| Literature DB >> 26148099 |
Emmanuelle Leray1, Sandra Vukusic2, Marc Debouverie3, Michel Clanet4, Bruno Brochet5, Jérôme de Sèze6, Hélène Zéphir7, Gilles Defer8, Christine Lebrun-Frenay9, Thibault Moreau10, Pierre Clavelou11, Jean Pelletier12, Eric Berger13, Philippe Cabre14, Jean-Philippe Camdessanché15, Shoshannah Kalson-Ray16, Christian Confavreux17, Gilles Edan18.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Recent studies in multiple sclerosis (MS) showed longer survival times from clinical onset than older hospital-based series. However estimated median time ranges widely, from 24 to 45 years, which makes huge difference for patients as this neurological disease mainly starts around age 20 to 40. Precise and up-to-date reference data about mortality in MS are crucial for patients and neurologists, but unavailable yet in France.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26148099 PMCID: PMC4492994 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0132033
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Flowchart of the study population.
These patients had the classic characteristics of MS populations: F/M sex ratio 2.47 (19,656/7,947); mean age at MS clinical onset 32.8 ± 10.6 years; and 85.5% relapsing-onset MS (23,438/27,408; 195 missing values). As expected, mean age at onset was significantly higher and F/M sex ratio lower for progressive onset MS than for relapsing-onset MS (41.8 ± 10.8 vs. 31.2 ± 9.7 years, t test, p < 10−4, and 1.40 vs. 2.76, Fisher’s exact test, p < 10−4, respectively). MS = Multiple Sclerosis.
Comparison of demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) according to vital status at the end of the study.
| Vital status at the end of study | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Alive | Dead | Censored alive |
| N = 21,427 | N = 1,569 | N = 4,607 | |
| Sex | |||
| Male | 6,152 (28.7%) | 685 (43.7%) | 1,110 (24.1%) |
| Female | 15,275 (71.3%) | 884 (56.3%) | 3497 (75.9%) |
| Sex ratio F:M | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3.2 |
| Mean age at MS onset (± SD), years | 32.4 ± 10.4 | 35.2 ± 11.8 | 35.9 ± 10.9 |
| Mean age at last information (± SD), years | 47.8 ± 12.5 | 56.4 ± 13.3 | 46.1 ± 13.1 |
| Mean MS duration (± SD), years | 15.5 ± 10.0 | 21.2 ± 11.7 | 12.2 ± 10.4 |
| Initial MS course | |||
| Relapsing | 18,517 (86.7%) | 1,137 (72.6%) | 3,784 (84.4%) |
| Progressive | 2,841 (13.3%) | 430 (27.4%) | 699 (15.6%) |
Characteristics of the 1569 deaths categorized by underlying cause of death.
| Cause of death | Number of deaths (/1569) (%) | F/M sex ratio | Median age in years at MS clinical onset (range) | Median age in years at death (range) | Median disease duration in years at death (range) | Number (%) of patients with relapsing onset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 1569 (100%) | 884/685 1.29 | 34.3 (6-72) | 56.0 (19-96) | 19.7 (1-88) | 1.137 (72.5%) |
| MS | 700 (44.6%) | 380/320 1.19 | 32.2 (10-72) | 54.5 (22-88) | 19.7 (1-63) | 509 (72.8%) |
| Cancer | 187 (11.8%) | 120/67 1.79 | 38.0 (6-63) | 58.8 (21-85) | 19.2 (1-55) | 152 (81.3%) |
| Cardiovascular disease / stroke | 126 (8.1%) | 60/66 0.91 | 38.1 (7-70) | 61.0 (34-88) | 22.2 (2-58) | 89 (70.6%) |
| Infections | 67 (3.0%) | 41/26 1.58 | 33.3 (17-58) | 63.9 (35-92) | 24.6 (2-57) | 39 (58.2%) |
| Suicide | 47 (3.0%) | 24/23 1.04 | 32.2 (14-54) | 46.4 (19-69) | 12.3 (2-45) | 35 (74.5%) |
| Other causes | 211 (13.4%) | 126/85 1.48 | 36.0 (11-72) | 59.0 (20-96) | 21.5 (1-59) | 140 (66.3%) |
| Unknown | 231 (14.7%) | 133/98 1.36 | 34.3 (11-72) | 54.2 (19-88) | 19.2 (1–53) | 173 (74.9%) |
a Accidents, digestive diseases, respiratory diseases, neurological diseases other than MS, unspecified, and other causes.
b Unavailable death certificates.
MS = multiple sclerosis; F = female; M = male.
Mortality rates and survival probabilities 25 years after MS clinical onset.
| Subgroups | Number of deaths (%) | Death rate (per 1000 patient-years) [95% CI] | Probability of being alive 25 years after MS clinical onset (%) [95% CI] | Adjusted odds ratio [95% CI] | p-value (Logrank test) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1,569 (5.7%) | 3.73 [3.55–3.92] | 89.6 [88.9–90.2] | n.a. | n.a. |
| Sex | 10−4 | ||||
| Male | 685 (8.6%) | 5.53 [5.13–5.96] | 84.9 [83.4–86.2] | 1.67 [1.51–1.85] | |
| Female | 884 (4.5%) | 2.98 [2.79–3.18] | 91.7 [91.0–92.4] | 1 | |
| Age at MS onset (years) | 10−4 | ||||
| <20 | 134 (4.9% | 2.45 [2.07–2.90] | 95.1 [93.8–96.2] | 1 | |
| 20–40 | 925 (5.1%) | 3.23 [3.03–3.45] | 91.4 [90.6–92.1] | 1.81 [1.50–2.18] | |
| ≥40 | 510 (7.5%) | 6.38 [5.85–6.96] | 76.1 [73.3–78.6] | 4.84 [3.94–5.94] | |
| Initial course | 10−4 | ||||
| Relapsing | 1,137 (4.9%) | 3.16 [2.98–3.34] | 91.6 [90.9–92.2] | 1 | |
| Progressive | 430 (10.8%) | 7.33 [6.67–8.06] | 73.3 [74.7–79.6] | 1.73 [1.53–1.95] | |
| Year of onset | Not included | 10−4 | |||
| <1980 | 327 (18.2%) | 5.44 [5.04–5.89] | 93.7 [92.8–94.5] | ||
| 1980–1989 | 485 (9.1%) | 4.05 [3.70–4.42] | 88.2 [87.0–89.3] | ||
| 1990–1999 | 380 (3.7%) | 2.78 [2.51–3.07] | n. a. | ||
| 2000–2009 | 73 (0.8%) | 1.52 [1.21–1.91] | n. a. | ||
| MS duration (years) | n. a. | Not included | 10−4 | ||
| 0–10 | 257 (2.6%) | 1.11 [0.98–1.26] | |||
| 10–20 | 543 (5.4%) | 4.46 [4.10–4.85] | |||
| 20–30 | 447 (8.9%) | 9.27 [8.45–10.17] | |||
| 30–40 | 216 (11.0%) | 14.11 [12.35–16.12] | |||
| >40 | 106 (15.1%) | 26.48 [21.89–32.03] |
MS = multiple sclerosis; CI = confidence interval; n.a. = not applicable
Fig 2Comparison of the survival in MS patients with the survival of the French general population.
Kaplan-Meier survival estimates according to time from MS clinical onset (years). MS = Multiple Sclerosis.
Overall and subgroup comparisons of mortality between MS patients and the French general population using Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMR estimates with 95% CI, Poisson distribution).
| Number of patients | Observed deaths | Expected deaths | SMR [95% CI] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27,603 | 1,569 | 1060.64 | 1.48 [1.41–1.55] |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 7,947 | 674 | 524.67 | 1.30 [1.21–1.40] |
| Female | 19,656 | 885 | 535.97 | 1.65 [1.55–1.76] |
| Age at MS onset (years) | ||||
| <20 | 2,746 | 134 | 62.19 | 2.15 [1.81–2.54] |
| 20–40 | 18,089 | 925 | 581.39 | 1.59 [1.49–1.70] |
| ≥ 40 | 6,768 | 510 | 417.06 | 1.22 [1.12–1.33] |
| Initial MS course | ||||
| Relapsing | 22,438 | 1,137 | 797.23 | 1.43 [1.35–1.51] |
| Progressive | 3,970 | 430 | 256.91 | 1.67 [1.52–1.84] |
| MS onset ≤ 2000 | 19,076 | 1,498 | 986.87 | 1.52 [1.44–1.60] |
| MS onset ≥ 1975 | 25,571 | 1,142 | 769.44 | 1.48 [1.40–1.57] |
| 1st appointment | 19,540 | 679 | 596.40 | 1.14 [1.06–1.23] |
| MS duration ≥ 20 years | 8,475 | 1,569 | 711.96 | 2.20 [2.10–2.31] |
| MS duration ≥ 10 years | 17,874 | 1,569 | 973.04 | 1.61 [1.53–1.69] |
| Patients censored alive excluded | 22,996 | 1,569 | 917.97 | 1.71 [1.63–1.79] |
a 1st appointment = 1st appointment with a neurologist;
Abbreviations: CI = confidence interval; MS = multiple sclerosis; SMR = standardized mortality ratio.