O A Sanchez1, D A Duprez2, H Bahrami3, C A Peralta4, L B Daniels5, J A Lima6, A Maisel7, A R Folsom8, D R Jacobs8. 1. School of Public Health, Division of Epidemiology & Community Health, University of Minnesota, West Bank Office Building 1300 South, Second Street, Suite 300, 55454-1015 Minneapolis, United States. Electronic address: sanc0050@umn.edu. 2. Division of Cardiology, University of Minnesota, United States. 3. Stanford University, United States. 4. School of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, United States. 5. Division of Cardiology, University of California, San Diego, United States. 6. Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins Bayview Medical Center, United States. 7. School of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, United States. 8. School of Public Health, Division of Epidemiology & Community Health, University of Minnesota, West Bank Office Building 1300 South, Second Street, Suite 300, 55454-1015 Minneapolis, United States.
Abstract
AIMS: This study looked at whether the inverse association of circulating N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) with incident diabetes is modified by changes in NT-proBNP (ΔNT-proBNP) levels. METHODS: Plasma NT-proBNP was assayed at baseline and 3.2 years later (visit 3) in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). ΔNT-proBNP was calculated as NT-proBNP visit3-NT-proBNP baseline. A Poisson distribution was fitted to determine the incidence density of diabetes, adjusted for age, race, gender, educational attainment, antihypertensive medication, total intentional exercise and plasma IL-6 levels. In the primary analysis (n=3236 without diabetes up to visit 3, followed for a mean of 6.3 years), incidence density was regressed for the following categories of baseline NT-proBNP: (1)<54.4 pg/mL; (2) 54.4-85.9 pg/mL; and (3) 86-54.2 pg/mL. This was crossed with categories of ΔNT-proBNP as medians (ranges): (1) -6.2 (-131-11.7) pg/mL; (2) 19.8 (11.8-30.1) pg/mL; (3) 44.0 (30.2-67.9) pg/mL; and (4) 111.2 (68.0-3749.9) pg/mL. RESULTS: The incidence density of diabetes followed a U-shaped association across categories of ΔNT-proBNP within categories of baseline NT-proBNP after adjusting for other covariates (P=0.02). At each level of baseline NT-proBNP, the incidence density of diabetes was lowest for small-to-moderate increases in NT-proBNP. CONCLUSION: This analysis suggests that NT-proBNP has a biphasic association with diabetes in which the risk of incident diabetes decreases within a 'physiological range' of ΔNT-proBNP, and plateaus or increases as NT-proBNP concentrations increase, probably in response to pathophysiological conditions leading to high levels of NT-proBNP.
AIMS: This study looked at whether the inverse association of circulating N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) with incident diabetes is modified by changes in NT-proBNP (ΔNT-proBNP) levels. METHODS: Plasma NT-proBNP was assayed at baseline and 3.2 years later (visit 3) in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). ΔNT-proBNP was calculated as NT-proBNP visit3-NT-proBNP baseline. A Poisson distribution was fitted to determine the incidence density of diabetes, adjusted for age, race, gender, educational attainment, antihypertensive medication, total intentional exercise and plasma IL-6 levels. In the primary analysis (n=3236 without diabetes up to visit 3, followed for a mean of 6.3 years), incidence density was regressed for the following categories of baseline NT-proBNP: (1)<54.4 pg/mL; (2) 54.4-85.9 pg/mL; and (3) 86-54.2 pg/mL. This was crossed with categories of ΔNT-proBNP as medians (ranges): (1) -6.2 (-131-11.7) pg/mL; (2) 19.8 (11.8-30.1) pg/mL; (3) 44.0 (30.2-67.9) pg/mL; and (4) 111.2 (68.0-3749.9) pg/mL. RESULTS: The incidence density of diabetes followed a U-shaped association across categories of ΔNT-proBNP within categories of baseline NT-proBNP after adjusting for other covariates (P=0.02). At each level of baseline NT-proBNP, the incidence density of diabetes was lowest for small-to-moderate increases in NT-proBNP. CONCLUSION: This analysis suggests that NT-proBNP has a biphasic association with diabetes in which the risk of incident diabetes decreases within a 'physiological range' of ΔNT-proBNP, and plateaus or increases as NT-proBNP concentrations increase, probably in response to pathophysiological conditions leading to high levels of NT-proBNP.
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