| Literature DB >> 26107445 |
Paulo Ernando Ferraz Cavalcanti1, Michel Pompeu Barros de Oliveira Sá1, Cecília Andrade dos Santos1, Isaac Melo Esmeraldo1, Mariana Leal Chaves1, Ricardo Felipe de Albuquerque Lins1, Ricardo de Carvalho Lima1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether stratification of complexity models in congenital heart surgery (RACHS-1, Aristotle basic score and STS-EACTS mortality score) fit to our center and determine the best method of discriminating hospital mortality.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26107445 PMCID: PMC4462959 DOI: 10.5935/1678-9741.20150001
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Rev Bras Cir Cardiovasc
The risk categories from the stratification of complexity methods with some procedures.
| RACHS-1 | STS-EACTS (STAT) mortality score | Aristotle basic score |
|---|---|---|
| Category 1 PDA>30d, OS ASD, sinus venosus septal defect, aortic coarctation>30d, PAPVC | Category 1 ASD, VSD, Fontan (lateral tunnel, fenestrated), aortic coarctation repair (end to end), TOF repair (no TAP) | Category 1 ASD repair, AVSD repair (intermediate and partial), PDA, PAPVC repair |
| Category 2 VSD, TOF, Glenn, OP ASD, aortic coarctation at age<30d, ASD and VSD, repair of total anomalous pulmonary veins at age >30d | Category 2 PDA, mitral plasty, Glenn, TOF (TAP), Fon-tan (external conduit, fenestrated) | Category2 VSD, Glenn, Systemic to pulmonary shunt (MTBS and central), TOF (ventriculotomy, non-TAP) |
| Category 3 Fontan procedure, Systemic to pulmonary artery shunt, mitral valvotomy or valvuloplasty, MVR, PA banding | Category 3 Arterial switch operation, coarctation repair (patch aortoplasty), AVSD repair (complete), coarctation repair + VSD repair, Rastelli. | Category 3 TOF (TAP), Fontan, TAPVC repair, mitral valvuloplasty, MVR |
| Category 4 Arterial switch operation with VSD closure, atrial septectomy, repair of total anomalous pulmonary veins at age <30d | Category 4 Arterial switch operation and VSD repair, Arterial switch procedure + aortic arch repair, PA banding, systemic-pulmonary shunt (MBTS or central), MVR, TOF-AVSD repair | Category 4 Senning, ASO, ASO and VSD, DORV (intraventricular tunnel repair), Rastelli, Norwood |
| Category 5 Repair of truncus arteriosus and interrupted arch, tricuspid valve repositioning for neonatal Ebstein anomaly at age <30d | Category 5 Norwood procedure, Damus-Kaye-Stansel procedure | |
| Category 6 Norwood operation, Damus-Kaye-Stansel procedure |
PDA=patent ductus arteriosus; OS ASD=ostium secundum atrial septal defect; PAPVC=partial anomalous pulmonary venous connection; VSD=ventricular septal defect, TOF=tetralogy of Fallot; OP ASD=ostium primum atrial septal defect; MVR=mitral valve replacement, PA=pulmonary artery; TAP=transannular patch; AVSD=atrioventricular septal defect; MBTS=modified Blalock-Taussig shunt; TAPVC=total anomalous pulmonary venous connection; ASO=arterial switch operation; DORV=double-outlet right ventricle
Characteristics of patients.
| Variables | N | % |
|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||
| Male | 198 | 55.0 |
| Female | 162 | 45.0 |
| Age | ||
| < 3 months | 27 | 7.5 |
| 3-6 months | 36 | 10.0 |
| 6-12 months | 52 | 14.4 |
| 1-12 years | 208 | 57.8 |
| 12-18 years | 37 | 10.3 |
| Weight | ||
| <8 Kg | 122 | 34.1 |
| 8-16 Kg | 129 | 36.0 |
| >16 Kg | 107 | 29.9 |
| Cardiopulmonary bypass | ||
| Yes | 268 | 74.4 |
| No | 92 | 25.6 |
| Total |
=information unavailable for two patients
Characteristics of patients.
| Variables | Mean±SD | Min | Q1 | Median | Q3 | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (Years) | 4.1±4.4 | 0.05 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 5.9 | 17.9 |
| Weight (Kg) | 14.3±11.8 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 10.2 | 18.0 | 61.0 |
| Height (Cm) | 91.7±31.8 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 84.0 | 112.0 | 172.0 |
SD=standard deviation; Q1=first quartile; Q3=third quartile
Fig. 1Distribution of procedures in the categories of the three methods of stratification of complexity: RACHS-1, STS-EACTS (STAT) and Aristotle Basic (ABC). RACHS-1 (Categories 1,2,3,4,5 and 6); STS-EACTS (STAT) (1,2,3,4 and 5 categories); Aristotle basic (ABC) (categories 1,2,3 and 4). We did not have procedures in categories 5 and 6 according to RACHS-1, as well as the category 5 STAT.
Fig. 2Distribution according to the nomenclature of the procedures proposed by Aristotle score. Graph showing the variability of the treated patients between surgical cases. To facilitate the graphical representation of the total sample, 15 different procedures grouped under 2 cases in the entire period under "Other procedures" (<2 cases).
In-hospital mortality according to the 2 groups.
| Group | Percentage of the total sample | Description of the Group | In-hospital mortality |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 | 77.7% | Procedures that had 10 or more cases in the studied period | 6.69% |
| Group 2 | 22.3% | Procedures that had fewer than 10 cases in the studied period | 32.5% |
Except the systemic to pulmonary shunts whose mortality was 26.82%.
In-hospital mortality according to the categories of the three models of risk stratification.
| Categories | Outcome | Case | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Death | Discharge | ||||||
| N | % | N | % | N | % | ||
| RACHS-1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 79 | 98.8 | 80 | 100.0 | |
| 2 | 20 | 11.4 | 156 | 88.6 | 176 | 100.0 | |
| 3 | 24 | 27.3 | 64 | 72.7 | 88 | 100.0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 50.0 | 8 | 50.0 | 16 | 100.0 | |
| STS-EACTS (STAT) | |||||||
| 1 | 10 | 5.5 | 172 | 94.5 | 182 | 100.0 | |
| 2 | 11 | 13.6 | 70 | 86.4 | 81 | 100.0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 18.7 | 13 | 81.3 | 16 | 100.0 | |
| 4 | 29 | 35.8 | 52 | 64.2 | 81 | 100.0 | |
| Aristotle | |||||||
| 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 90 | 98.9 | 91 | 100.0 | |
| 2 | 25 | 12.2 | 180 | 87.8 | 205 | 100.0 | |
| 3 | 16 | 34.0 | 31 | 66.0 | 47 | 100.0 | |
| 4 | 11 | 64.7 | 6 | 35.3 | 17 | 100.0 | |
Chi2 test
Fig. 3Area under the ROC curve of the categories proposed by laminating three models hospital mortality as the endpoint. Graph of the ROC curves (Receiver Operating Characteristic) for the three models plotted with different colors. Observe the superposition of three curves.
Results regarding area under the ROC curve and comparative results between the methods concerning the mortality outcome.
| Model/Method | Area uinder ROC curve | CI 95% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RACHS-1 | 0.738 | 0.690-0.783 | Px=0.9651 |
| STS-EACTS (STAT) | 0.739 | 0.691-0.784 | P2=0.9651 |
| Aristotle (ABC) | 0.766 | 0.718-0.808 | P3=0.5054 |
P1=DeLong at al.[ test - RACHS-1 x STAT; P2=DeLong at al.[ test - RACHS-1 x ABC; P3=DeLong at al.[ test - STAT x ABC; CI=confidence interval
Clinical risk factors and definitions considerated in Mattos' study.
| Risk factor | Definition |
|---|---|
| Pulmonary hypertension | Pulmonary arterial systolic pressure over two-thirds of the systemic pressure (Doppler echo) |
| Refractary cardiac failure | When it was not well controlled despite adequate doses of diuretics and vasodilators |
| Severe cyanosis | Peripheral arterial saturation <75% at rest |
| Acidosis | pH <7.25 |
| Presence of infection | clinical + radiological or laboratorial documentation |
| Genetic syndrome | clinical grounds |
| Mechanical ventilation | When it was commenced because of a deterioration in the clinical condition |
| Prolonged hospital stay | Preoperative period of hospitalization of over one week |
| CI | Confidence Interval |
| EACTS | European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery |
| RACHS-1 | Risk Adjustment for Congenital Heart Surgery-1 |
| STAT | Society of Thoracic Surgeons-European Associa- |
| tion for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery | |
| STS | Society of Thoracic Surgeons |
| PEFC | Analysis and/or interpretation of data; statistical analysis; final approval of the manuscript; study design; operations and/ or experiments conduct; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |
| MPBOS | Analysis and/or interpretation of data; statistical analysis; final approval of the manuscript; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |
| CAS | Conception and design; operations and/or experiments conduct; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |
| IME | Conception and design; operations and/or experiments conduct; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |
| MLC | Conception and design; operations and/or experiments conduct; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |
| RFAL | Analysis and/or interpretation of data; final approval of the manuscript; study design; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |
| RCL | Analysis and/or interpretation of data; statistical analysis; final approval of the manuscript; study design; writing of the manuscript or critical review of its content |