Literature DB >> 26280179

Ebola outbreak in West Africa: real-time estimation and multiple-wave prediction.

Xiang-Sheng Wang1, Luoyi Zhong.   

Abstract

Based on the reported data until 18 March 2015 and numerical fitting via a simple formula of cumulative case number, we provide real-time estimation on basic reproduction number, inflection point, peak time and final outbreak size of ongoing Ebola outbreak in West Africa. From our simulation, we conclude that the first wave has passed its inflection point and predict that a second epidemic wave may appear in the near future.

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Year:  2015        PMID: 26280179     DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2015.12.1055

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Math Biosci Eng        ISSN: 1547-1063            Impact factor:   2.080


  3 in total

1.  Effect of sexual transmission on the West Africa Ebola outbreak in 2014: a mathematical modelling study.

Authors:  Dongmei Luo; Rongjiong Zheng; Duolao Wang; Xueliang Zhang; Yi Yin; Kai Wang; Weiming Wang
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2019-02-07       Impact factor: 4.379

2.  Dynamics of Ebola Disease in the Framework of Different Fractional Derivatives.

Authors:  Khan Muhammad Altaf; Abdon Atangana
Journal:  Entropy (Basel)       Date:  2019-03-21       Impact factor: 2.524

3.  Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic.

Authors:  Jean-Paul Chretien; Steven Riley; Dylan B George
Journal:  Elife       Date:  2015-12-08       Impact factor: 8.140

  3 in total

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