| Literature DB >> 26053035 |
Tsung-Hsien Yu1, Yu-Chi Tung1, Kuo-Piao Chung1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Volume-infection relationships have been examined for high-risk surgical procedures, but the conclusions remain controversial. The inconsistency might be due to inaccurate identification of cases of infection and different methods of categorizing service volumes. This study takes coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgical site infections (SSIs) as an example to examine whether a relationship exists between operation volumes and SSIs, when different SSIs case identification, definitions and categorization methods of operation volumes were implemented.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26053035 PMCID: PMC4459823 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0129178
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Performance comparisons between ICD-9-CM-based and CART models for identifying CABG Surgical Site Infections.
| Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Accuracy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||
| ICD-9-CM SSI code | 37.50%(9/24) | 96.27%(956/993) | 19.57%(9/46) | 98.46%(956/971) | 94.89%(965/1017) |
| CART | 87.50%(21/24) | 99.40%(987/993) | 77.78%(21/27) | 99.70%(987/990) | 99.12%(1008/1017) |
|
| |||||
| ICD-9-CM SSI code | 35.29% (6/17) | 96.98% (803/828) | 19.35% (6/31) | 98.65% (803/814) | 95.74% (809/845) |
| CART | 88.24% (15/17) | 99.28% (822/828) | 71.43% (15/21) | 99.76% (822/824) | 99.05% (838/845) |
% (numerator/ denominator)
PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value.
Source: Yu et al., 2014(11)
Fig 1Scatter plot: hospital cumulative operation volumes within the study period.
Fig 4Scatter plot: surgeon cumulative operation volumes in the previous one year before surgery.
Descriptive statistics (n = 7,007).
| Variables | |
|---|---|
|
| |
| Age | 65.34(11.06) |
| Gender(male) | 5,429(77.48) |
| Length of stay | 20.78(11.47) |
| Length of ICU stay | 6.05(6.29) |
| Number of vessels obstructed | 1.64 (0.49) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 3,630(51.81) |
| Heart failure | 2,331(33.27) |
| Renal failure and Renal insufficiency | 987(14.09) |
| COPD | 1,544(22.04) |
| SSI: identified by ICD-9-CM SSI code | 302(4.31) |
| SSI: identified by the CART model | 107(1.53) |
|
| |
| Age | 45.00(7.73) |
| Gender(male) | 6,943(99.09) |
| Average cumulative volumes within study period | 151.64(97.77) |
| Average cumulative volumes in previous one year | 52.18(33.57) |
|
| |
| Ownership | |
| Public | 3,282(46.84) |
| Not-for-profit | 3,725(53.16) |
| Geographic location | |
| Highly urbanized areas | 3,413(48.71) |
| Moderately urbanized areas | 3,594(51.29) |
| Average cumulative volumes within study period | 473.60(185.87) |
| Average cumulative volumes in previous one year | 158.79(61.92) |
† mean (S.D)
‡N (%); SSI: surgical site infection; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Results of Multilevel Analysis: Cumulative volumes within the study period and SSIs were identified by the ICD-9-CM codes.
| Model 1 (continuous) | Model 2 (quartile) | Model 3 (k-means) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 7,007 | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | |||
| LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | |||||||
| Fixed effects | ||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 1.347 | 0.724 | 2.506 | 0.3224 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 0.528 | 0.207 | 1.350 | 0.1667 | 0.672 | 0.217 | 2.079 | 0.4626 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 0.541 | 0.226 | 1.300 | 0.1551 | 1.103 | 0.556 | 2.186 | 0.7639 | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 0.844 | 0.743 | 0.958 | 0.0086 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 2.220 | 1.133 | 4.350 | 0.0224 | 1.709 | 0.911 | 3.203 | 0.0922 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 1.881 | 0.919 | 3.848 | 0.0806 | 1.385 | 0.936 | 2.048 | 0.1003 | ||||
OR: odds ratio; C.I.: confidence interval; LCL: lower confidence limit; UCL: upper confidence limit
All models were adjusted by hospital ownership and geographic location, surgeon’s gender and age, patient’s age, gender, length of ICU stay, number of vessels obstructed and underlying diseases
Results of Multilevel Analysis: Cumulative volumes within the study period and SSIs were identified by the CART model.
| Model 1 (continuous) | Model 2 (quartile) | Model 3 (k-means) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 7,007 | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | |||
| LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | |||||||
| Fixed effects | ||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 0.937 | 0.369 | 2.381 | 0.8837 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 1.208 | 0.279 | 5.241 | 0.7860 | 0.586 | 0.103 | 3.340 | 0.5208 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 0.763 | 0.193 | 3.015 | 0.6787 | 1.623 | 0.616 | 4.270 | 0.3015 | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 0.734 | 0.616 | 0.875 | 0.0006 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 2.469 | 0.769 | 7.925 | 0.1216 | 3.774 | 1.691 | 8.424 | 0.0020 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 1.986 | 0.608 | 6.485 | 0.2406 | 1.322 | 0.676 | 2.586 | 0.4038 | ||||
OR: odds ratio; C.I.: confidence interval; LCL: lower confidence limit; UCL: upper confidence limit
All models were adjusted by hospital ownership and geographic location, surgeon’s gender and age, patient’s age, gender, length of ICU stay, number of vessels obstructed and underlying diseases
Results of Multilevel Analysis: Cumulative volumes in the previous one year and SSIs were identified by the ICD-9-CM codes.
| Model 1 (continuous) | Model 2 (quartile) | Model 3 (k-means) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 7,007 | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | |||
| LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | |||||||
| Fixed effects | ||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 1.434 | 0.834 | 2.466 | 0.1924 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 0.678 | 0.303 | 1.516 | 0.2695 | 0.592 | 0.136 | 2.578 | 0.3394 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 0.658 | 0.377 | 1.148 | 0.1111 | 0.973 | 0.428 | 2.214 | 0.9228 | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 0.831 | 0.704 | 0.980 | 0.0280 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 1.627 | 0.975 | 2.714 | 0.0615 | 1.642 | 1.024 | 2.633 | 0.0400 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 1.484 | 0.947 | 2.325 | 0.0828 | 1.406 | 0.969 | 2.040 | 0.0712 | ||||
OR: odds ratio; C.I.: confidence interval; LCL: lower confidence limit; UCL: upper confidence limit
All models were adjusted by hospital ownership and geographic location, surgeon’s gender and age, patient’s age, gender, length of ICU stay, number of vessels obstructed and underlying diseases
Results of Multilevel Analysis: Cumulative volumes in the previous one year and SSIs were identified by the CART model.
| Model 1 (continuous) | Model 2 (quartile) | Model 3 (k-means) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 7,007 | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | OR | 95%C.I. | p-value | |||
| LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | LCL | UCL | |||||||
| Fixed effects | ||||||||||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 0.988 | 0.949 | 1.028 | 0.8417 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 1.205 | 0.338 | 4.295 | 0.7221 | 0.457 | 0.044 | 4.707 | 0.3638 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 0.791 | 0.346 | 1.809 | 0.4982 | 1.439 | 0.481 | 4.307 | 0.3679 | ||||
|
| ||||||||||||
| Cumulative volumes | 0.918 | 0.398 | 2.121 | 0.1279 | ||||||||
| Cumulative volumes (Reference: high-volume) | ||||||||||||
| Low-volume | 1.790 | 0.787 | 4.068 | 0.1571 | 2.454 | 1.163 | 5.181 | 0.0200 | ||||
| Medium-volume | 1.160 | 0.556 | 2.421 | 0.6819 | 1.415 | 0.766 | 2.616 | 0.2578 | ||||
OR: odds ratio; C.I.: confidence interval; LCL: lower confidence limit; UCL: upper confidence limit
All models were adjusted by hospital ownership and geographic location, surgeon’s gender and age, patient’s age, gender, length of ICU stay, number of vessels obstructed and underlying diseases
Summarized Results of Subgroup Analysis for Underlying Diseases: Cumulative Operation Volumes within the Study Period.
| Model 1 (continuous) | Model 2 (quartile)(Ref = HV) | Model 3 (k-means) (Ref = HV) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| surgeon | hospital | surgeon | hospital | surgeon | hospital | |
|
| ||||||
| Heart failure | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Diabetes mellitus | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Renal failure and Renal insufficiency | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| COPD | X | X | X | X | X | X |
|
| ||||||
| Heart failure | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Diabetes mellitus | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Renal failure and Renal insufficiency | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| COPD | X | X | X | X | X | X |
X: no association; >: higher risk; SSI: surgical site infection; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
LV: Low Volume; MV: Medium Volume; HV: High Volume
Summarized Results of Subgroup Analysis for Underlying Diseases: Cumulative Volumes in the Previous One Year.
| Model 1 (continuous) | Model 2 (quartile)(Ref = HV) | Model 3 (k-means) (Ref = HV) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| surgeon | hospital | surgeon | hospital | surgeon | hospital | |
|
| ||||||
| Heart failure | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Diabetes mellitus | X | X | LV>HV | X | LV>HV | X |
| Renal failure and Renal insufficiency | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| COPD | X | X | X | X | X | X |
|
| ||||||
| Heart failure | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| Diabetes mellitus | LV>HV | X | LV>HV | X | LV>HV | X |
| Renal failure and Renal insufficiency | X | X | X | X | X | X |
| COPD | X | X | X | X | X | X |
X: no association; >: higher risk; SSI: surgical site infection; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
LV: Low Volume; MV: Medium Volume; HV: High Volume