| Literature DB >> 25652262 |
Atsumi Hirose1, Matthias Borchert2,3, Jonathan Cox4, Ahmad Shah Alkozai5, Veronique Filippi6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Women's delays in reaching emergency obstetric care (EmOC) facilities contribute to high maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity in low-income countries, yet few studies have quantified travel times to EmOC and examined delays systematically. We defined a delay as the difference between a woman's travel time to EmOC and the optimal travel time under the best case scenario. The objectives were to model travel times to EmOC and identify factors explaining delays. i.e., the difference between empirical and modelled travel times.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 25652262 PMCID: PMC4326321 DOI: 10.1186/s12884-015-0435-1
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pregnancy Childbirth ISSN: 1471-2393 Impact factor: 3.007
Figure 1“Afghanistan physiography” 2009. Source: U.S. Central Intelligence Agency [19].
Model validation results: reference and modelled travel times by major destination
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| Guzara district centre | Guzara | Herat | Paved roads | 15 | 21.5 | 21.5 |
| Qala-i-Naw district centre | Qala-i-Naw | Badghis | All types of roads passing through mountains | 240-300 | 188.9 | 244.7 |
| Karukh district centre | Karukh | Herat | Paved roads | 30-40 | 38.8 | 38.8 |
| Turghundi | Kushk | Herat | Paved roads but not very smooth | 120 | 93.7 | 93.7 |
| Islam Qala | Kohsan | Herat | Paved roads only | 90-100 | 97.1 | 97.1 |
| Shahrak district centre | Shahrak | Ghor | In the mountains | 540-600 | 304.7 | 415.1 |
| Dara-Takht | Chishiti Sherif | Herat | Tracks | 360 | 244.9 | 250.9 |
| Shindand district centre | Shindand | Herat | Paved roads | 100-120 | 128.3 | 130.3 |
| Chishiti Sherif district centre | Chishiti Sherif | Herat | Tracks | 270 | 208.4 | 208.4 |
| Obe district centre | Obe | Herat | Tracks but relatively flat | 150-180 | 162.4 | 162.5 |
| Pashtun Zarghun district centre | Pashtun Zarghun | Herat | Tracks but relatively flat | 90 | 117.2 | 117.2 |
| Chartaz | Jawand | Badghis | All types of roads passing through mountains | 720 | 383.4 | 728.6 |
Variables considered in the analysis
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| No. health facilities before admission to CEmOC | Asset-based socio-economic status | Husband’s participation in community activities in last 12 months | Season | Complication type | Transferred in an ambulance |
| Husband’s occupation | No. people the husband can rely on to borrow a small amount of money from | Urban/rural | Antenatal care utilization | Community usually has a vehicle | |
| Husband’s education | No. people the husband can rely on in long-term emergency | Parity | Reported difficulty obtaining a vehicle | ||
| Family type (nuclear vs. extended family) | |||||
| Woman’s birth family lives nearby |
Figure 2Map showing Euclidian (straight line) distances in km the patients’ residences to Herat Hospital. Note: The red square on the map indicates the location of Herat Hospital. Green squares indicate the villages of the women in our sample.
Distance, modelled travel time, reported travel time, and delay, by risk factors
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| 2 or more | 69 | 79.2 [21.4, 116.5] | 69 | 2.1 [1.0, 4.1] | 67 | 29.5 [8.2, 88.0] | 67 | 24.9 [7.0, 84.3] | ||||
| 1 | 173 | 48.6 [10.8, 98.9] | 174 | 1.6 [0.6, 2.7] | 172 | 5.3 [3.1, 13.7] | 172 | 3.8 [1.4, 11.5] | ||||
| None (came straight to CEmOC) | 159 | 7.8 [0.4, 18.0] | <0.0001 | 159 | 0.6 [0.6, 1.0] | <0.0001 | 158 | 0.8 [0.5, 1.5] | <0.0001 | 158 | 0 [-0.2, 0.4] | <0.0001 |
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| Haemorrhage in early pregnancy | 60 | 10.4 [0.4, 37.9] | 60 | 0.7 [0.6, 2.0] | 58 | 4.5 [1.0, 29.5] | 58 | 2.5 [0.2, 28.9] | ||||
| Severe pre-eclampsia | 51 | 7.8 [0,4, 33.9] | 51 | 0.6 [0.6, 1.3] | 50 | 3.0 [0.7, 26.5] | 50 | 1.9 [0.1, 23.1] | ||||
| APH | 55 | 16.3 [2.9, 89.0] | 55 | 0.9 [0.6, 2.3] | 54 | 3.4 [0.8, 8.0] | 54 | 1.5 [0.3, 5.6] | ||||
| Eclampsia | 93 | 27.1 [3.1, 84.1] | 93 | 1.1 [0.6, 2.5] | 93 | 3.5 [1.0, 9.0] | 93 | 2.2 [0.1, 4.9] | ||||
| Impending rupture of the uterus | 38 | 52.3 [14.1, 98.9] | 38 | 1.6 [0.9, 2.7] | 38 | 6.4 [1.5, 14.3] | 38 | 4.6 [0.3, 11.1] | ||||
| Rupture of the uterus | 30 | 65.7 [7.8, 106.3] | 30 | 1.6 [0.6, 2.5] | 29 | 5.0 [1.0, 10.0] | 29 | 2.8 [0.6, 7.5] | ||||
| PPH | 48 | 21.3 [10.1, 63.9] | 48 | 1.0 [0.6, 1.9] | 47 | 1.3 [0.5, 4.0] | 47 | 0.2 [-0.1, 1.2] | ||||
| Sepsis | 23 | 85.0 [9.7, 155.3] | 24 | 2.6 [0.7, 7.8] | 24 | 21.3 [2.8, 68.5] | 24 | 12.4 [1.9, 54.9] | ||||
| Other | 4 | 74.4 [23.8, 109.9] | <0.0001 | 4 | 3.1 [1.7, 8.4] | 0.0041 | 3 | 16.3 [2.0, 27.0] | 0.0003 | 4 | 9.1 [0.8, 19.1] | <0.0001 |
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| 6 or more | 90 | 19.9 [5.9, 75.0] | 90 | 1.0 [0.6, 2.3] | 87 | 4.0 [1.0, 13.0] | 87 | 2.2 [0.3, 10.7] | ||||
| 3-5 | 96 | 14.2 [0.4, 71.4] | 96 | 0.8 [0.6, 1.9] | 94 | 2.7 [0.7, 9.5] | 94 | 1.4 [0.1, 6.9] | ||||
| 1-2 | 78 | 48.6 [9.9, 106.3] | 78 | 1.6 [0.6, 2.7] | 78 | 5.0 [1.2, 14.5] | 78 | 2.9 [0.2, 9.4] | ||||
| Nullipara | 109 | 11.7 [0.4, 71.7] | 0.0078 | 109 | 0.8 [0.6, 2.0] | 0.0608 | 108 | 3.0 [0.5, 10.5] | 0.1786 | 108 | 1.6 [-0.1, 8.1] | 0.3409 |
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| No ANC | 123 | 43.5 [7.1, 101.6] | 123 | 1.6 [0.6, 3.3] | 123 | 5.0 [1.5, 17.0] | 123 | 3.0 [0.2, 13.8] | ||||
| 1-3 visits | 161 | 21.5 [4.1, 79.2] | 161 | 1.0 [0.6, 1.9] | 159 | 3.5 [1.0, 9.8] | 159 | 2.2 [0.1, 6.8] | ||||
| 4 or more visits | 91 | 9.0 [0.4, 50.9] | 0.0005 | 91 | 0.6 [0.6, 1.6] | 0.0002 | 88 | 1.9 [0.5, 6.8] | 0.0032 | 88 | 0.6 [-0.1, 5.4] | 0.0390 |
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| Very difficult | 59 | 80.7 [37.2, 133.4] | 59 | 3.1 [1.4, 6.6] | 57 | 12.0 [4.0, 27.0] | 57 | 6.4 [1.6, 20.8] | ||||
| Moderately difficult | 124 | 34.9 [12.0, 93.3] | 124 | 1.4 [0.6, 2.6] | 122 | 4.4 [1.0, 10.0] | 122 | 2.1 [0.4, 7.0] | ||||
| Not difficult | 211 | 7.8 [0.4, 48.6] | <0.0001 | 211 | 0.6 [0.6, 1.6] | <0.0001 | 210 | 2.5 [0.5, 8.0] | <0.0001 | 210 | 1.2 [-0.1, 5.9] | <0.0001 |
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| No | 44 | 82.7 [30.4, 143.1] | 44 | 3.3 [1.1, 7.1] | 42 | 12.3 [4.5, 34.2] | 42 | 6.6 [0.6, 33.2] | ||||
| Yes | 354 | 16.5 [0.4, 75.0] | <0.0001 | 354 | 0.9 [0.6, 2.0] | <0.0001 | 350 | 3.0 [1.0, 10.0] | <0.0001 | 350 | 1.6 [0.1, 7.0] | 0.0005 |
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| Yes | 61 | 76.9 [41.2, 106.3] | 61 | 2.1 [1.4, 3.1] | 60 | 6.8 [4.0, 13.4] | 60 | 4.6 [2.3, 10.9] | ||||
| No | 337 | 15.1 [0.4, 71.7] | <0.0001 | 337 | 0.9 [0.6, 1.9] | <0.0001 | 333 | 2.8 [0.7, 11.0] | <0.0001 | 333 | 1.4 [0.0, 8.4] | 0.0002 |
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| Summer | 88 | 25.9 [0.4, 93.3] | 88 | 1.0 [0.6, 2.6] | 86 | 5.7 [1.0, 15.0] | 86 | 4.0 [0.3, 13.4] | ||||
| Fall | 102 | 17.2 [2.3, 75.8] | 102 | 1.0 [0.6, 2.2] | 102 | 3.0 [0.5, 7.0] | 102 | 1.3 [0.1, 5.4] | ||||
| Winter | 104 | 22.3 [0.4, 83.0] | 105 | 1.0 [0.6, 1.9] | 104 | 3.8 [1.0, 11.6] | 104 | 1.9 [0, 8.4] | ||||
| Spring | 108 | 21.5 [5.9, 78.9] | 0.8922 | 108 | 1.1 [0.6, 2.3] | 0.9072 | 105 | 3.5 [1.0, 9.5] | 0.1564 | 105 | 1.8 [0.2, 6.5] | 0.1403 |
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| Poorest | 105 | 80.7 [48.3, 117.8] | 105 | 2.5 [1.6, 4.4] | 103 | 8.0 [4.0, 17.5] | 103 | 4.9 [1.6, 14.6] | ||||
| 2nd poorest | 85 | 43.0 [16.3, 84.1] | 85 | 1.7 [0.8, 2.6] | 84 | 4.0 [1.3, 11.3] | 84 | 1.8 [0.3, 8.8] | ||||
| 3rd poorest | 105 | 13.4 [3.4, 39.3] | 105 | 0.7 [0.6, 1.5] | 103 | 2.0 [0.5, 9.0] | 103 | 1.2 [-0.1, 7.0] | ||||
| Least poor | 107 | 0.4 [0.4, 7.8] | <0.0001 | 107 | 0.6 [0.6, 0.7] | <0.0001 | 106 | 1.0 [0.5, 5.0] | <0.0001 | 106 | 0.4 [-0.1, 3.9] | <0.0001 |
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| Farming (including Kuchi/cattle herding) | 136 | 65.0 [24.3, 113.3] | 136 | 1.9 [1.0, 3.3] | 135 | 6.0 [2.5, 18.5] | 135 | 3.7 [0.6, 16.8] | ||||
| Business/shopowners/drivers | 67 | 1.4 [0.4, 11.3] | 67 | 0.6 [0.6, 0.9] | 66 | 2.3 [0.5, 6.0] | 66 | 0.8 [0.1, 5.4] | ||||
| Teachers, engineers, government officials | 26 | 3.1 [0.4, 16.5] | 26 | 0.6 [0.6, 1.0] | 25 | 1.0 [0.5, 6.5] | 25 | 0.4 [-0.1, 5.9] | ||||
| Labourers | 152 | 16.4 [0.4, 63.7] | 152 | 0.8 [0.6, 1.8] | 149 | 2.0 [0.5, 8.0] | 149 | 1.2 [-0.1, 5.4] | ||||
| Other | 21 | 59.7 [4.1, 98.9] | <0.0001 | 21 | 1.8 [0.6, 2.1] | <0.0001 | 21 | 3.3 [1.2, 15.0] | <0.0001 | 21 | 1.4 [0.3, 6.4] | 0.0007 |
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| No | 246 | 33.8 [6.9, 87.0] | 246 | 1.3 [0.6, 2.7] | 243 | 4.5 [1.0, 13.0] | 242 | 2.6 [0.2, 9.6] | ||||
| Yes | 154 | 11.0 [0.4, 68.5] | 0.0019 | 154 | 0.8 [0.6, 1.8] | 0.0041 | 151 | 2.5 [0.7, 10.0] | 0.0547 | 151 | 0.9 [0, 7.2] | 0.1019 |
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| No | 263 | 24.2 [3.4, 87.0] | 263 | 1.1[ 0.6, 2.3] | 260 | 4.5 [1.0, 14.8] | 260 | 2.9 [0.2, 12.5] | ||||
| Yes | 130 | 15.0 [3.1, 69.1] | 0.2084 | 130 | 0.9 [0.6, 2.1] | 0.1918 | 127 | 2.5 [0.8, 6.5] | 0.0155 | 127 | 0.8 [0.1, 5.4] | 0.0132 |
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| 0 | 23 | 24.2 [9.7, 71.2] | 22 | 1.1 [0.6, 2.9] | 21 | 5.0 [1.0, 20.0] | 12 | 4.3 [0.6, 16.2] | ||||
| 1-2 | 137 | 33.7 [6.9, 84.1] | 135 | 1.1 [0.6, 2.5] | 134 | 4.5 [1.0, 13.0] | 134 | 2.8 [0.2, 10.3] | ||||
| 3-4 | 136 | 23.2 [5.5, 89.0] | 137 | 1.2 [0.6, 2.1] | 136 | 3.5 [1.0, 13.5] | 136 | 2.0 [0.1, 10.1] | ||||
| 5 or more | 98 | 10.2 [0.4, 68.5] | 0.0296 | 99 | 0.8 [0.6, 2.1] | 0.0616 | 97 | 2.8 [0.8, 10.0] | 0.3663 | 87 | 1.2 [0.1, 7.0] | 0.5336 |
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| 0 | 205 | 28.1 [5.7, 83.2] | 205 | 1.1 [0.6, 2.7] | 203 | 4.0 [1.0,14.0] | 203 | 1.9 [0.2, 12.4] | ||||
| 1-2 | 133 | 17.2 [0.4, 75.0] | 133 | 0.9 [0.6, 1.9] | 130 | 3.9 [1.0, 8.0] | 130 | 2.0 [0, 5.7] | ||||
| 3-4 | 22 | 15.6 [5.9, 94.5] | 22 | 1.0 [0.6, 2.0] | 22 | 2.0 [0.7, 5.5] | 22 | 0.7 [0.1, 3.9] | ||||
| 5 or more | 36 | 9.8 [0.4, 98.7] | 0.4958 | 36 | 0.9 [0.6, 2.0] | 0.2261 | 35 | 8.0 [2.0, 34.5] | 0.081 | 35 | 5.6 [0.6, 33.2] | 0.0595 |
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| No | 83 | 27.1 [5.9, 82.0] | 85 | 1.1 [0.6, 2.0] | 84 | 4.6 [1.0, 14.8] | 84 | 2.6 [0.1, 13.1] | ||||
| Yes | 289 | 18.3 [0.4, 79.2] | 0.3787 | 289 | 1.0 [0.6, 2.2] | 0.5561 | 284 | 3.5 [1.0, 10.0] | 0.2718 | 284 | 1.8 [0.2, 7.2] | 0.5272 |
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| Nuclear | 220 | 16.5 [4.1, 76.3] | 220 | 1.0 [0.6, 2.0] | 214 | 3.1 [1.0, 11.0] | 214 | 1.5 [0.1, 7.5] | ||||
| Extended | 181 | 24.4 [2.3, 89.0] | 0.3575 | 181 | 1.2 [0.6, 2.5] | 0.2263 | 181 | 4.5 [1.0, 14.3] | 0.165 | 181 | 2.8 [0.2, 10.7] | 0.2774 |
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| Rural | 301 | 50.9 [16.0, 98.9] | 302 | 1.6 [0.8, 2.7] | 298 | 4.8 [1.5, 14.5] | 298 | 2.9 [0.4, 12.4] | ||||
| Urban | 101 | 0.4 [0.4, 0.4] | <0.0001 | 101 | 0.6 [0.6, 0.6] | <0.0001 | 99 | 0.5 [0.5, 4.5] | <0.0001 | 99 | 0.2 [-0.1, 3.9] | <0.0001 |
Note: APH = antepartum haemorrhage; CEmOC = comprehensive emergency obstetric care; PPH = postpartum haemorrhage; *P-values are from Kruskal-Wallis Test.
*P-values are from Kruskal-Wallis Test.
Figure 3Map showing estimated travel time in hours from patients’ residences to Herat Hospital. Note: The grey square on the map indicates the location of Herat Hospital. Small dots indicate the villages of the women in our sample.
Results of multivariable regression model to explain the magnitude of delay
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| 2 or more | 19.5 [13.7, 27.8] | <0.0001 | |
| 1 | 4.9 [3.8, 6.4] | <0.0001 | |
| None (CEmOC only) | Reference | ||
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| Haemorrhage in early pregnancy | 1.9 [1.2, 3.1] | 0.006 | |
| Severe pre-eclampsia | 2.1 [1.3, 3.5] | 0.002 | |
| APH | 1.6 [1.0, 2.6] | 0.042 | |
| Eclampsia | 1.4 [0.9, 2.1] | 0.111 | |
| Impending rupture of the uterus | 1.7 [1.0, 2.9] | 0.032 | |
| Rupture of the uterus | 1.8 [1.1, 3.2] | 0.032 | |
| PPH | Reference | ||
| Severe infection | 2.6 [1.4, 4.9] | 0.002 | |
| Other | 0.7 [0.2, 2.2] | 0.499 | |
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| Very difficult | 2.1 [1.5, 3.0] | <0.0001 | |
| Moderately difficult | 1.0 [0.8, 1.3] | 0.929 | |
| Not difficult | Reference | ||
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| 0 | 1.4 [0.8, 2.3] | 0.257 | |
| 1-2 | 1.2 [0.7, 2.1] | 0.474 | |
| 3-4 | Reference | ||
| 5 or more | 2.0 [1.1, 3.7] | 0.033 | |
Note: APH = antepartum haemorrhage; CEmOC = comprehensive emergency obstetric care; PPH = postpartum haemorrhage.