Literature DB >> 25833186

Immuno-epidemiology of a population structured by immune status: a mathematical study of waning immunity and immune system boosting.

M V Barbarossa1, G Röst2.   

Abstract

When the body gets infected by a pathogen the immune system develops pathogen-specific immunity. Induced immunity decays in time and years after recovery the host might become susceptible again. Exposure to the pathogen in the environment boosts the immune system thus prolonging the time in which a recovered individual is immune. Such an interplay of within host processes and population dynamics poses significant challenges in rigorous mathematical modeling of immuno-epidemiology. We propose a framework to model SIRS dynamics, monitoring the immune status of individuals and including both waning immunity and immune system boosting. Our model is formulated as a system of two ordinary differential equations (ODEs) coupled with a PDE. After showing existence and uniqueness of a classical solution, we investigate the local and the global asymptotic stability of the unique disease-free stationary solution. Under particular assumptions on the general model, we can recover known examples such as large systems of ODEs for SIRWS dynamics, as well as SIRS with constant delay.

Keywords:  Abstract Cauchy problem; Boosting; Delay equations; Global stability; Immune status; Immuno-epidemiology; Physiological structure; Reinfection; Waning immunity

Mesh:

Year:  2015        PMID: 25833186     DOI: 10.1007/s00285-015-0880-5

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Math Biol        ISSN: 0303-6812            Impact factor:   2.259


  22 in total

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Authors:  Joël Mossong; Claude P Muller
Journal:  Vaccine       Date:  2003-11-07       Impact factor: 3.641

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Authors:  Ian J Amanna; Nichole E Carlson; Mark K Slifka
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2007-11-08       Impact factor: 91.245

3.  Implications of vaccination and waning immunity.

Authors:  J M Heffernan; M J Keeling
Journal:  Proc Biol Sci       Date:  2009-03-04       Impact factor: 5.349

4.  An SIR epidemic model with partial temporary immunity modeled with delay.

Authors:  Michael L Taylor; Thomas W Carr
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2009-03-06       Impact factor: 2.259

5.  Threshold dynamics in an SEIRS model with latency and temporary immunity.

Authors:  Yuan Yuan; Jacques Bélair
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2013-08-29       Impact factor: 2.259

6.  On the formulation of epidemic models (an appraisal of Kermack and McKendrick).

Authors:  D Breda; O Diekmann; W F de Graaf; A Pugliese; R Vermiglio
Journal:  J Biol Dyn       Date:  2012-08-17       Impact factor: 2.179

7.  A two-phase within-host model for immune response and its application to serological profiles of pertussis.

Authors:  W F de Graaf; M E E Kretzschmar; P F M Teunis; O Diekmann
Journal:  Epidemics       Date:  2014-08-26       Impact factor: 4.396

8.  A time since recovery model with varying rates of loss of immunity.

Authors:  Subhra Bhattacharya; Frederick R Adler
Journal:  Bull Math Biol       Date:  2012-10-25       Impact factor: 1.758

9.  Modeling the impact of subclinical measles transmission in vaccinated populations with waning immunity.

Authors:  J Mossong; D J Nokes; W J Edmunds; M J Cox; S Ratnam; C P Muller
Journal:  Am J Epidemiol       Date:  1999-12-01       Impact factor: 4.897

10.  Molecular signatures of antibody responses derived from a systems biology study of five human vaccines.

Authors:  Shuzhao Li; Nadine Rouphael; Sai Duraisingham; Sandra Romero-Steiner; Scott Presnell; Carl Davis; Daniel S Schmidt; Scott E Johnson; Andrea Milton; Gowrisankar Rajam; Sudhir Kasturi; George M Carlone; Charlie Quinn; Damien Chaussabel; A Karolina Palucka; Mark J Mulligan; Rafi Ahmed; David S Stephens; Helder I Nakaya; Bali Pulendran
Journal:  Nat Immunol       Date:  2013-12-15       Impact factor: 25.606

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  9 in total

1.  A structured population model with diffusion in structure space.

Authors:  Andrea Pugliese; Fabio Milner
Journal:  J Math Biol       Date:  2018-05-09       Impact factor: 2.259

2.  One Dimensional Reduction of a Renewal Equation for a Measure-Valued Function of Time Describing Population Dynamics.

Authors:  Eugenia Franco; Mats Gyllenberg; Odo Diekmann
Journal:  Acta Appl Math       Date:  2021-10-06       Impact factor: 1.215

3.  The dynamics of evolutionary rescue from a novel pathogen threat in a host metapopulation.

Authors:  Jing Jiao; Nina Fefferman
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2021-05-25       Impact factor: 4.379

Review 4.  Toward Standardizing a Lexicon of Infectious Disease Modeling Terms.

Authors:  Rachael Milwid; Andreea Steriu; Julien Arino; Jane Heffernan; Ayaz Hyder; Dena Schanzer; Emma Gardner; Margaret Haworth-Brockman; Harpa Isfeld-Kiely; Joanne M Langley; Seyed M Moghadas
Journal:  Front Public Health       Date:  2016-09-28

5.  Waning Immunity Is Associated with Periodic Large Outbreaks of Mumps: A Mathematical Modeling Study of Scottish Data.

Authors:  Dalila Hamami; Ross Cameron; Kevin G Pollock; Carron Shankland
Journal:  Front Physiol       Date:  2017-04-25       Impact factor: 4.566

6.  Infection-acquired versus vaccine-acquired immunity in an SIRWS model.

Authors:  Tiffany Leung; Patricia T Campbell; Barry D Hughes; Federico Frascoli; James M McCaw
Journal:  Infect Dis Model       Date:  2018-06-15

Review 7.  Data-driven methods for present and future pandemics: Monitoring, modelling and managing.

Authors:  Teodoro Alamo; Daniel G Reina; Pablo Millán Gata; Victor M Preciado; Giulia Giordano
Journal:  Annu Rev Control       Date:  2021-06-29       Impact factor: 6.091

8.  Modeling the waning and boosting of immunity from infection or vaccination.

Authors:  Rose-Marie Carlsson; Lauren M Childs; Zhilan Feng; John W Glasser; Jane M Heffernan; Jing Li; Gergely Röst
Journal:  J Theor Biol       Date:  2020-04-06       Impact factor: 2.405

Review 9.  Immuno-epidemiology and pathophysiology of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

Authors:  Omalla A Olwenyi; Shetty Ravi Dyavar; Arpan Acharya; Anthony T Podany; Courtney V Fletcher; Caroline L Ng; St Patrick Reid; Siddappa N Byrareddy
Journal:  J Mol Med (Berl)       Date:  2020-08-18       Impact factor: 5.606

  9 in total

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