The hemoglobin glycation index identifies subpopulations with harms or benefits from intensive treatment in the ACCORD trial.

OBJECTIVE: This study tested the hypothesis that intensive treatment in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial disproportionately produced adverse outcomes in patients with diabetes with a high hemoglobin glycation index (HGI = observed HbA1c - predicted HbA1c). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: ACCORD was a randomized controlled trial of 10,251 patients with type 2 diabetes assigned to standard or intensive treatment with HbA1c goals of 7.0% to 7.9% (53 to 63 mmol/mol) and less than 6% (42 mmol/mol), respectively. In this ancillary study, a linear regression equation (HbA1c = 0.009 × fasting plasma glucose [FPG] [mg/dL] + 6.8) was derived from 1,000 randomly extracted participants at baseline. Baseline FPG values were used to calculate predicted HbA1c and HGI for the remaining 9,125 participants. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used to assess the effects of intensive treatment on outcomes in patients with a low, moderate, or high HGI.
RESULTS: Intensive treatment was associated with improved primary outcomes (composite of cardiovascular events) in the low (hazard ratio [HR] 0.75 [95% CI 0.59-0.95]) and moderate (HR 0.77 [95% CI 0.61-0.97]) HGI subgroups but not in the high HGI subgroup (HR 1.14 [95% CI 0.93-1.40]). Higher total mortality in intensively treated patients was confined to the high HGI subgroup (HR 1.41 [95% CI 1.10-1.80]). A high HGI was associated with a greater risk for hypoglycemia in the standard and intensive treatment groups.
CONCLUSIONS: HGI calculated at baseline identified subpopulations in ACCORD with harms or benefits from intensive glycemic control. HbA1c is not a one-size-fits-all indicator of blood glucose control, and taking this into account when making management decisions could improve diabetes care.

RCT Entities:   Population Interventions Outcomes