Literature DB >> 25817519

A prediction model for periodontal disease: modelling and validation from a National Survey of 4061 Taiwanese adults.

Hongmin Lai1,2,3, Chiu-Wen Su4, Amy Ming-Fang Yen5,6, Sherry Yueh-Hsia Chiu7, Jean Ching-Yuan Fann8, Wendy Yi-Ying Wu4, Shu-Lin Chuang4, Hsing-Chih Liu5, Hsiu-Hsi Chen4, Li-Sheng Chen5,6.   

Abstract

AIMS: The aim of this study was to predict periodontal disease (PD) with demographical features, oral health behaviour, and clinical correlates based on a national survey of periodontal disease in Taiwan.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 4061 subjects who were enrolled in a cross-sectional nationwide survey on periodontal conditions of residents aged 18 years or older in Taiwan between 2007 and 2008 were included. The community periodontal index (CPI) was used to measure the periodontal status at the subject and sextant levels. Information on demographical features and other relevant predictive factors for PD was collected using a questionnaire.
RESULTS: In our study population, 56.2% of subjects had CPI grades ≥3. Periodontitis, as defined by CPI ≥3, was best predicted by a model including age, gender, education, brushing frequency, mobile teeth, gingival bleeding, smoking, and BMI. The area under the curve (AUC) for the final prediction model was 0.712 (0.690-0.734). The AUC was 0.702 (0.665-0.740) according to cross-validation.
CONCLUSIONS: A prediction model for PD using information obtained from questionnaires was developed. The feasibility of its application to risk stratification of PD should be considered with regard to community-based screening for asymptomatic PD.
© 2015 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Community Periodontal Index; ROC curve; periodontal disease; prediction

Mesh:

Year:  2015        PMID: 25817519     DOI: 10.1111/jcpe.12389

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Clin Periodontol        ISSN: 0303-6979            Impact factor:   8.728


  9 in total

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2.  Trends in the prevalence of periodontitis in Taiwan from 1997 to 2013: A nationwide population-based retrospective study.

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5.  Influence of Adjacent Teeth Absence or Extraction on the Outcome of Non-Surgical Periodontal Therapy.

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6.  Gingival bleeding and calculus among 12-year-old Chinese adolescents: a multilevel analysis.

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Journal:  BMC Oral Health       Date:  2021-11-08       Impact factor: 2.757

8.  Development and validation of a risk prediction model for end-stage renal disease in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Authors:  Cheng-Chieh Lin; Chia-Ing Li; Chiu-Shong Liu; Wen-Yuan Lin; Chih-Hsueh Lin; Sing-Yu Yang; Tsai-Chung Li
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2017-08-31       Impact factor: 4.379

9.  Association between periodontitis and all-cause and cancer mortality: retrospective elderly community cohort study.

Authors:  Ping-Chen Chung; Ta-Chien Chan
Journal:  BMC Oral Health       Date:  2020-06-09       Impact factor: 2.757

  9 in total

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