| Literature DB >> 26280179 |
Xiang-Sheng Wang1, Luoyi Zhong.
Abstract
Based on the reported data until 18 March 2015 and numerical fitting via a simple formula of cumulative case number, we provide real-time estimation on basic reproduction number, inflection point, peak time and final outbreak size of ongoing Ebola outbreak in West Africa. From our simulation, we conclude that the first wave has passed its inflection point and predict that a second epidemic wave may appear in the near future.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 26280179 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2015.12.1055
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Math Biosci Eng ISSN: 1547-1063 Impact factor: 2.080