| Literature DB >> 26339540 |
Michelle Ploughman1, Chelsea Harris1, Elizabeth M Wallack1, Olivia Drodge1, Serge Beaulieu2, Nancy Mayo3.
Abstract
Background. Exercise at moderate intensity may confer neuroprotective benefits in multiple sclerosis (MS), however it has been reported that people with MS (PwMS) exercise less than national guideline recommendations. We aimed to determine predictors of moderate to vigorous exercise among a sample of older Canadians with MS who were divided into ambulatory (less disabled) and non-ambulatory (more disabled) groups. Methods. We analysed data collected as part of a national survey of health, lifestyle and aging with MS. Participants (n = 743) were Canadians over 55 years of age with MS for 20 or more years. We identified 'a priori' variables (demographic, personal, socioeconomic, physical health, exercise history and health care support) that may predict exercise at moderate to vigorous intensity (>6.75 metabolic equivalent hours/week). Predictive variables were entered into stepwise logistic regression until best fit was achieved. Results. There was no difference in explanatory models between ambulatory and non-ambulatory groups. The model predicting exercise included the ability to walk independently (OR 1.90, 95% CI [1.24-2.91]); low disability (OR 1.50, 95% CI [1.34-1.68] for each 10 point difference in Barthel Index score), perseverance (OR 1.17, 95% CI [1.08-1.26] for each additional point on the scale of 0-14), less fatigue (OR 2.01, 95% CI [1.32-3.07] for those in the lowest quartile), fewer years since MS diagnosis (OR 1.58, 95% CI [1.11-2.23] below the median of 23 years) and fewer cardiovascular comorbidities (OR 1.55 95% CI [1.02-2.35] one or no comorbidities). It was also notable that the factors, age, gender, social support, health care support and financial status were not predictive of exercise. Conclusions. This is the first examination of exercise and exercise predictors among older, more disabled PwMS. Disability is a major predictor of exercise participation (at moderate to vigorous levels) in both ambulatory and non-ambulatory groups suggesting that more exercise options must be developed for people with greater disability. Perseverance, fatigue, and cardiovascular comorbidities are predictors that are modifiable and potential targets for exercise adherence interventions.Entities:
Keywords: Depression; Disability; Exercise behavior; Perseverence; Physical activity; Physiotherapy; Progressive multiple sclerosis; Rehabilitation; Resilience; Self-efficacy
Year: 2015 PMID: 26339540 PMCID: PMC4558079 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.1158
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PeerJ ISSN: 2167-8359 Impact factor: 2.984
Statistical methods.
| Step # | Description |
|---|---|
| 1 | Examine the distribution of the outcome variable. If it is too skewed to model with linear regression, create a binary variable using theoretical considerations when available, or otherwise based on the statistical distribution. |
| 2 | Test univariate models with each predictor. If the predictor is ordinal or continuous, test two models: one with the predictor as continuous, the other as categorical, based either on variable categories or on quartiles. Examine estimates and AIC of each model. If the model with categorical estimates results in an AIC closer to 0, retain the ordinal format for that variable. If the categorical format is retained but four levels are not needed, reduce the variable to a binary format. |
| 3 | Test models of each predictor with ambulatory status and an interaction term to identify any predictors that have different associations with the outcome for ambulators and persons with limited ambulation. |
| 4 | Test an initial multivariate model of all predictors and interactions with |
| 5 | Remove one by one, predictors with |
| 6 | Once a model of only significant terms is obtained, add back each excluded variable, one by one. |
| 7 | Test a new multivariate model that includes any new variables with |
| 8 | Redo Step 5 until a final model is obtained except retain variables that improve fit even if they don’t attain significance at |
Characteristics of exercisers and non-exercisers.
| Self-reported characteristics | Exerciser | Non-exerciser | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 64.1 (±5.8) | 65.1 (±6.5) | |
| Total education | 13.6 (±2.5) | 13.3 (±2.7) | |
| Gender | Male | 83 | 83 |
| Female | 321 | 256 | |
| Years since diagnosis | 23.6 (±10.2) | 26.3 (±9.7) | |
| Barthel Index | 87.0 (±14.7) | 63.2 (±28.0) | |
| Type of MS (Initial diagnosis) | Relapsing-Remitting | 234 (60.6%) | 152 (39.4%) |
| Primary progressive | 40 (37.5%) | 59 (62.5%) | |
| Secondary progressive | 26 (40.0%) | 39 (60.0%) | |
| Progressive relapsing | 7 (43.8%) | 9 (56.3%) | |
| Benign | 26 (60.5%) | 17 (39.5%) | |
| Unknown | 68 (54.0%) | 58 (46.0%) | |
Notes.
p < 0.05.
p < 0.01.
Explanatory model of exercise participation.
| Model components | Description |
| Odds ratio: exp( | 95% CI of exp( |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ambulatory status | Non-Ambulatory | Reference | ||
| Ambulatory | 0.64 | 1.90 | 1.24, 2.91 | |
| Barthel Index (disability) score | 10 points less disability on a scale of 0–100 | 0.41 | 1.50 | 1.34, 1.68 |
| Perseverance | 1 point more perseverance on a 0–14 scale | 0.16 | 1.17 | 1.08, 1.26 |
| Fatigue today | 3 lowest quartiles on a scale of 0–100 | Reference | ||
| Best quartile | 0.70 | 2.01 | 1.32, 3.07 | |
| Years since MS diagnosis | Above the median (24–66 years) | Reference | ||
| Below the median (0–23 years) | 0.45 | 1.58 | 1.11, 2.23 | |
| Cardiovascular comorbidity | 2 or more | Reference | ||
| None or 1 | 0.44 | 1.55 | 1.02, 2.35 |
Notes.
p < 0.05.
p < 0.01.
p < 0.001.
Exp (β): exponential of the β coefficient yields the OR.