R Todd Stravitz1, Adrian Reuben2, Meir Mizrahi3, Gadi Lalazar3, Kim Brown4, Stuart C Gordon4, Yaron Ilan3, Arun Sanyal5. 1. Section of Hepatology, Hume-Lee Transplant Center of Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA. Electronic address: rstravit@vcu.edu. 2. Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC, USA. 3. Hadassah Hebrew University Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel. 4. Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, MI, USA. 5. Section of Hepatology, Hume-Lee Transplant Center of Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USA.
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The MELD score predicts short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis; however, some patients with low scores develop complications and die unexpectedly. Consequently, we evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the methacetin breath test (MBT), an assay of liver metabolic function, and the MELD score, to predict the risk of complications of cirrhosis and liver-related death. METHODS: One hundred sixty-five patients with cirrhosis received oral (13)C-methacetin; (13)CO2 was measured in expired breath (BreathID; Exalenz). The cumulative percent dose recovery of (13)CO2 at 20 min with a threshold of ⩽0.55% (high-risk) and >0.55% (low risk) most accurately predicted liver-related death and the risk of cirrhotic complications within one year. MELD thresholds of ⩾15 and ⩾19 were also examined to predict the same endpoints. RESULTS: Dose recovery ⩽0.55% and MELD ⩾19 both predicted liver-related death (HR 12.6 [95% CI 1.6-98.3]; p=0.016, and HR 5.5 [1.6-18.9]; p=0.007, respectively); MELD ⩾15 did not. Dose recovery ⩽0.55% (HR 1.9 [1.1-3.2]; p=0.03) also predicted the risk of ⩾1 complication(s), and was particularly able to foretell the risk of development/exacerbation of ascites (HR 4.7 [1.8-11.9]; p=0.001), which was not achieved by either MELD threshold. Finally, in patients with MELD <19, dose recovery ⩽0.55% predicted the risk of death (p=0.017), development of ⩾1 cirrhotic complication(s) (p=0.062), and development/exacerbation of ascites (p=0.0009). CONCLUSIONS: In this pilot study, methacetin breath testing predicted the risk of liver-related death and development/exacerbation of ascites more accurately than MELD ⩾15 or ⩾19. In patients with low MELD (<19points), MBT may be useful to identify patients in whom the frequency of clinical observation should be intensified.
BACKGROUND & AIMS: The MELD score predicts short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis; however, some patients with low scores develop complications and die unexpectedly. Consequently, we evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the methacetin breath test (MBT), an assay of liver metabolic function, and the MELD score, to predict the risk of complications of cirrhosis and liver-related death. METHODS: One hundred sixty-five patients with cirrhosis received oral (13)C-methacetin; (13)CO2 was measured in expired breath (BreathID; Exalenz). The cumulative percent dose recovery of (13)CO2 at 20 min with a threshold of ⩽0.55% (high-risk) and >0.55% (low risk) most accurately predicted liver-related death and the risk of cirrhotic complications within one year. MELD thresholds of ⩾15 and ⩾19 were also examined to predict the same endpoints. RESULTS: Dose recovery ⩽0.55% and MELD ⩾19 both predicted liver-related death (HR 12.6 [95% CI 1.6-98.3]; p=0.016, and HR 5.5 [1.6-18.9]; p=0.007, respectively); MELD ⩾15 did not. Dose recovery ⩽0.55% (HR 1.9 [1.1-3.2]; p=0.03) also predicted the risk of ⩾1 complication(s), and was particularly able to foretell the risk of development/exacerbation of ascites (HR 4.7 [1.8-11.9]; p=0.001), which was not achieved by either MELD threshold. Finally, in patients with MELD <19, dose recovery ⩽0.55% predicted the risk of death (p=0.017), development of ⩾1 cirrhotic complication(s) (p=0.062), and development/exacerbation of ascites (p=0.0009). CONCLUSIONS: In this pilot study, methacetin breath testing predicted the risk of liver-related death and development/exacerbation of ascites more accurately than MELD ⩾15 or ⩾19. In patients with low MELD (<19points), MBT may be useful to identify patients in whom the frequency of clinical observation should be intensified.
Authors: Maximilian Jara; Tomasz Dziodzio; Maciej Malinowski; Katja Lüttgert; Radoslav Nikolov; Paul Viktor Ritschl; Robert Öllinger; Johann Pratschke; Martin Stockmann Journal: Dig Dis Sci Date: 2018-11-07 Impact factor: 3.199
Authors: Tomasz Dziodzio; Robert Öllinger; Wenzel Schöning; Antonia Rothkäppel; Radoslav Nikolov; Andrzej Juraszek; Paul V Ritschl; Martin Stockmann; Johann Pratschke; Maximilian Jara Journal: BMC Gastroenterol Date: 2020-08-12 Impact factor: 3.067