Hamdi Boubaker1, Kaouther Beltaief1, Mohamed Habib Grissa1, Wièm Kerkeni2, Zohra Dridi3, Mohamed Amine Msolli1, Hamdène Chouchène1, Alia Belaïd1, Hamadi Chouchène1, Mohamed Sassi1, Wahid Bouida1, Riadh Boukef4, Mehdi Methemmem5, Soudani Marghli2, Semir Nouira6. 1. Emergency Department, Fattouma Bourguiba University Hospital, Monastir, Tunisia; Research Laboratory (LR12SP18), University of Monastir Tunisia, Monastir, Tunisia. 2. Emergency Department, Tahar Sfar University Hospital, Mahdia Tunisia; Research Laboratory (LR12SP18), University of Monastir Tunisia, Monastir, Tunisia. 3. Cardiology Department, Fattouma Bourguiba University Hospital, Monastir, Tunisia. 4. Emergency Department, Sahloul University Hospital, Sousse, Tunisia; Research Laboratory (LR12SP18), University of Monastir Tunisia, Monastir, Tunisia. 5. Emergency Department, Farhat Hached Hospital, Sousse, Tunisia. 6. Emergency Department, Fattouma Bourguiba University Hospital, Monastir, Tunisia; Research Laboratory (LR12SP18), University of Monastir Tunisia, Monastir, Tunisia. Electronic address: Semir.nouira@rns.tn.
Abstract
PURPOSE: The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) and the Global Registry in Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) scores were largely evaluated and validated in stratifying risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chest pain and acute coronary syndrome. Our objective was to compare these 2 scores in predicting outcome in emergency department (ED) patients with undifferentiated chest pain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study including patients presenting to 4 EDs with chest pain with nondiagnostic or normal ECG. For all included patients (n = 3125), TIMI and GRACE scores were calculated. Follow-up was conducted at 30-day and 1-year post-ED index admission to identify major adverse events. Main outcome included all cause mortality, acute coronary syndrome, and coronary non-ED planned revascularization. Prognostic performance of the scores was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: We reported 285 (9.1%) major adverse events at 30 days and 436 (13.9%) at 1 year. In patients with low TIMI (≤2) and GRACE (<109) scores, a significant proportion had major adverse events at 30 days (5% and 7.5%, respectively) and 1 year (7.9% and 12.9%, respectively). Area under ROC curve at 30 days was 0.66 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-0.71) vs 0.57 (95% CI, 0.53-0.62), respectively, for TIMI and GRACE scores. At 1 year, the area under ROC was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62-0.71) and 0.65 (95% CI, 0.60-0.70), respectively, for TIMI and GRACE scores. CONCLUSIONS: The TIMI and GRACE scores are not valid in short- and long-term risk stratification in our chest pain patients.
PURPOSE: The Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) and the Global Registry in Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) scores were largely evaluated and validated in stratifying risk of cardiovascular events in patients with chest pain and acute coronary syndrome. Our objective was to compare these 2 scores in predicting outcome in emergency department (ED) patients with undifferentiated chest pain. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study including patients presenting to 4 EDs with chest pain with nondiagnostic or normal ECG. For all included patients (n = 3125), TIMI and GRACE scores were calculated. Follow-up was conducted at 30-day and 1-year post-ED index admission to identify major adverse events. Main outcome included all cause mortality, acute coronary syndrome, and coronary non-ED planned revascularization. Prognostic performance of the scores was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: We reported 285 (9.1%) major adverse events at 30 days and 436 (13.9%) at 1 year. In patients with low TIMI (≤2) and GRACE (<109) scores, a significant proportion had major adverse events at 30 days (5% and 7.5%, respectively) and 1 year (7.9% and 12.9%, respectively). Area under ROC curve at 30 days was 0.66 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-0.71) vs 0.57 (95% CI, 0.53-0.62), respectively, for TIMI and GRACE scores. At 1 year, the area under ROC was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62-0.71) and 0.65 (95% CI, 0.60-0.70), respectively, for TIMI and GRACE scores. CONCLUSIONS: The TIMI and GRACE scores are not valid in short- and long-term risk stratification in our chest painpatients.