Song Bo Hu1, Fang Wang2, Chuan Hua Yu3. 1. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, China. 2. School of Science, Jiujiang College, Jiujiang 332005, Jiangxi, China. 3. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, Hubei, China; Global Health Institute, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, China.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate (1q0) from China's sixth census. METHODS: A log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the average relative errors (AREs) for 1q0 between the estimated and reported values using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. RESULTS: For the sixth census, the AREs are more than 100% for almost all provinces. The estimated average 1q0 level for 31 provinces is 12.3‰ for males and 10.7‰ for females. CONCLUSION: The data for the provincial 1q0 from China's sixth census have a serious data quality problem. The actual levels of 1q0 for each province are significantly higher than the reported values.
OBJECTIVE: To assess the data quality and estimate the provincial infant mortality rate (1q0) from China's sixth census. METHODS: A log-quadratic model is applied to under-fifteen data. We analyze and compare the average relative errors (AREs) for 1q0 between the estimated and reported values using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. RESULTS: For the sixth census, the AREs are more than 100% for almost all provinces. The estimated average 1q0 level for 31 provinces is 12.3‰ for males and 10.7‰ for females. CONCLUSION: The data for the provincial 1q0 from China's sixth census have a serious data quality problem. The actual levels of 1q0 for each province are significantly higher than the reported values.