| Literature DB >> 25596413 |
Eric Hachulla1, Pierre Clerson1, Paolo Airò1, Giovanna Cuomo1, Yannick Allanore1, Paola Caramaschi1, Edoardo Rosato1, Patricia E Carreira1, Valeria Riccieri1, Marta Sarraco1, Christopher P Denton1, Gabriela Riemekasten1, Maria Rosa Pozzi1, Silvana Zeni1, Carmen Marina Mihai1, Susanne Ullman1, Oliver Distler1, Simona Rednic1, Vanessa Smith1, Ulrich A Walker1, Marco Matucci-Cerinic1, Ulf Müller-Ladner1, David Launay1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP) estimated by echocardiography in the multinational European League Against Rheumatism Scleroderma Trial and Research (EUSTAR) cohort.Entities:
Keywords: pulmonary hypertension; survival; systemic sclerosis; systolic pulmonary arterial pressure; tricuspid regurgitant jet velocity
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 25596413 PMCID: PMC4473765 DOI: 10.1093/rheumatology/keu450
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Rheumatology (Oxford) ISSN: 1462-0324 Impact factor: 7.580
Characteristics of the 1476 patients analysed
| Total number documented | Data | |
|---|---|---|
| Female | 1476 | 1280 (86.7) |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 742 | 24.4 (4.4) |
| Age, years | 1476 | 56.3 (13.5) |
| Time since RP, years | 1457 | 13.9 (11.1) |
| Time since non-RP first symptom, years | 1350 | 9.5 (7.6) |
| dcSSc | 1476 | 462 (31.3) |
| lcSSc | 1476 | 984 (66.7) |
| Limited SSc | 1476 | 30 (2.0) |
| Modified Rodnan skin score | 1298 | 8.9 (7.3) |
| Hypertension | 1454 | 309 (21.3) |
| History of renal crisis | 1384 | 20 (1.5) |
| Active digital ulcers | 1457 | 520 (35.7) |
| Lung fibrosis (on HRCT) | 862 | 439 (50.9) |
| Restrictive syndrome (FVC and/or TLC <70%) | 1402 | 332 (23.7) |
| ANAs | 1392 | 1345 (96.6) |
| ACAs | 1342 | 499 (37.2) |
| Anti-topoisomerase antibodies | 1343 | 469 (34.9) |
| NYHA functional class | 1379 | |
| I | 771 (55.9) | |
| II | 474 (34.4) | |
| III | 116 (8.4) | |
| IV | 18 (1.3) | |
| sPAP, mmHg | 1476 | 29.8 (9.5) |
| DLCO, % | 1340 | 68.7 (19.5) |
| FVC, % | 1343 | 96.0 (21.7) |
| TLC, % | 692 | 92.6 (19.4) |
| LVEF, % | 1339 | 62.0 (5.9) |
| Diastolic dysfunction | 1374 | 294 (21.4) |
| Pericardial effusion | 1252 | 91 (7.3) |
Results are the number of documented patients expressed as the mean (s.d.) for continuous variables or as n (%) for categorical variables. Percentages are calculated on the number of documented variables. DLCO: diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide; FVC: forced vital capacity; HRCT: high-resolution computed tomography; LVEF: , left ventricular ejection fraction; NYHA: New York Heart Association; sPAP: systolic pulmonary artery pressure; TLC: total lung capacity.
FFive-year survival distribution function according to sPAP at index echocardiographyDashed line: sPAP <36 mmHg; solid line: sPAP ≥36 mmHg (values at index echocardiography). sPAP: systolic pulmonary arterial pressure.
Risk of death associated with sPAP at index echocardiography
| sPAP <36 mmHg ( | 36 ≤ sPAP ≤ 50 mmHg ( | sPAP >50 mmHg ( | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year survival estimate, % (95% CI) | 99.4 (98.7, 99.7) | 98.9 (95.8, 99.7) | 93.4 (81.0, 97.8) |
| 2 year survival estimate, % (95% CI) | 97.0 (95.6, 98.0) | 93.5 (87.8, 96.6) | 86.5 (69.7, 92.0) |
| 3 year survival estimate, % (95% CI) | 93.8 (91.1, 95.7) | 84.5 (73.7, 91.2) | 66.5 (42.8, 82.1) |
| Hazard ratio (95% CI) | 1.44 (1.06, 1.96) | 1.83 (1.43, 2.33) |
Data are right-censored at 60 months. hazard ratios are derived from a Cox model. The 1, 2 and 3 year survival rates were estimated with a Kaplan–Meier model. sPAP: systolic pulmonary arterial pressure.
Patient characteristics at the index visit associated with risk of death (univariate analysis)
| Parameter | HR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 0.05 | 0.01 | 1.05 (1.03, 1.08) | <0.0001 |
| Male | 0.75 | 0.26 | 2.13 (1.28, 3.55) | 0.004 |
| Diffuse SSc | 0.63 | 0.23 | 1.87 (1.19, 2.95) | 0.007 |
| sPAP, mmHg | 0.05 | 0.007 | 1.06 (1.04, 1.07) | <0.0001 |
| DLCO, % | −0.05 | 0.008 | 0.95 (0.94, 0.97) | <0.0001 |
| FVC, % | −0.04 | 0.006 | 0.97 (0.95, 0.98) | <0.0001 |
| TLC, % | −0.04 | 0.009 | 0.96 (0.95, 0.98) | <0.0001 |
| mRSS, per unit | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1.04 (1.01, 1.07) | 0.005 |
| LVEF, % | −0.05 | 0.02 | 0.95 (0.92, 0.98) | 0.003 |
| Diastolic dysfunction | 0.40 | 0.26 | 1.50 (0.89, 2.51) | 0.13 |
| Pericardial effusion | 0.83 | 0.36 | 2.29 (1.13, 4.63) | 0.02 |
| Lung fibrosis | 0.47 | 0.28 | 1.60 (0.92, 2.77) | 0.10 |
| PAH or PH | 1.49 | 0.27 | 4.43 (2.63, 7.48) | <0.0001 |
DLCO, FVC and TLC are expressed as a percentage of the theoretical value. DLCO: diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide; FVC: forced vital capacity; HR: hazard ratio; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction; mRSS: modified Rodnan skin score; PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; PH: pulmonary hypertension; sPAP: systolic pulmonary arterial pressure; TLC: total lung capacity.
Patient characteristics at the index visit associated with risk of death (multivariate analysis)
| Parameter | HR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLCO, % predicted | −0.02765 | 0.00939 | 0.973 (0.955, 0.991) | 0.003 |
| Age, year | 0.06330 | 0.01296 | 1.065 (1.039, 1.093) | <0.0001 |
| TLC, % predicted | −0.02638 | 0.00763 | 0.974 (0.960, 0.989) | 0.0005 |
| sPAP ≥36 mmHg | 0.60604 | 0.29161 | 1.833 (1.035, 3.247) | 0.04 |
DLCO and TLC are expressed as a percentage of the theoretical value. DLCO: diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide; HR: hazard ratio; sPAP: systolic pulmonary arterial pressure; TLC: total lung capacity.