| Literature DB >> 26351649 |
Domenico Martinelli1, Francesca Fortunato1, Maria Giovanna Cappelli1, Vanessa Cozza1, Maria Chironna2, Rosa Prato1.
Abstract
In Italy, the meningococcal C conjugate vaccine (MenC) has been offered in most regions since 2009-2010. The incidence of Invasive Meningococcal Disease (IMD) was 0.25 confirmed cases per 100,000 in 2011, but this may be considerably underestimated due to underdetection and underreporting. This study estimates the impact of the MenC universal vaccination (URV) in the Puglia region by assessing the completeness of three registration sources (notifications, hospitalizations, and laboratory surveillance). Capture-recapture analysis was performed on meningococcal meningitis collected within 2001-2013. The impact of URV among ≤ 18-year-olds was assessed by attributable benefit, preventable fraction, and prevented fraction. Missed opportunities for vaccination were evaluated from surveillance of IMD. The proportion of detected serogroups was applied to the number of IMD in the postvaccination period to compute the cases still preventable. The sensitivity of the three sources was 36.7% (95% CI: 17.5%-57.9%) and registrations lost nearly 28 cases/year in the period. Attributable benefit of URV was -0.5 cases per 100,000, preventable fraction 19.6%, and prevented fraction 31.3%. Three adolescent cases missed the opportunity to be vaccinated. The multicomponent serogroup B meningococcal vaccine has the potential to further prevent at least three other cases/year. Vaccination strategy against serogroup B together with existing programmes makes IMD a 100% vaccine-preventable disease.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 26351649 PMCID: PMC4553333 DOI: 10.1155/2015/710656
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Immunol Res ISSN: 2314-7156 Impact factor: 4.818
Vaccination coverage (VC) with meningococcal conjugate vaccines in children ≤24 months and adolescents in Italy and in the Puglia region, within 2006–2013 (postvaccination period), by birth cohort.
| Birth cohort | Italy [ | Puglia region | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of regions providing VC | MenC | MenC | MenACWY | |
| 1995§ | 45.60% | 1.80% | ||
| 1996§ | 51.20% | 1.90% | ||
| 1997§ | 56.20% | 2.10% | ||
| 1998§ | 62.00% | 8.50% | ||
| 1999§ | 46.80% | 4.70% | ||
| 2000§ | 37.30% | 21.70% | ||
| 2001§ | 27.00% | 32.30% | ||
| 2002§ | 24.70% | 22.90% | ||
| 2004† | 47.00% | |||
| 2005† | 13 | 48.10% | 65.00% | |
| 2006† | 13 | 58.50% | 74.50% | |
| 2007† | 16 | 64.40% | 77.90% | |
| 2008† | 16 | 68.30% | 79.00% | |
| 2009† | 18 | 77.80% | 81.90% | |
| 2010† | 18 | 81.10% | 82.40% | |
| 2011† | 81.10% | |||
∗Average VC in regions which provided data. †One dose of MenC conjugate vaccine at 15 months of age. §One dose of MenC and, since 2012, of MenACWY conjugate vaccine at 11/12 years of age.
Figure 1Venn diagram of the number of meningococcal meningitis cases identified by the three sources MIB#, SIMI##, and HDR### (N = 213) in the Puglia region, within 2001–2013. #MIB, Invasive Bacterial Diseases Surveillance; ##SIMI, Infectious Diseases Routine Notification System; ###HDR, Hospital Discharge Registry.
Log-linear models fitted to three sources of data on meningococcal meningitis and the estimated number of cases in the Puglia region, within 2001–2013.
| Models | df∗ |
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| AIC∗∗ | BIC∗∗∗ |
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| 95% CI for |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent (no interaction) | 3 | 114.63 | 0 | 108.63 | 108.79 | 29 | 242 | 229–260 |
| Interaction (MIB#, SIMI##) | 2 | 21.81 | 0 | 17.81 | 17.92 | 77 | 290 | 260–333 |
| Interaction (MIB, HDR###) | 2 | 114.46 | 0 | 110.46 | 110.57 | 30 | 243 | 228–266 |
| Interaction (SIMI, HDR) | 2 | 87.01 | 0 | 83.01 | 83.12 | 6 | 219 | 214–231 |
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| Interaction (MIB, SIMI) and (SIMI, HDR) | 1 | 18.63 | 0 | 16.63 | 16.69 | 35 | 248 | 223–307 |
| Interaction (MIB, HDR) and (SIMI, HDR) | 1 | 84.92 | 0 | 82.92 | 82.97 | 5 | 218 | 213–228 |
| Interaction (MIB, SIMI) and (MIB, HDR) and (SIMI, HDR) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 457 | 271–1,225 |
∗df, degrees of freedom. † G 2, likelihood ratio statistic. ‡ p value for the likelihood ratio statistic. ∗∗AIC, Akaike Information Criterion. ∗∗∗BIC, Bayesian Information Criterion. §Estimate of the number of cases not reported to any source. ¶Estimate of the total number of cases.
#MIB, Invasive Bacterial Diseases Surveillance. ##SIMI, Infectious Diseases Routine Notification System. ###HDR, Hospital Discharge Registry.
Figure 2Annual incidence trend of IMD and MenC recommendations in Italy and in the Puglia region, within 2001–2013. National data not available [10]. Pool of cases from the three sources linkage.
Annual incidence rates per 100,000 Rate Ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs of IMD∗ between the prevaccination and the postvaccination period in the Puglia region, within 2001–2013, by class of age.
| Class of age | 2001–2005 | 2006–2013 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Rate per 100,000 |
| Rate per 100,000 | RR (95% CI) | |
| <1 year | 1 | 2.48 | 1 | 2.7 | 1.1 (0.1–17.1) |
| 1–4 years | 3 | 1.82 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 (0.1–3.9) |
| 5–9 years | 2.2 | 1.01 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 (0.1–5.5) |
| 10–14 years | 1.8 | 0.75 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.6 (0.1–7) |
| 15–19 years | 2.2 | 0.86 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 (0.1–5.5) |
| 20–24 years | 2.4 | 0.84 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 (0.2–7.2) |
| 25–49 years | 3.4 | 0.23 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 (0.1–2.8) |
| ≥50 years | 4.6 | 0.34 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 (0.2–3.3) |
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∗Pool of cases from the three sources' linkage.
Figure 3Prevented fraction of IMD cases ≤18 years of age and vaccination coverage against meningococcus C in the Puglia region, within 2001–2013, by vaccine efficacy (VE [27]). (a) Estimated P ed F for VC of 57.3% among subjects ≤18 years of age, assuming VE of 83–100%. (b) Estimated VC among subjects ≤18 years of age for P ed F of 31.3%, assuming VE of 83–100%.
Missed opportunities in the meningococcal vaccination programme. Active surveillance of IMD cases ≤30-year-olds, in Puglia region, January 2013–September 2014.
| Enrolment date | Gender | Age | Serogroup | Sequelae | Exitus | Vaccine to receive | Active call to vaccination |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2013 | M | 11 | Y | Partial deafness | No | MenACWY | February 2013 |
| October 2013 | F | 13 | C | None | No | MenACWY | January 2011 |
| May 2014 | F | 18 | C | None | Yes | MenC | February 2007 |