| Literature DB >> 26017275 |
Zunda Chisha1, David A Larsen2,3, Matthew Burns4, John M Miller5, Jacob Chirwa6, Clara Mbwili7, Daniel J Bridges8, Mulakwa Kamuliwo9, Moonga Hawela10, Kathrine R Tan11, Allen S Craig12, Anna M Winters13,14.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Accurate and timely malaria data are crucial to monitor the progress towards and attainment of elimination. Lusaka, the capital city of Zambia, has reported very low malaria prevalence in Malaria Indicator Surveys. Issues of low malaria testing rates, high numbers of unconfirmed malaria cases and over consumption of anti-malarials were common at clinics within Lusaka, however. The Government of Zambia (GRZ) and its partners sought to address these issues through an enhanced surveillance and feedback programme at clinic level.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26017275 PMCID: PMC4486393 DOI: 10.1186/s12936-015-0735-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Malar J ISSN: 1475-2875 Impact factor: 2.979
Total outpatient and malaria indicators reported through the enhanced surveillance programme in Lusaka, Zambia 2009–2012
| Year | Total outpatient consultations | Reported malaria cases | Percent outpatient consultations reported as malaria | Mean testing rate | Mean test positivity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 674,824 | 204,827 | 30.35 % | 18.94 % | 6.41 % |
| 2010 | 887,477 | 307,242 | 34.62 % | 25.02 % | 4.36 % |
| 2011 | 911,230 | 209,945 | 23.04 % | 51.04 % | 4.26 % |
| 2012 | 1,128,320 | 130,374 | 11.55 % | 64.41 % | 5.10 % |
Fig. 1Range of malaria test positivity by month from 2009 to 2012 at all health facilities in Lusaka, Zambia. There were no differences in malaria test positivity by year
Results from interrupted time series regression assessing the odds of testing positive for malaria in Lusaka District from 2009 to 2012. Standard errors have been adjusted for correlated data at the clinic level
| Factor | Odds ratio (95 % confidence interval) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monthly trend | 2009–2010 | 0.976 (0.949–1.004) | 0.092 |
| 2011–2012 | 1.042 (1.005–1.080) | 0.026 | |
| Season | Dry | Reference | |
| Wet | 2.861 (2.297–3.564) | <0.001 | |
| Enhanced Vegetation Index | 1st tertile | Reference | |
| 2nd tertile | 1.157 (0.779–1.717) | 0.454 | |
| 3rd tertile | 0.943 (0.560–1.589) | 0.820 |
N = 26 facilities and 548,158 suspected cases tested
Fig. 2Clockwise from top left: a malaria testing rate, b proportion of reported malaria cases unconfirmed by microscopy or RDT, c proportion of total OPD that was reported as malaria, and d mean cost in ACT courses dispensed at each public clinic within Lusaka District from 2009 to 2012. Price of ACT in USD by pack size: 6′s = $0.36; 12′s = $0.72; 18′s = $1.08; 24′s = $1.30 (Medicine for Malaria Venture, USAID|Deliver, Zambia)
Results from interrupted time series regression assessing the odds of suspected cases being tested for malaria in Lusaka District before and after the intervention of enhanced surveillance and feedback loop. Standard errors have been adjusted for correlated data at the clinic level
| Factor | Odds ratio (95 % confidence interval) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time period | Pre-intervention | Reference | |
| Post-intervention | 1.543 (0.956–2.491) | 0.074 | |
| Monthly trend | Pre-intervention | 1.009 (0.983–1.036) | 0.487 |
| Post-intervention | 1.048 (1.007–1.091) | 0.023 | |
| Season | Dry | Reference | |
| Wet | 0.974 (0.845–1.123) | 0.708 | |
| Total outpatient attendance | Per 1,000 | 0.919 (0.883–0.956) | <0.001 |
N = 26 facilities and 1,345,978 suspected malaria cases
Results from interrupted time series regression assessing the odds of reported malaria cases being confirmed via rapid diagnostic test or microscopy for malaria in Lusaka District before and after the intervention of enhanced surveillance and feedback loop. Standard errors have been adjusted for correlated data at the clinic level
| Factor | Odds ratio (95 % confidence interval) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intervention | Pre-intervention | Reference | |
| Post-intervention | 1.206 (0.367–3.962) | 0.748 | |
| Monthly trend | Pre-intervention | 0.987 (0.949–1.027) | 0.511 |
| Post-intervention | 1.090 (1.036–1.146) | 0.002 | |
| Season | Dry | Reference | |
| Wet | 2.571 (2.122–3.116) | <0.001 | |
| Total outpatient attendance | Per 1,000 | 0.919 (0.867–0.975) | 0.007 |
N = 26 facilities and 851,574 reported malaria cases
Results from interrupted time series regression assessing the monthly log-transformed costs associated with malaria testing and treatment in Lusaka District before and after the intervention of enhanced surveillance and feedback loop. Standard errors have been adjusted for correlated data at the clinic level
| Factor | Coefficient (95 % confidence interval) |
| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intervention | Pre-intervention | Reference | |
| Post-intervention | 1.398 (0.913 – 1.83) | <0.001 | |
| Monthly trend | Pre-intervention | 0.083 (0.057 – 0.109) | <0.001 |
| Post-intervention | −0.112 (−0.147 – −0.077) | <0.001 | |
| Season | Dry | Reference | |
| Wet | 0.952 (0.752 – 1.151) | <0.001 |
N = 26 facilities and 1,236 facility-months
Fig. 3Comparison of total malaria cases reported through standard HMIS versus data collected through monthly supervision and review of clinic registers during the enhanced surveillance system (ES). Graph includes data from before and after the implementation of monthly enhanced surveillance system visits in 2011. Prior to the start of enhanced surveillance system, HMIS, and enhanced surveillance data were only moderately correlated compared to after, where correlation increased significantly