| Literature DB >> 26397699 |
Viktor Dahl1, Anders Tegnell2, Anders Wallensten3.
Abstract
To establish strategic priorities for the Public Health Agency of Sweden we prioritized pathogens according to their public health relevance in Sweden in order to guide resource allocation. We then compared the outcome to ongoing surveillance. We used a modified prioritization method developed at the Robert Koch Institute in Germany. In a Delphi process experts scored pathogens according to ten variables. We ranked the pathogens according to the total score and divided them into four priority groups. We then compared the priority groups to self-reported time spent on surveillance by epidemiologists and ongoing programmes for surveillance through mandatory and/or voluntary notifications and for surveillance of typing results. 106 pathogens were scored. The result of the prioritization process was similar to the outcome of the prioritization in Germany. Common pathogens such as calicivirus and Influenza virus as well as blood-borne pathogens such as human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis B and C virus, gastro-intestinal infections such as Campylobacter and Salmonella and vector-borne pathogens such as Borrelia were all in the highest priority group. 63% of time spent by epidemiologists on surveillance was spent on pathogens in the highest priority group and all pathogens in the highest priority group, except for Borrelia and varicella-zoster virus, were under surveillance through notifications. Ten pathogens in the highest priority group (Borrelia, calicivirus, Campylobacter, Echinococcus multilocularis, hepatitis C virus, HIV, respiratory syncytial virus, SARS- and MERS coronavirus, tick-borne encephalitis virus and varicella-zoster virus) did not have any surveillance of typing results. We will evaluate the possibilities of surveillance for the pathogens in the highest priority group where we currently do not have any ongoing surveillance and evaluate the need of surveillance for the pathogens from the low priority group where there is ongoing surveillance in order to focus our work on the pathogens with the highest relevance.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26397699 PMCID: PMC4580468 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0136353
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Prioritization variables.
The ten variables that pathogens were scored for during the prioritization and the criteria for each score.
| No. | Criteria | Scoring values | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 1 | Incidence (including illness, symptomatic infections, asymptomatic infections but not carriership or normal flora) | <1/100 000 | 1-20/100 000 | >20/100 000 |
| 2 | Work and school absenteeism | This pathogen causes negligible proportion of absenteeism due to an infectious illness | This pathogen causes a small to moderate proportion of absenteeism due to an infectious illness | This pathogen causes a larger proportion of absenteeism due to an infectious illness |
| 3 | Health care utilization (primary health care and hosptitalization) | This pathogen causes a negligligle proportion of health care utilization due to an infectious illness | This pathogen causes a small to moderate proportion of health care utilization due to an infectious illness | This pathogen causes a large proportion of health care utilization due to an infectious illness |
| 4 | Chronicity of illness or sequelae | This pathogen causes a negligible amount of chronicity or persistent sequelae | This pathogen causes a moderate amount of chronicity or persistent sequelae | This pathogen causes a large amount of chronicity or persistent sequelae |
| 5 | Case fatality rate | <0.01% | 0.01%-1% | >1% |
| 6 | Proportion of events requiring public health actions (see Note 2 for explanation) | A small proportion of the estimated total number of events or exceptional events require public health actions (<25%) | A moderate proportion of the estimated total number of events or exceptional events require public health actions (25–75%) | A large proportion of the estimated total number of events or exceptional events require public health actions (>75%) |
| 7 | Trend | Diminishing incidence rates | Stable incidence rates | Increasing incidence rates |
| 8 | Public attention (including political agenda and public perception) | Risk perception of this pathogen by the gernal public is low and it is not on the political agenda | Risk perception of this pathogen by the gernal public is moderate and informal political expectations/agenda is present | This pathogen implies international duties or its risk perception by the general public is high or it is explicitly high on political agenda |
| 9 | Prevention possibilites and needs (including vaccines) | Preventive potential seems low or the disease does not require prevention or effective prevention strategies are well-established; no need for significant strategy modification | Measures for prevention are established but there is need to improve their effctiveness | Need for prevention is established but currently no effective preventive measures are available |
| 10 | Treatment possibilities and needs (including AMR) | Medical treatment is rarely necessary or effective regimens are well-established; no need for significant modifications | Medical treatme regimens are established but there is need to improve their effectiveness | Need for medical treatment is established but currently no effective treatment is available or AMR limits treatment options |
AMR = anitimicrobial resistance
Note 1. All criteria apply to the geographical settings where the prioritization is conducted; the time-frame applicable to the requested epidmiological data should be defined prior to the process initiation and depends on the frequency with which pathogens are planned to be re-scored. Indicated numercial thresholds apply to the country where the prioritization is conducted: In other geographical settings different thresholds might need to be considered.
Note 2. Event is defined as the occurrence of a disease that is unusual with respect to a particular time, place or circumstances. For certain infectious diseases one case may be sufficient to constitute an event (e.g. polio virus). Public health actions are any kind of targeted actions aiming to identify the nature of the event and/or to apply control measures in response to the event occurrence.
*assessed against the total burden of infectious diseases.
**assessed for each particular pathogen in question, e.g., the criterion "Treatment possibilities and needs" refers to availability and adequacy of treatment for each case of an illness caused by a particular pathogen but does not take into account the incidence of illnesses or the availability of preventive measures.
Prioritized pathogens.
A list of pathogens in each priority group with information on type of ongoing surveillance (if any), Sweden, 2013. Group of priorizitation in Germany (8) is given in parenthesis.
| 1. Highest priority group (n = 21) | 2. High priority group (n = 28) | 3. Medium priority group (n = 37) | 4. Low priority group (n = 20) |
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| Calicivirus (noro- and sapovirus) (2) (V) |
| Adenovirus (2) | BK-virus (5) |
| Campylobacter spp (1) (M) |
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| Cercarial dermatitis (5) |
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| Hepatitis B virus (1) (M, TC) |
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| Helminths (tapeworms) |
| Hepatitis C virus (1) (M) |
| Coronaviruses (3) | Helminths (flukes) |
| Human papilloma virus (HPV) (2) (V, TP) | Epstein-Barr virus (HHV-4) (2) |
| Helminths (nematodes) |
| Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (1) (M) |
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| Hepatitis E virus (2) (M) |
| Influenza virus (1) (M, V, TP) |
| Cytomegalovirus (HHV-5) (3) | HHV-8 (Kaposi's sarcoma associated) (3) |
| Measels virus (1) (M, TP) |
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| Klebsiella spp incl. ESBL (1) (M, TP, TC) |
| JC-virus (5) (M) |
| Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (1) (V) |
| Enteroviruses spp. incl. echovirus and Coxsackievirus (2) (M, TP) | Molluscipoxvirus (4) |
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| Sindbisvirus (5) |
| SARS- and MERS coronavirus (2) (M) |
| Hepatitis A virus (2) (M, TP) | Parvovirus B19 (3) |
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| Hepatitis D virus (2) (M) |
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| Vibrio (non-cholerae): |
| Tick borne encephalitis virus (2) (M) |
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| Varicella zoster virus (1) | Mumps virus (2) (M, TP) | Humant T-cell lymphotrophic virus (HTLV) (3) (M) | |
| Pediculosis (head, body and pubic lice) (2) | Unidentified agent causing Kawasaki syndrome (4) | ||
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| Puumalavirus (1 | Metapneumovirus (5) | ||
| Rabies virus (2) (M) | Mucorales (Zygomycetes) (4) | ||
| Rota virus (2) (TP) | Parainfluenza virus (2) | ||
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| Rhinoviruses (3) | ||
| Rubellavirus (3) (M,TP) | |||
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* In Germany included in Fungi (other)
**Helminths (flukes) group includes: Clonorchis sinensis, Opisthorchis felineus, Opisthorchis viverrini, Fasciolopsis buski, Fasciolopsis gigantica and Fasciolopsis hepatica, Paragonimius, Schistosoma
***Helminths (nematodes) group includes: Ancylostoma braziliense and caninum, Angiostrongylus, Ascaris lumbricoides, Capillaria philippinensis, hepatica and aerophila, Dracunluse meditensis, Enterobius vermicularis, Filaria (Onchocerca volvulus, Loa loa, Wuchereia bancrofti, Brugia malayi and Brugia timori). Hookworms (Ancylostoma duodenale and Necator americanus), Strongyloides stercoralis, Toxocara canis and cati, Trichuris trichiura. Trichinella spp. was scored as a separate pathogen
****Helminths (tapeworms) group includes: Diphyllobotrium latum, Echinococcus granulosus, Echinococcus multilocularis, Hymenolepsis nana, Taenia saginata, Taeniasolium
*****In Germany belonging to Hantavirus group
M = Mandatory notifiable, V = Voluntary notifiable, TP = Typing at the Public Health Agency of Sweden, TC = Surveillance of typing results done at county level