BACKGROUND: The regional prevalence of risk factors can vary over time. The Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP) addresses prevalence trends for common risk factors in a region in northeast Germany. METHODS: A longitudinal study was carried out from 1997 to 2001 (SHIP-0, with 4308 subjects), and a second, independent random sample of the population in the same region was studied from 2008 to 2012 (SHIP-Trend, with 4420 subjects). All data were standardized with post-stratification weighting derived from the adult population of the state of Mecklenburg-West Pomerania. RESULTS: SHIP reveals a marked decline of mean alcohol consumption in the adult population, from 5.57 g/day (95% confidence interval, 5.51-5.63) to 3.12 g/day (95% CI 3.09-3.15). The percentage of active smokers among men declined from 38.6% (95% CI 36.0-41.2) to 34.3% (95% CI 32.1-36.6). Simultaneously, however, there was a rightward shift of the BMI distribution, with a marked increase in the prevalence of obesity, from 24.7% to 32.0%. There was a corresponding increase in the prevalence of diabetes, from 9.1% to 13.8%. Compared to eleven years ago, the amount of exercise taken during free time has risen among the elderly, but fallen among young women. CONCLUSION: Tobacco and alcohol consumption have declined over the past decade, although this study may have overestimated these trends through a combination of selection bias and reporting bias. Meanwhile, the northeast German population now has a worse metabolic risk profile, as indicated by the increased prevalence of obesity and diabetes. Society as a whole must take measures to combat this trend.
BACKGROUND: The regional prevalence of risk factors can vary over time. The Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP) addresses prevalence trends for common risk factors in a region in northeast Germany. METHODS: A longitudinal study was carried out from 1997 to 2001 (SHIP-0, with 4308 subjects), and a second, independent random sample of the population in the same region was studied from 2008 to 2012 (SHIP-Trend, with 4420 subjects). All data were standardized with post-stratification weighting derived from the adult population of the state of Mecklenburg-West Pomerania. RESULTS: SHIP reveals a marked decline of mean alcohol consumption in the adult population, from 5.57 g/day (95% confidence interval, 5.51-5.63) to 3.12 g/day (95% CI 3.09-3.15). The percentage of active smokers among men declined from 38.6% (95% CI 36.0-41.2) to 34.3% (95% CI 32.1-36.6). Simultaneously, however, there was a rightward shift of the BMI distribution, with a marked increase in the prevalence of obesity, from 24.7% to 32.0%. There was a corresponding increase in the prevalence of diabetes, from 9.1% to 13.8%. Compared to eleven years ago, the amount of exercise taken during free time has risen among the elderly, but fallen among young women. CONCLUSION:Tobacco and alcohol consumption have declined over the past decade, although this study may have overestimated these trends through a combination of selection bias and reporting bias. Meanwhile, the northeast German population now has a worse metabolic risk profile, as indicated by the increased prevalence of obesity and diabetes. Society as a whole must take measures to combat this trend.
Authors: Henry Völzke; Dietrich Alte; Carsten Oliver Schmidt; Dörte Radke; Roberto Lorbeer; Nele Friedrich; Nicole Aumann; Katharina Lau; Michael Piontek; Gabriele Born; Christoph Havemann; Till Ittermann; Sabine Schipf; Robin Haring; Sebastian E Baumeister; Henri Wallaschofski; Matthias Nauck; Stephanie Frick; Andreas Arnold; Michael Jünger; Julia Mayerle; Matthias Kraft; Markus M Lerch; Marcus Dörr; Thorsten Reffelmann; Klaus Empen; Stephan B Felix; Anne Obst; Beate Koch; Sven Gläser; Ralf Ewert; Ingo Fietze; Thomas Penzel; Martina Dören; Wolfgang Rathmann; Johannes Haerting; Mario Hannemann; Jürgen Röpcke; Ulf Schminke; Clemens Jürgens; Frank Tost; Rainer Rettig; Jan A Kors; Saskia Ungerer; Katrin Hegenscheid; Jens-Peter Kühn; Julia Kühn; Norbert Hosten; Ralf Puls; Jörg Henke; Oliver Gloger; Alexander Teumer; Georg Homuth; Uwe Völker; Christian Schwahn; Birte Holtfreter; Ines Polzer; Thomas Kohlmann; Hans J Grabe; Dieter Rosskopf; Heyo K Kroemer; Thomas Kocher; Reiner Biffar; Ulrich John; Wolfgang Hoffmann Journal: Int J Epidemiol Date: 2010-02-18 Impact factor: 7.196
Authors: Robin Haring; Dietrich Alte; Henry Völzke; Sybille Sauer; Henri Wallaschofski; Ulrich John; Carsten O Schmidt Journal: J Clin Epidemiol Date: 2008-10-01 Impact factor: 6.437
Authors: Henry Völzke; Sebastian E Baumeister; Dietrich Alte; Wolfgang Hoffmann; Christian Schwahn; Peter Simon; Ulrich John; Markus M Lerch Journal: Digestion Date: 2005-03-16 Impact factor: 3.216
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Authors: Goodarz Danaei; Mariel M Finucane; Yuan Lu; Gitanjali M Singh; Melanie J Cowan; Christopher J Paciorek; John K Lin; Farshad Farzadfar; Young-Ho Khang; Gretchen A Stevens; Mayuree Rao; Mohammed K Ali; Leanne M Riley; Carolyn A Robinson; Majid Ezzati Journal: Lancet Date: 2011-06-24 Impact factor: 79.321
Authors: Tilman Witte; Henry Völzke; Markus M Lerch; Katrin Hegenscheid; Nele Friedrich; Till Ittermann; John A Batsis Journal: Eur Thyroid J Date: 2016-11-08
Authors: Jonas D Finger; Markus A Busch; Yong Du; Christin Heidemann; Hildtraud Knopf; Ronny Kuhnert; Thomas Lampert; Gert B M Mensink; Hannelore K Neuhauser; Angelika Schaffrath Rosario; Christa Scheidt-Nave; Anja Schienkiewitz; Julia Truthmann; Bärbel-Maria Kurth Journal: Dtsch Arztebl Int Date: 2016-10-21 Impact factor: 5.594
Authors: Eileen Moritz; Gabriele Jedlitschky; Bernhard H Rauch; Birte Holtfreter; Josefine Negnal; Mladen V Tzvetkov; Günter Daum; Marcus Dörr; Stephan B Felix; Henry Völzke; Matthias Nauck; Edzard Schwedhelm; Peter Meisel; Thomas Kocher Journal: J Inflamm Res Date: 2021-06-30