K S Kendler1, S L Lönn2, P Lichtenstein3, J Sundquist2, K Sundquist2. 1. Virginia Institute for Psychiatric and Behavioral Genetics,Virginia Commonwealth University,Richmond,VA,USA. 2. Center for Primary Health Care Research,Lund University,Malmö,Sweden. 3. Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics,Karolinska Institute,Stockholm,Sweden.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Certain personality traits predispose to criminal behavior (CB). We further clarify this relationship in a Swedish national sample. METHOD: Psychological strength (PS) was assessed on a nine-point scale at personal interview in 1 653 721 Swedish men aged 18-20 years. We examined the association between PS and total, violent and recurrent CB over the lifetime (logistic regression), prospectively (Cox regression) and by bivariate Cholesky decomposition in 2507 monozygotic and 2244 dizygotic twin pairs (OpenMx). RESULTS: Examining linear effects by logistic regression, PS was robustly associated with lifetime risk of total CB (per point, odds ratio = 0.74) and even more strongly associated with risk for violent (0.69) and recurrent CB (0.52). Prospective predictions of these three forms of CB by PS were similar, with hazard ratios of 0.80, 0.73 and 0.54, respectively. Twin modeling demonstrated that, for all three CB types, the association with PS arose almost entirely from familial effects. Common shared environment accounted for 72, 56 and 43% of the phenotypic correlation between PS and, respectively, total, violent and recurrent CB. Parallel figures for common genetic effects were for 24, 37 and 54%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: PS is strongly related to risk for total CB, and even more strongly for violent and, especially, recurrent CB. This association is probably not causal but rather results from shared familial risk factors that make an impact both on PS and risk for CB. PS has a stronger overall correlation with more severe criminal outcomes and a higher proportion of that correlation results from common genetic factors.
BACKGROUND: Certain personality traits predispose to criminal behavior (CB). We further clarify this relationship in a Swedish national sample. METHOD: Psychological strength (PS) was assessed on a nine-point scale at personal interview in 1 653 721 Swedish men aged 18-20 years. We examined the association between PS and total, violent and recurrent CB over the lifetime (logistic regression), prospectively (Cox regression) and by bivariate Cholesky decomposition in 2507 monozygotic and 2244 dizygotic twin pairs (OpenMx). RESULTS: Examining linear effects by logistic regression, PS was robustly associated with lifetime risk of total CB (per point, odds ratio = 0.74) and even more strongly associated with risk for violent (0.69) and recurrent CB (0.52). Prospective predictions of these three forms of CB by PS were similar, with hazard ratios of 0.80, 0.73 and 0.54, respectively. Twin modeling demonstrated that, for all three CB types, the association with PS arose almost entirely from familial effects. Common shared environment accounted for 72, 56 and 43% of the phenotypic correlation between PS and, respectively, total, violent and recurrent CB. Parallel figures for common genetic effects were for 24, 37 and 54%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:PS is strongly related to risk for total CB, and even more strongly for violent and, especially, recurrent CB. This association is probably not causal but rather results from shared familial risk factors that make an impact both on PS and risk for CB. PS has a stronger overall correlation with more severe criminal outcomes and a higher proportion of that correlation results from common genetic factors.
Authors: Elizabeth C Long; Sara L Lönn; Jianguang Ji; Paul Lichtenstein; Jan Sundquist; Kristina Sundquist; Kenneth S Kendler Journal: Alcohol Clin Exp Res Date: 2016-12-05 Impact factor: 3.455
Authors: Joseph F Hayes; David P J Osborn; Glyn Lewis; Christina Dalman; Andreas Lundin Journal: JAMA Psychiatry Date: 2017-07-01 Impact factor: 21.596