Assessing the economic impact of AIDS in local communities. Current and projected costs for San Diego County.

The economic cost of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in San Diego County, California, is forecast to increase from $103 million in 1986 to between $502 and $743 million in 1991, rising at a minimum average annual rate of 30% after adjusting for inflation. A greater emphasis on outpatient care and the use of new therapies that increase life expectancy by reducing the frequency and severity of morbidity will decrease the future annual cost of treatment but will have a small effect on total economic costs because of substantial foregone earnings by persons with AIDS. Estimating the economic impact of this disease provides valuable information for formulating effective strategies to treat AIDS patients, to provide education for limiting the spread of the human immunodeficiency virus, and to achieve other health objectives.