hargreaves; Elizabeth J Burns; Frank de Vocht; Steve Parrott; Margaret Coffey; Suzanne Audrey; Cathy Ure; Paul Duffy; David Ottiwell; Kiran Kenth; Susan Hare; Kate Ardern Journal: BMC Public Health Date: 2018-04-19 Impact factor: 3.295
Authors: Frank de Vocht; Cheryl McQuire; Alan Brennan; Matt Egan; Colin Angus; Eileen Kaner; Emma Beard; Jamie Brown; Daniela De Angelis; Nick Carter; Barbara Murray; Rachel Dukes; Elizabeth Greenwood; Susan Holden; Russell Jago; Matthew Hickman Journal: Addiction Date: 2020-03-10 Impact factor: 6.526