| Literature DB >> 25957251 |
Martin Selmansberger1, Jan Christian Kaiser2, Julia Hess1, Denise Güthlin3, I Likhtarev4, Victor Shpak5, Mykola Tronko5, Alina Brenner6, Michael Abend7, Maria Blettner8, Kristian Unger1, Peter Jacob3, Horst Zitzelsberger1.
Abstract
A previous study on papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC) in young patients who were exposed to (131)iodine from the Chernobyl fallout revealed an exclusive gain of chromosomal band 7q11.23 in exposed cases compared to an age-matched control cohort. CLIP2, a gene located within band 7q11.23 was shown to be differentially expressed between exposed and non-exposed cases at messenger RNA and protein level. Therefore, a standardized procedure for CLIP2 typing of PTCs has been developed in a follow-up study. Here we used CLIP2 typing data on 117 post-Chernobyl PTCs from two cohorts of exposed patients with individual dose estimates and 24 non-exposed controls to investigate a possible quantitative dose-response relationship of the CLIP2 marker. The 'Genrisk-T' cohort consisted of 45 PTCs and the 'UkrAm' cohort of 72 PTCs. Both cohorts differed in mean dose (0.59 Gy Genrisk-T, 1.2 Gy UkrAm) and mean age at exposure (AaE) (2 years Genrisk-T, 8 years UkrAm), whilst the median latency (16 years Genrisk-T, 18 years UkrAm) was comparable. We analyzed the association between the binary CLIP2 typing and continuous thyroid dose with logistic regression. A clear positive dose-response relationship was found for young PTC cases [age at operation (AaO) < 20 years, AaE < 5 years]. In the elder age group a higher proportion of sporadic tumors is assumed due to a negligible dose response, suggesting different molecular mechanisms in sporadic and radiation-induced cases. This is further supported by the association of elder patients (AaO > 20 years) with positivity for BRAF V600E mutation.Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 25957251 PMCID: PMC4496450 DOI: 10.1093/carcin/bgv043
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Carcinogenesis ISSN: 0143-3334 Impact factor: 4.944
Summary of patient data
| Number of cases | Arithmetic means | CLIP2 marker | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohort | Total | Male | Female | Age at exposure (years) | Age at operation (years) | Latency (years) | Geom./arith. mean dose (mGy) | Positive | Negative |
| Genrisk-T | 45 | 16 | 29 | 2.1 | 17.8 | 15.7 | 278/593 | 34 | 11 |
| UkrAm | 72 | 28 | 44 | 8.1 | 25.5 | 17.5 | 402/1244 | 53 | 19 |
| Both cohorts | 117 | 44 | 73 | 5.8 | 22.6 | 16.8 | 349/994 | 87 | 30 |
| non-exposeda | 24 | 6 | 18 | — | 15.0 | — | 15/15 | 6 | 18 |
aBorn after 1986, from Genrisk-T cohort with nominal background doses of 1 mGy/year.
Form of logistic regression models with number of parameters, AIC and ΔAIC (as difference to the preferred model) fitted to 141 PTC cases from cohorts Genrisk-T and UkrAm (including 24 non-exposed cases born after 1 January 1987 from Genrisk-T cohort)
| Variables included | Npar | AIC | ΔAIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept only | 1 | 182.85 | 15.28 |
| Intercept + AaO | 2 | 178.65 | 11.08 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) | 2 | 176.60 | 9.03 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) + AaO | 3 | 174.78 | 7.21 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) + AaO + log(Dose) × AaO | 4 | 163.89 | −3.68 |
| aIntercept + log(Dose) for Aa0 < 20 and AaO ≥ 20 | 4 | 167.57 | 0.00 |
Npar, number of parameters; AIC, Akaike Information Criterion.
aPreferred model 1.
Form of logistic regression models with number of parameters, AIC and ΔAIC (as difference to the preferred model) fitted to 117 exposed PTC cases from cohorts Genrisk-T and UkrAm
| Variables included | Npar | AIC | ΔAIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept only | 1 | 135.21 | 0.45 |
| Intercept + AaO | 2 | 137.20 | 2.44 |
| Intercept + AaE | 2 | 136.49 | 1.73 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) | 2 | 137.02 | 2.26 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) + AaO | 3 | 139.02 | 4.26 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) + AaE | 3 | 138.15 | 3.39 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) + AaO + log(Dose) × AaO | 4 | 136.85 | 2.09 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) + AaE + log(Dose) × AaE | 4 | 136.05 | 1.29 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) for AaE < 5 and AaE ≥ 5a | 4 | 134.76 | 0.00 |
| Intercept + log(Dose) for Aa0 < 20 and AaO ≥ 20 | 4 | 139.21 | 4.45 |
Npar, number of parameters; AIC, Akaike Information Criterion.
aPreferred model 2.
Figure 1.Scatter plots of PTC cases with CLIP2 typing (positive: red triangles, negative: black open circles) with co-variables age at operation and thyroid dose for 141 cases which include 24 non-exposed cases with a nominal background dose of 1 mGy/year (93 CLIP2 positive, 48 CLIP2 negative), 14 cases with positive BRAF mutation marked by green open circles (upper panel); and with co-variables age at exposure and thyroid dose for 117 exposed cases (87 CLIP2 positive, 30 CLIP2 negative) (lower panel).
Parameter estimates, standard errors and P-values of the logistic regression models; using log-transformed thyroid dose as a continuous covariable and either two categories for AaO in Model 1 fitted to 141 exposed and non-exposed PTC cases; or two categories for AaE in Model 2 fitted to 117 exposed PTC cases
| Model 1 including 34 non-exposed cases | Model 2 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| With two AaO categories: | 1 (<20) | 2 (≥20) | With two AaE categories: | 1 (<5) | 2 (≥5) | ||
|
| 76 | 65 |
| 63 | 54 | ||
| Coefficient | Std. error |
| Coefficient | Std. error |
| ||
| Category 1 (<20) | Category 1 (<5) | ||||||
| Intercept | 1.46 | 0.39 | <0.001 | Intercept | 1.74 | 0.49 | <0.001 |
| Log(Dose [Gy]) | 0.36 | 0.09 | <0.001 | Log(Dose [Gy]) | 0.43 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| Category 2 (≥20) | Category 2 (≥5) | ||||||
| Intercept | 0.84 | 0.33 | 0.011 | Intercept | 0.53 | 0.35 | 0.12 |
| −0.19 | 0.18 | 0.28 | Log(Dose [Gy]) | −0.33 | 0.19 | 0.09 | |
Figure 2.Probability of occurrence for a positive CLIP2 marker as a continuous function of thyroid dose among 141 PTCs for categorical model 1 using AaO ≥ 20, <20 (upper panel), and among 117 PTCs for categorical model 2 using AaE ≥ 5, <5 (lower panel); 95% confidence intervals from parameter estimates pertaining to log(Dose).
Figure 3.Thyroid doses in different groups. Thyroid doses for CLIP2 negative and positive groups in box plot representation for 141 exposed and non-exposed PTC cases (AaO < 20, left upper panel; AaO ≥ 20, right upper panel) and for 117 exposed cases (AaE < 5, left lower panel; AaE ≥ 5, right lower panel); P-values for t-tests indicate the probability that CLIP2 cases with opposite biomarker typing assume equal geometric mean values of dose estimates (or equivalently arithmetic mean values of log-transformed dose estimates).