Necrotizing fasciitis: epidemiology and clinical predictors for amputation.

BACKGROUND: Necrotizing fasciitis, a relatively uncommon infection involving the skin, subcutaneous tissue, and fascia, is a rapidly progressive soft tissue infection and a medical and surgical urgency. Delayed debridement, with subsequent huge soft tissue loss is associated with loss of limb and infection and is the most common cause of mortality. The purpose of this work is to describe the epidemiology of necrotizing fasciitis and to identify the clinical characteristics that may be used to predict amputation in routine clinical practice.
METHODS: Retrospective cohort study data were collected from three general hospitals located in the Chiang Rai, Kamphaeng Phet, and Phayao provinces in northern Thailand. Epidemiologic data for all patients with a surgically confirmed diagnosis of necrotizing fasciitis between 2009 and 2012 were collected. Medical records and reviews were retrieved from inpatient records, laboratory reports, and registers. Clinical predictors for amputation were analyzed by multivariable risk regression.
RESULTS: A total of 1,507 patients with a diagnosis of necrotizing fasciitis were classified as being with amputation (n=127, 8.4%) and without amputation (n=1,380, 91.6%). The most common causative Gram-positive and Gram-negative pathogens were Streptococcus pyogenes (33.3% in the amputation group and 40.8% in the non-amputation group) and Escherichia coli (25% in the amputation group and 17.1% in the non-amputation group). Predictive factors for amputation included gangrene (risk ratio [RR] 4.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.70-8.44), diabetes mellitus (RR 3.08, 95% CI 1.98-4.78), skin necrosis (RR 2.83, 95% CI 2.52-3.18), soft tissue swelling (RR 1.76, 95% CI 1.24-2.49), and serum creatinine values ≥1.6 mg/dL on admission (RR 1.71, 95% CI 1.38-2.12). All data were analyzed using the multivariable risk regression generalized linear model.
CONCLUSION: The most causative pathogens were S. pyogenes and E. coli. Clinical predictors for amputation in patients with necrotizing fasciitis included having diabetes mellitus, soft tissue swelling, skin necrosis, gangrene, and serum creatinine values ≥1.6 mg/dL on admission. Thus, patients with any of these predictors should be monitored closely for progression and receive early aggressive treatment to avoid limb loss.

Introduction

Necrotizing fasciitis (NF) is a serious form of infection involving rapidly spreading inflammation and extensive necrosis of the skin, subcutaneous tissue, and superficial fascia.1 The treatment of choice for NF is rapid surgical debridement and broad spectrum antibiotic therapy.2 Delayed treatment may result in extensive loss of soft tissue associated with limb loss; moreover, the risk of mortality is also increased.3 The reported prevalence of mortality and limb loss associated with NF is 15%–29%4,5 and 20.3%–26%,6,7 respectively. In Thailand, reported amputation and mortality rates are 8.7%–15.4%8,9 and 5.9%–22.1%,8,9 respectively.

The early stages of the disease are often misdiagnosed as cellulitis or abscess because of the absence of specific clinical features. When diagnosis is delayed or the severity of the disease is unidentified, mortality or morbidity such as limb loss might occur.3,10 Thus, identifying specific characteristic evidence and early diagnosis followed by rapid treatment are important to reduce amputation and mortality rates.2

In the past, only a few studies have demonstrated the risk factors associated with increased amputation in NF. In a study of 80 patients with NF, Dworkin et al4 found that independent predictors of limb loss included being female, having diabetic mellitus (DM), presence of cutaneous gangrene on admission, and evidence of underlying conditions. Anaya et al6 reviewed 166 NF patients and showed that a history of heart disease, shock at hospital admission (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg), and clostridial infection were independent predictors of limb loss in NF patients. Unfortunately, all these studies had small sample sizes and widely varying patient populations.

The purpose of this study was to examine the epidemiologic features and explore clinical risk characteristics for amputation in NF patients that could be used in a routine clinical practice. The findings may be applied in clinical evaluation, raise awareness, and help in the prevention of disease complications to reduce the risk of limb loss.

Patients and methods

Eligible patients were registered and treated at three general hospitals located in the Chiang Rai, Kamphaeng Phet, and Phayao provinces in northern Thailand. Medical records between January 2009 and December 2012 were collected for patients with a diagnosis of NF. The diagnoses were established by findings at the time of surgery. Our institution follows the Infection Diseases Society of America practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of skin and soft tissue infection.11 The diagnosis is normally obvious on gross inspection without a need for pathologic confirmation. When suspicion is sufficient to warrant a biopsy, the diagnosis can be made by frozen section analysis. The definition of NF is the subcutaneous tissue and fascia necrosis involving the skin and muscle identified in the operating room.3,12

All patients were assessed by emergency physicians as soon as they were admitted to the emergency room. They received broad spectrum antibiotics covering anaerobic and aerobic bacterial organisms and early surgical debridement after the diagnosis was made. Pus culture or tissue culture was performed in occasional cases. Anaerobic bacterial culture was not performed because of unavailability of culture medium. Micro-organisms in blood and wound culture were cultured in some patients upon request by the surgeon. Amputation sites included fingers and toes, hands and forearms, and below and above the knee.

This was a retrospective cohort study with a prognostic research design. The data were obtained from inpatient records, laboratory reports, and registered data. In all, characteristics for 1,507 patients were examined for the first day of admission and after 48–72 hours, including demographic data, clinical manifestations, vital signs, laboratory findings, treatment, outcomes, and discharge status.

Analysis of demographic and clinical data was performed using descriptive statistics and compared between patients with and without amputation. Categorical variables were expressed as the count and percentage and analyzed by Fisher’s Exact test. Continuous variables were expressed as the mean and standard deviation and analyzed using the Student’s t-test or Mann-Whitney U test depending on data distribution.

Step backward multivariable risk regression analyses were used to obtain the independent predictive factors for amputation and are shown with the risk ratio (RR) and 95% confident interval (CI). All variables with P<0.05 from univariable analysis or significant clinical variables were included in the multivariable analysis model, with P<0.05 indicating statistical significance. The study was approved by the ethics committee of the Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University, and Chiang Rai Prachanukroh hospital.

Results

A total of 1,507 eligible patients with a diagnosis of NF were enrolled in this study, and classified in two groups, ie, an amputation group (127 patients, 8.4%) and a non-amputation group (1,380 patients, 91.6%). The incidence of NF in this cohort was 15.5 cases per 100,000 population in the Chiang Rai, Kamphaeng Phet, and Phayao provinces. The male to female ratio was 1.3:1 and the mean age was 60.1±14.9 (range 2–95) years between 2009 and 2012. The incidence of amputation was 8.4%. The number of patients with amputation was 127 (8.4%). The most common sites of amputation were fingers/toes (44.1%) and above the knee (22.8%) as shown in Table 1.

Table 1

Site of amputation in 127 patients with necrotizing fasciitis

Site of amputation	n (%)
Finger/toes	56 (44.1)
Above knee	29 (22.8)
Below knee	26 (20.5)
Forefoot	11 (8.7)
Hand and forearm	5 (3.9)

Note: Values are shown as n (%).

Microbiological data regarding blood and wound cultures are shown in Table 2. Blood cultures were done in 429 (28.5%) of 1,505 patients. In all, 73 patients (17.0%) were found to have positive isolates and 356 (83.0%) were reported as having no bacteria seen. Wound cultures were done in 730 (48.5%) of 1,506 patients; 470 patients had positive isolated specimens (64.4%) and 260 patients had a negative wound culture (35.6%). Only blood culture was carried out in 146 patients (9.7%), only wound culture was carried out in 447 patients (29.7%), and both blood and wound cultures were carried out in 283 patients (18.8%). Total cultures were performed in 876 patients (58.2%). Data for blood culture in two patients and for wound culture in one patient were missing from the medical records. The number of patients infected with multiple pathogens on blood culture and wound culture comprised six patients (8.6%) and 85 patients (19.0%), respectively. The most common causative Gram-positive pathogen from wound culture was Streptococcus pyogenes in both the amputation group (14.9%) and the non-amputation group (17.4%). However, from blood culture, this pathogen was found in only 2.8% of the non-amputation group and not found at all in the amputation group. The total percentages of S. pyogenes infection in the amputation and non-amputation groups were 33.3% and 40.8%, respectively. The most common causative Gram-negative pathogen from wound culture in the amputation (17.5%) and non-amputation groups (5.7%) was Escherichia coli; however, from blood culture, this pathogen was found in only 1.5% of the non-amputation group and not found at all in the amputation group. The total percentages of E. coli infection in the amputation and non-amputation groups were 25% and 17.1%, respectively. No significant pathogen infection was observed in either group (P>0.05).

Table 2

Micro-organisms in blood and wound cultures in patients with necrotizing fasciitis with amputation and without amputation*

Organism	Amputation		Non-amputation
	Blood	Wound	Blood	Wound
Gram-positive
Streptococcus pyogenes	0 (0.0)	11 (14.9)	11 (2.8)	113 (17.4)
Staphylococcus aureus	0 (0.0)	9 (12.0)	5 (1.3)	81 (12.4)
Coagulase-negative staphylococcus	1 (2.7)	4 (5.4)	11 (2.8)	22 (3.4)
Staphylococcus epidermidis	1 (2.7)	0 (0.0)	7 (1.8)	9 (1.4)
Staphylococcus saprophyticus	1 (2.7)	0 (0.0)	2 (0.5)	11 (1.7)
Streptococcus pneumoniae	0 (0.0)	0 (0.0)	1 (0.3)	3 (0.5)
Other Gram-positive	1 (2.7)	5 (6.8)	9 (2.3)	18 (2.8)
Gram-negative
Escherichia coli	0 (0.0)	13 (17.5)	6 (1.5)	37 (5.7)
Acinetobacter spp.	0 (0.0)	5 (6.7)	3 (0.8)	34 (5.2)
Stenotrophomonas spp.	0 (0.0)	1 (1.3)	1 (0.3)	1 (0.2)
Salmonella spp.	1 (2.8)	1 (1.4)	1 (0.3)	0 (0.0)
Citrobacter spp.	1 (2.7)	4 (5.3)	1 (0.3)	14 (2.2)
Other Gram-negative	0 (0.0)	26 (35.1)	17 (4.4)	101 (15.6)

Notes:

Micro-organisms in blood and wound culture did not show statistically significant differences between the two groups (P >0.05). Values are shown as n (%).

Patient demographic and clinical characteristics, including sex, underlying disease such as DM, wound appearance such as skin necrosis, gangrene, creatinine level, fasciotomy, severe sepsis, and length of hospital stay showed statistically significant differences between the two groups (see Tables 3 and 4). The numbers of patients who had DM, necrosis, or gangrene in the amputation group were significantly higher than those in the non-amputation group (P<0.001). Serum creatinine on admission and within 48–72 hours after admission in the amputation group was significantly higher than in the non-amputation group. Random blood sugar values were found in only 226 patients from medical records, and the mean blood sugar value at the time of admission in the non-amputation group was lower than that in the amputation group (125.9±60.1 mg/dL versus 204.5±124.7 mg/dL, P<0.001) by univariable analysis. However, in multivariable analysis, the random blood sugar level was not a risk factor of amputation. The blood sugar value at 48–72 hours was not available in this study. Other laboratory findings and vital signs did not differ significantly between the two groups.

Table 3

Demographic characteristics and clinical manifestations in 1,507 patients with necrotizing fasciitis (with amputation and without amputation)

Characteristics	Amputation (n=127)	Non-amputation (n=1,380)	P-value
Sex			0.039
Male	60 (47.2)	788 (57.1)
Female	67 (52.8)	591 (42.9)
Age (years)			0.114
<60	54 (42.9)	690 (50.4)
≥60	72 (57.1)	678 (49.6)
BMI			0.550
≤18.50	21 (18.1)	176 (14.4)
18.51–29.99	87 (75.0)	954 (78.0)
≥30.00	8 (6.9)	93 (7.6)
Education			0.402
No education	60 (47.2)	592 (43.0)
Primary education	59 (46.5)	704 (51.1)
Secondary education	4 (3.2)	58 (4.2)
Bachelor’s degree and more	4 (3.1)	23 (1.7)
Occupation			0.353
Elderly who stay at home	64 (50.4)	635 (46.0)
Farmers/laborers	55 (43.3)	678 (49.2)
Officials	8 (6.3)	66 (4.8)
Underlying morbidity
Diabetes	74 (58.3)	313 (22.7)	<0.001
Heart disease	12 (9.5)	84 (6.1)	0.180
Renal disease	5 (3.9)	40 (2.9)	0.423
Cirrhosis	2 (1.6)	59 (4.3)	0.163
Hypertension	51 (40.2)	487 (35.3)	0.288
Gout	8 (6.3)	139 (10.1)	0.211
Chronic alcoholism	13 (10.2)	219 (15.9)	0.096
Wound appearance
Soft tissue swelling	109 (85.8)	1,134 (82.2)	0.311
Erythema	73 (57.5)	701 (50.8)	0.164
Bleb	48 (37.8)	603 (43.7)	0.224
Skin necrosis	64 (50.4)	339 (24.6)	<0.001
Gangrene	18 (14.2)	19 (1.4)	<0.001
Severe pain	109 (85.8)	1,207 (87.5)	0.577
Site of wound			0.158
Head and neck	0 (0.0)	8 (0.6)
Trunk	0 (0.0)	28 (2.0)
Upper limb	16 (12.6)	260 (18.8)
Lower limb	107 (84.2)	1,054 (76.4)
Fournier’s gangrene	0 (0.0)	5 (0.4)
Multiple site	4 (3.2)	25 (1.8)
Hospital			0.070
Chiang Rai	58 (45.7)	759 (55.0)
Kamphaeng Phet	59 (46.4)	498 (36.1)
Phayao	10 (7.9)	123 (8.9)

Note: Values are shown as n (%).

Abbreviation: BMI, body mass index.

Table 4

Laboratory findings, vital signs, and outcomes of treatment in 1,507 patients with necrotizing fasciitis comparing between amputation and non-amputation group

Characteristics	Amputation (n=127)	Non-amputation (n=1,380)	P-value
Laboratory on admission
WBC (per mm3)	18,081.9±10,187.1	16,794.0±9,042.9	0.109
PMN (%)	82.6±11.7	82.0±12.2	0.596
Creatinine (mg/dL)	2.3±1.9	1.9±1.5	0.019
Bicarbonate (mmol/L)	21.8±5.8	21.7±5.1	0.822
Total protein (g/dL)	6.5±1.2	6.3±1.1	0.230
Blood sugar	204.5±124.7	125.9±60.1	<0.001
Laboratory 48–72 hours
WBC (per mm3)	15,171.6±7,936.2	14,425.1±8,168.2	0.291
PMN (%)	80.1±14.8	78.5±14.7	0.444
Creatinine (mg/dL)	2.4±2.2	2.2±1.8	0.929
Bicarbonate (mmol/L)	25.6±4.5	22.1±13.8	0.386
Total protein (g/dL)	5.7±1.1	5.6±1.2	0.906
Blood sugar (mg/dL)	NA	NA	NA
Vital signs on admission
Body temperature (°C)	37.3±0.9	37.3±0.9	0.997
Pulse (per minute)	90.0±15.2	91.5±16.1	0.302
Respiratory rate (per minute)	20.3±2.4	20.1±3.9	0.714
Systolic BP (mmHg)	119.2±25.2	117.0±24.2	0.328
Diastolic BP (mmHg)	70.0±14.7	70.2±14.7	0.891
Vital signs 48–72 hours
Body temperature (°C)	37.2±0.8	37.3±0.8	0.394
Pulse (per minute)	89.1±14.9	87.6±14.1	0.275
Respiratory rate (per minute)	19.3±4.3	19.5±4.2	0.710
Systolic BP (mmHg)	121.2±19.5	120.6±17.5	0.723
Diastolic BP (mmHg)	73.3±12.2	73.1±11.2	0.849
Severe sepsis	32 (25.2)	207 (15.5)	0.008
Discharge status
Alive	97 (100.0)	1,106 (98.9)	0.614
Referred	0 (0.0)	12 (1.1)
Dead
Dead in hospital	28 (100.0)	241 (92.0)	0.240
28-day mortality at home	0 (0.0)	21 (8.0)
Length of hospital stay (days)	17.5±22.9	10.7±11.1	<0.001

Note: Values are shown as the mean ± standard deviation or n (%).

Abbreviations: BP, blood pressure; WBC, white blood cell count; PMN, polymorphonuclear cell or neutrophils; NA, not available.

All significant variables (with P<0.05) and clinical characteristics, such as age and soft tissue swelling, were included in the multivariable analysis model. Step backward multivariable risk regression analysis generalized linear models after controlling the characteristics differences among the hospital records. Moreover, adjusting for sex and age in the model demonstrated that the independent clinical predictors for amputation in NF patients included having DM (RR 3.08, 95% CI 1.98–4.78, P<0.001), soft tissue swelling (RR 1.76, 95% CI 1.24–2.49, P=0.001), skin necrosis (RR 2.83, 95% CI 2.52–3.18, P<0.001), gangrene (RR 4.77, 95% CI 2.70–8.44, P<0.001), and serum creatinine values ≥1.6 mg/dL on admission (RR 1.71, 95% CI 1.38–2.12, P<0.001) as shown in Table 5.

Table 5

Independent predictor of amputation in 1,507 patients with necrotizing fasciitis using a multivariable analysis generalized linear model adjusted by sex and age

Risk factors	RR	95% CI	P-value
Gangrene	4.77	2.70–8.44	<0.001
Diabetes	3.08	1.98–4.78	<0.001
Skin necrosis	2.83	2.52–3.18	<0.001
Soft tissue swelling	1.76	1.24–2.49	0.001
Creatinine ≥1.6 mg/dL	1.71	1.38–2.12	<0.001

Abbreviations: RR, risk ratio; CI, confidence interval.

Discussion

This study investigated clinical characteristics that could serve as independent predictors for amputation in patients with NF in routine clinical practice. Our results should indicate the ways and means for early recognition of NF, with the focus on limb preservation. The 1,507 patients reviewed over 4 years in our study represent a relatively large patient population with NF from several hospitals in northern Thailand. The amputation rate for NF in this study was 8.4% (127 patients), which is less than in previous reports.4,8 The main occupations of people in northern Thailand are farming and laboring which were associated with low education and poor hygiene and prone to develop serious soft tissue infection or necrotizing fasciitis. These making NF is a common infectious disease in this area. Moreover, 58.3% of patients in amputation group have DM and data from multivariable analysis demonstrated that DM is one of predictive factors of amputation, like previous studies.9,13 Therefore, treatment with broad-spectrum antibiotics and surgical debridement should be undertaken as early as possible, along with intentional control of blood glucose during the perioperative period to decrease the amputation rate.

The most common causative Gram-positive and Gram-negative pathogens in our study were S. pyogenes and E. coli, respectively. This finding is similar to previous reports.4,14 Anaya et al6 reported that clostridial infections were associated with amputation. However, anaerobic bacteria cultures, including for clostridial infection, were not performed in our study because of limitations of the culture process, and the data on organisms were collected from provincial hospitals rather than a tertiary center. Further, only 51.2% of patients had wound cultures and only 71.5% had blood cultures. Although we have normal practice guidelines for specimen cultures, some surgeons did not follow these guidelines. Therefore, we did not exactly identify the most common organism causing NF in northern Thailand. The amputation rate for NF patients in each hospital did not differ. The health care systems in the provincial hospitals are the same.

NF is a deadly and rapidly progressive disease.10,12,15 Treatment of NF includes early surgical debridement and broad-spectrum antibiotics.2,16–18 Thus, awareness of the clinical characteristics of the individual patient could benefit early diagnosis and surgical intervention to reduce the morbidity of NF.

Our study identified clinical characteristics and independent predictors for amputation, including diabetes, soft tissue swelling, skin necrosis, gangrene, and serum creatinine values ≥1.6 mg/dL on admission. Previous studies found that being female, having DM, cutaneous gangrene noted on admission, evidence of an underlying condition, clostridial infection, heart disease, and shock (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg) at hospital admission were independent predictors for limb loss in patients with NF.4,6

Our finding that DM was related to limb loss is consistent with that of a previous study reported by Dworkin et al.4 However, some studies found that although DM was the most frequent comorbidity in NF patients, it did not significantly increase amputation or mortality rates.6,14,19 DM was also the most common comorbidity in our patients, as reported by other investigators.2,10,13,17,20 The pathophysiology of DM is related to the worst outcomes of NF because hyperglycemia induces bacterial growth and tissue ischemia as a result of peripheral vascular disease, leading to amputation.21 Patients with DM often develop severe atherosclerosis. The atherosclerotic changes occurring in the limb vessels were found to be more extensive in small-caliber arteries and to result in ischemia and gangrene, ultimately leading to amputation.22 However, nearly 45% of amputation sites involved fingers or toes, and we could not clearly distinguish wet gangrene of the DM foot from NF, which sometimes occur simultaneously.

NF presenting with skin necrosis and gangrene at the time of diagnosis was found to be significantly predictive for amputation in our study (P<0.001). Dworkin et al4 similarly reported that cutaneous gangrene presenting on admission was significantly (P=0.005) associated with increased risk of limb loss. In previous studies, the presence of skin necrosis and gangrene were observed in late-stage NF and were the leading causes of an adverse outcome.3,9,23–26 As in other previous studies,8,18,19 we found that soft tissue swelling of the affected area was a common clinical manifestation in most patients with NF. Infection spreading into the lymphatic and vascular systems is a cause of tissue edema and muscle necrosis, and skin necrosis will occur consequent to thrombosis of microvascular vessels and dysfunction of the nerve supply.27 Gangrene is a necrosis of the tissue caused by lack of blood supply. Whenever gangrene was presented, debridement or amputation was needed depending on extension of necrotic areas.22

Our study found that serum creatinine values ≥1.6 mg/dL posed an increased risk for limb loss. Higher serum creatinine levels reflect renal dysfunction, presumably associated with septic shock. Anaya et al6 reported that shock (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg) at admission was an independent predictor for limb loss, raised creatinine level and higher mortality similar to many previous studies.14,23,28 However, a study report by Dos Santos et al29 did not find serum creatinine levels to be associated with major amputation. Their study reported that patients with DM were at high risk for amputation, and that preoperative glycemic control prevented major amputations. Thus, fasting blood sugar should be controlled at 90–130 mg/dL, and blood sugar must be monitored before, during, and after surgery.30 Better outcomes were described in patients with all random blood glucose levels <200 mg/dL.30 General surgical patients with a blood glucose value >220 mg/dL had a higher rate of infection.31 In NF patients with DM, poor blood glucose control was associated with a poor outcome of treatment.32,33 A study from Turkey34 reported that the mean blood glucose levels in NF patients who died were significantly higher than those in patients who survived (195.6±41.5 mg/dL versus 133.7±22.1 mg/dL, P=0.040). In our study, the random blood sugar value did not appear to be a risk factor of amputation; however, due to missing data, random blood sugar values were available for only 17.7% of all patients. The serum creatinine level is also important, and we found that elevated creatinine levels on admission were associated with an increased risk of amputation. Acute renal injury is a possible complication of rhabdomyolysis caused by trauma, tissue necrosis, and additional ischemia reperfusion injury. However, rhabdomyolysis associated with acute renal failure often leads to rapidly increasing serum creatinine levels.35 Patients with increased serum creatinine levels should be investigated to evaluate the prognosis and optimize planning of treatment and care. Intravenous fluids must be administered very quickly, and fluid intake should be controlled or a nephrologist should be consulted to perform dialysis immediately.36

Our review of the literature revealed that both lower body mass index and obesity can increase the risk of infection.37 However, amputation rate correlated with body mass index or obesity was not reported. The univariable analysis in our study demonstrated that body mass index was not a risk factor for amputation (P=0.550).

Antibiotic resistance is one of the most important prognostic factors affecting the clinical outcome in patients with NF. Stevens et al reported on the problematic emerging antibiotic resistance involving S. pyogenes (erythromycin resistance) and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). Both of these organisms were associated with adverse outcomes of treatment. Culture results were very important for selection of the appropriate antibiotic.38 Our study did not address this issue due to lack of relevant medical records. Most antibiotic resistance data were incomplete, so these data were omitted.

A previous study reported that smoking reduced blood oxygen levels by decreasing blood flow to the tissues and reducing immune system function; both of these mechanisms were considerable risk factors for bacterial infection.39 Although cigarette smoking has not been shown to be a significant risk factor for MRSA related to NF, it was associated with a poor outcome.40 In our study, smoking status could not be assessed due to missing data in the medical records.

More recently, a marker scoring system based on laboratory risk indicators for NF, ie, C-reactive protein, total white cell count, hemoglobin, serum sodium, serum creatinine, and serum glucose levels on admission was suggested by Wong et al for classification of the severity of NF.41 The APACHE (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) II score, a disease severity classification system developed by Knaus et al,42 can also be used to evaluate disease severity and describe the morbidity of a patient admitted to intensive care. Unfortunately we could not use either of these scoring systems because of limitations in laboratory testing in the provincial hospital setting. For example, C-reactive protein was not examined in all patients.

Another limitation of this study was its retrospective nature, and some important data could have been omitted due to a lack of medical records. On the other hand, the results of this study might be useful in clinical practice when caring for NF patients in provincial hospitals. We are also concerned about the organisms causing NF. It is possible that our findings could reflect the weakness of the health care system, and they could be used to encourage our government so our findings can be applied in general practice in other countries for a specific regional population, and physicians can use these risk factors to evaluate their patients despite limited resources at local hospitals, as is current practice in developing countries.

Conclusion

Clinical predictors for limb loss in patients suspected of NF included having DM, soft tissue swelling, skin necrosis, gangrene, and serum creatinine values ≥1.6 mg/dL on admission. Thus, patients presenting any such clinical predictors should be aware of the risk of the disease progressing to amputation and attending health professionals should attempt to resolve these predictive factors as much as possible to decrease morbidity and mortality.