| Literature DB >> 26400732 |
Douglas S Weinberg1, Arvind S Narayanan2, Timothy A Moore3, Heather A Vallier3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Optimal patterns for fluid management are controversial in the resuscitation of major trauma. Similarly, appropriate surgical timing is often unclear in orthopedic polytrauma. Early appropriate care (EAC) has recently been introduced as an objective model to determine readiness for surgery based on the resuscitation of metabolic acidosis. EAC is an objective treatment algorithm that recommends fracture fixation within 36 h when either lactate <4.0 mmol/L, pH ≥ 7.25, or base excess (BE) ≥-5.5 mmol/L. The aim of this study is to better characterize the relationship between post-operative complications and the time required for resuscitation of metabolic acidosis using EAC.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26400732 PMCID: PMC4581441 DOI: 10.1186/s13018-015-0288-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Orthop Surg Res ISSN: 1749-799X Impact factor: 2.359
Multiple regression results, independent predictors of time to EAC resuscitation
| Independent variable | Standardized betaa | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 0.030 | 0.596 |
| African-American race | 0.070 | 0.511 |
| Gender | −0.005 | 0.935 |
| Injury Severity Score (ISS) | −0.005 | 0.935 |
| American Society of Anesthesiologists score (ASA) | −0.039 | 0.578 |
| Body mass index (BMI) | 0.018 | 0.753 |
| Transfer from outside hospital (OSH) | 0.112 | 0.045† |
| Number of fractures | −0.111 | 0.296 |
| Presence of a femur fracture | −0.036 | 0.735 |
| Presence of an acetabular fracture | 0.029 | 0.736 |
| Presence of a pelvic ring fracture | 0.075 | 0.403 |
| Presence of a cervical spine fracture | 0.096 | 0.089 |
| Presence of a thoracolumbar spine fracture | 0.065 | 0.712 |
†p < 0.05
aA positive value for race suggests that African-Americans took longer to receive resuscitation. A positive value for gender suggests that females took longer to receive resuscitation. A positive value for transfer from outside hospital indicates that outside transfer took longer to receive resuscitation
Univariate analysis for patients with post-operative complications
| Variable | No complicationa | Complicationa | Significance |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
| ||
| Age (years) | 39.1 ± 16.2 | 40.3 ± 17.3 | 0.597 |
| African-American race | 53 (19.7 %) | 15 (22.7 %) | 0.505 |
| Female gender | 82 (31.1 %) | 13 (19.7 %) | 0.070 |
| ISS | 24.5 ± 9.3 | 36.4 ± 15.0 | <0.0005† |
| ASA score | 2.7 ± 0.8 | 3.3 ± 0.9 | 0.020† |
| BMI | 29.5 ± 7.9 | 30.3 ± 7.7 | 0.483 |
| OSH transfer | 113 (42.5 %) | 30 (45.5 %) | 0.679 |
| Time to EAC resuscitation (hours) | 6.29 ± 8.24 | 9.07 ± 10.58 | 0.022† |
| Number of fracturesb | 1.1 ± 0.4 | 1.2 ± 0.4 | 0.331 |
| Presence of a femur fracturec | 138 (51.9 %) | 21 (31.8 %) | 0.005† |
| Presence of an acetabulum fracture | 46 (17.3 %) | 10 (15.2 %) | 0.854 |
| Presence of a pelvic ring fracture | 49 (18.4 %) | 21 (31.8 %) | 0.027† |
| Presence of a cervical spine fracture | 3 (1.1 %) | 3 (4.5 %) | 0.096 |
| Presence of a thoracolumbar spine fracture | 52 (19.5 %) | 21 (31.8 %) | 0.045† |
ISS Injury Severity Score, ASA American Society of Anesthesiologists’ Classification, BMI body mass index, OSH outside hospital transfer
†p < 0.05
aThe values are given as the mean and the standard deviation for continuous variables and as the number of patients in the respective outcome group, with the percentage in parentheses for categorical variables
bCompared with the chi-square test
cTwelve patients sustained bilateral femur fractures. Since the univariate analysis was designed to assess the presence or absence of a femur fracture, the number of individuals with femur fractures (159) is less than and discordant with the number of femur fractures in total (171)
Multivariate analysis, binomial logistic regression results, independent predictors of complications
| Independent variable | Regression coefficient (B) | Wald statistic | Significance | Odds ratio | 95 % CI for odds ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower | Upper | |||||
| Female gender | −0.848a | 4.896 | 0.027† | 0.428 | 0.202 | 0.908 |
| ISS | 0.084 | 43.957 | <0.0005† | 1.087 | 1.061 | 1.115 |
| Time to resuscitation | 0.031 | 4.180 | 0.041† | 1.032 | 1.001 | 1.063 |
| Presence of femur fracture | −0.806b | 6.150 | 0.013† | 0.447 | 0.236 | 0.845 |
| Constant | −2.696 | 19.090 | <0.0005 | 0.067 | ||
A 2.7-h increase in time to resuscitation had equivalent odds for sustaining a complication as a 1-unit increase on the ISS
ISS Injury Severity Score
†p < 0.05
aA negative value for gender suggests females suffer fewer complications than males
bA negative value for femur fracture suggests that patients with a femur fracture suffer fewer complications than those without
Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy for predicting a complication given specific cutoff times during resuscitation course
| Cutoff time (hours) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Accuracy (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 74 | 26 | 50 | 65 | 50 |
| 3 | 70 | 36 | 52 | 54 | 53 |
| 6 | 46 | 67 | 57 | 55 | 56 |
| 9 | 35 | 82 | 66 | 56 | 58 |
| 11.25 | 32 | 86 | 70 | 56 | 61 |
| 12 | 26 | 87 | 66 | 54 | 59 |
| 18 | 12 | 91 | 67 | 51 | 52 |
| 24 | 9 | 96 | 69 | 51 | 52 |
PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value
Fig. 1Number of complications based on time to EAC resuscitation