| Literature DB >> 25780595 |
Trevor W Lambert1, Fay Smith1, Michael J Goldacre1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to report on doctors' descriptions of their current post at about 12 years after qualification, in respect of academic content, and to compare this with their long-term intentions. By academic content, we mean posts that are designated as clinical academic posts or clinical service posts that include research and/or teaching commitments.Entities:
Keywords: career choice; clinical academic; medical education; medical faculty; workforce
Year: 2015 PMID: 25780595 PMCID: PMC4349762 DOI: 10.1177/2054270414567523
Source DB: PubMed Journal: JRSM Open ISSN: 2054-2704
Percentages of doctors by current post and long term intentions – 1996, 1999, and 2000 cohorts.
| Men | Women | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Type of post | Current post | Long-term intention | Current post | Long-term intention | Current post | Long-term intention |
| Clinical academic | 4.1 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Clinical with some research | 3.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Clinical with some teaching and research | 28.4 | 38.8 | 16.6 | 24.5 | 22.1 | 31.1 |
| Total with academic content | 36.3 | 46.9 | 21.4 | 29.3 | 28.3 | 37.4 |
| Clinical with some teaching | 44.9 | 42.0 | 45.9 | 52.7 | 45.4 | 47.7 |
| Clinical without teaching or research | 18.8 | 7.5 | 32.7 | 12.6 | 26.2 | 10.2 |
| Undecided | N/A | 3.7 | N/A | 5.4 | N/A | 4.6 |
| Total (all six types of post) | 100 (N = 2883) | 100 (N = 2935) | 100 (N = 3299) | 100 (N = 3426) | 100 (N = 6178) | 100 (N = 6361) |
Total of the three types of post immediately above.
Note: A total of 535 respondents did not describe their current post and have been excluded from the table; 352 respondents did not describe their long-term post and have been excluded from the table.
Numbers of doctors by current post and long-term intentions – 1996, 1999, and 2000 cohorts.
| Current post | Long-term career intentions | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | Clinical academic posts | Clinical posts with some research | Clinical posts without research | Total |
| Clinical academic posts | 58 | 8 | 187 | |
| Clinical posts with some research | 62 | 228 | 1496 | |
| Clinical posts without research | 38 | 786 | 4192 | |
| Total | 221 | 2050 | 3604 | 5875 |
Note: ‘Clinical posts with some research’ comprises ‘Clinical posts with some teaching and research’ and ‘Clinical posts with some research time’, and ‘Clinical posts without research’ comprises ‘Clinical posts with some teaching responsibility’ and ‘Clinical service posts without teaching or research’; this table does not include those who were ‘undecided’. Bold font, on the diagonals, highlights the number of doctors whose current type of post and future intentions were the same.
Predictors of academic content in current posts: UK medical graduates of 1996, 1999, and 2000 by cohort year, gender, ethnic group, intercalated degree status, medical school region, and current specialty.
| Doctors in posts with academic content | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictor | Group | % | n/N | df | χ2 | p | Wald | p |
| Cohort | 1996 | 28.8 | 431/1495 | 2 | 7.0 | 0.030 | 10.3 | 0.006 |
| 1999 | 26.4 | 477/1805 | ||||||
| 2000 | 27.5 | 500/1817 | ||||||
| Gender | Men | 35.4 | 838/2364 | 1 | 164.7 | <.001 | 32.3 | <.001 |
| Women | 20.7 | 570/2753 | ||||||
| Ethnic group | White | 26.2 | 1060/4052 | 2 | 22.3 | <.001 | 9.2 | 0.010 |
| Asian | 34.3 | 293/855 | ||||||
| Other | 26.2 | 55/210 | ||||||
| Intercalated degree | Yes | 34.2 | 690/2020 | 1 | 81.0 | <.001 | 15.1 | <.001 |
| No | 23.2 | 718/3097 | ||||||
| Medical school region | London | 29.0 | 412/1421 | 5 | 51.1 | <.001 | 4.4 | 0.494 |
| Oxbridge | 41.3 | 123/298 | ||||||
| Other English schools | 24.8 | 537/2166 | ||||||
| Scotland | 29.0 | 248/856 | ||||||
| Northern Ireland | 22.2 | 37/167 | ||||||
| Wales | 24.4 | 51/209 | ||||||
| Current specialty | Hospital Medical Specialties | 43.6 | 371/851 | 3 | 829.6 | <.001 | 518.6 | <.001 |
| Other hospital | 31.9 | 532/1666 | ||||||
| General practice | 6.8 | 130/1899 | ||||||
| Surgical specialties | 53.5 | 375/701 | ||||||
Note: ‘Univariate’ denotes single factor χ2 test for each predictor. ‘Multivariate’ denotes binomial logistic regression result for each predictor with all other predictors in the model. We excluded cases where one or more predictors were missing, which reduced the sample size from 6713 to 5117.
Predictors of doctors who eventually work in clinical academic posts: UK medical graduates of 1996, 1999, and 2000 by cohort year, gender, ethnic group, intercalated degree status, medical school region, and current specialty.
| Doctors in clinical academic posts | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictor | Group | % | n/N | df | χ2 | p | Wald | p |
| Cohort | 1996 | 3.3 | 50/1495 | 2 | 4.2 | 0.124 | 4.1 | 0.132 |
| 1999 | 2.7 | 48/1805 | ||||||
| 2000 | 3.6 | 65/1817 | ||||||
| Gender | Men | 4.1 | 97/2364 | 1 | 8.9 | 0.003 | 4.0 | 0.046 |
| Women | 2.4 | 66/2753 | ||||||
| Ethnic group | White | 3.0 | 121/4052 | 2 | 2.7 | 0.258 | 2.1 | 0.357 |
| Asian | 3.7 | 32/855 | ||||||
| Other | 4.8 | 10/210 | ||||||
| Intercalated degree | Yes | 5.6 | 113/2020 | 1 | 61.1 | <.001 | 20.2 | <.001 |
| No | 1.6 | 50/3097 | ||||||
| Medical school region | London | 3.2 | 46/1421 | 5 | 70.5 | <.001 | 13.1 | 0.022 |
| Oxbridge | 10.7 | 32/298 | ||||||
| Other English schools | 2.6 | 57/2166 | ||||||
| Scotland | 2.5 | 21/856 | ||||||
| Northern Ireland | 1.8 | 3/167 | ||||||
| Wales | 1.9 | 4/209 | ||||||
| Current specialty | Hospital Medical Specialties | 9.4 | 80/851 | 3 | 179.0 | <.001 | 80.8 | <.001 |
| Other hospital | 3.6 | 60/1666 | ||||||
| General practice | 0.3 | 5/1899 | ||||||
| Surgical specialties | 2.6 | 18/701 | ||||||
Note: ‘Univariate’ denotes single factor χ2 test for each predictor. ‘Multivariate’ denotes binomial logistic regression result for each predictor with all other predictors in the model. We excluded cases where one or more predictors were missing, which reduced the sample size from 6713 to 5117.
Predictors of doctors working in an academic post OR with academic aspirations: UK medical graduates of 1996, 1999, and 2000 by cohort year, gender, ethnic group, intercalated degree status, medical school region, and current specialty.
| Doctors in an academic post OR with academic aspirations* | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictor | Group | % | n/N | df | χ2 | p | Wald | p |
| Cohort | 1996 | 43.2 | 611/1415 | 2 | 9.6 | 0.008 | 11.4 | 0.003 |
| 1999 | 40.7 | 701/1722 | ||||||
| 2000 | 41.2 | 716/1738 | ||||||
| Gender | Men | 51.7 | 1172/2265 | 1 | 200.5 | <.001 | 48.4 | <.001 |
| Women | 32.8 | 856/2610 | ||||||
| Ethnic group | White | 38.9 | 1505/3867 | 2 | 59.9 | <.001 | 30.6 | <.001 |
| Asian | 52.5 | 426/812 | ||||||
| Other | 49.5 | 97/196 | ||||||
| Intercalated degree | Yes | 51.2 | 989/1930 | 1 | 135.9 | <.001 | 29 | <.001 |
| No | 35.3 | 1039/2945 | ||||||
| Medical school region | London | 44.2 | 595/1346 | 5 | 90.9 | <.001 | 11.4 | 0.044 |
| Oxbridge | 62.1 | 175/282 | ||||||
| Other English schools | 38.1 | 788/2069 | ||||||
| Scotland | 42.5 | 348/818 | ||||||
| Northern Ireland | 31.9 | 51/160 | ||||||
| Wales | 35.5 | 71/200 | ||||||
| Current specialty | Hospital Medical Specialties | 63.4 | 512/807 | 3 | 1082.8 | <.001 | 98.7 | <.001 |
| Other hospital | 48.3 | 768/1591 | ||||||
| General practice | 14.3 | 257/1791 | ||||||
| Surgical specialties | 71.6 | 491/686 | ||||||
Note: *The other category includes doctors who are neither in an academic post NOR aspire to one.
Univariate’ denotes single factor χ2 test for each predictor. ‘Multivariate’ denotes binomial logistic regression result for each predictor with all other predictors in the model. We excluded cases where one or more predictors were missing, which reduced the sample size from 6713 to 4875.