| Literature DB >> 25531166 |
Sokkosal Chea, Yi-Bing Cheng, Kulkanya Chokephaibulkit, Tawee Chotpitayasunondh, H Rogier van Doorn, Zen Hafy, Surinda Kawichai, Ching-Chuan Liu, Nguyen Tran Nam, Mong How Ooi, Marcel Wolbers, Mei Zeng.
Abstract
The South East Asia Infectious Disease Clinical Research Network convened subject matter experts at a workshop to make consensus recommendations for study design of a clinical trial for use of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) in severe hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD). HFMD is a highly contagious emerging infection among children in the region, a small proportion of whom develop neurologic and cardiopulmonary complications with high case-fatality rates. The use of IVIg for treatment of severe disease is widespread and a part of local, national, and international guidelines, but no clinical evidence warrants the use of this drug, which is expensive and has potentially serious side effects. During a 2-day workshop in March 2014, a group of HFMD experts reviewed the current evidence related to use of IVIg in HFMD and discussed potential study design, feasibility, inclusion and exclusion criteria, sample size, primary and secondary endpoints, and subsidiary studies for a randomized, placebo-controlled trial.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 25531166 PMCID: PMC4285270 DOI: 10.3201/eid2101.140992
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Emerg Infect Dis ISSN: 1080-6040 Impact factor: 6.883
Total required sample size for a 1:1 randomized trial designed to demonstrate superiority of IVIg compared with placebo at the 2-sided 5% significance level with 90% power*
| Absolute risk of progression, IVIg group | Absolute risk increase for placebo group compared with IVIg | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +5% | +7.5% | +10% | +15% | |
| 15% | 2,424 | 1,136 | 670 | 322 |
| 20% | 2,928 | 1,350 | 784 | 370 |
*Sample sizes are total sample sizes (i.e., for both groups combined) but do not account for loss-to-follow-up or increases in sample size that would be required if formal interim analyses with stopping boundaries are planned. IVIg, intravenous immunoglobulin.
Total required sample size for a 1:1 randomized trial designed to demonstrate noninferiority of placebo compared with IVIg at the 1-sided 2.5% significance level with 90% power*
| Absolute risk of progression† | Noninferiority margin Δ‡ | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 7.5% | 10% | 15% | |
| 15% | 2,144 | 954 | 536 | 240 |
| 20% | 2,690 | 1,196 | 674 | 300 |
*Sample sizes are total sample sizes (i.e., for both groups combined) but do not account for loss-to-follow-up or increases in sample size that would be required if formal interim analyses with stopping boundaries are planned. IVIg, intravenous immunoglobulin. †Assumed to be identical for both groups. ‡The noninferiority margin Δ is the absolute risk increase in the placebo arm to be exclude with the trial. That is, if the assumptions are correct, the sample sizes above guarantees that we can reject the hypothesis that placebo increases the absolute risk by +Δ (or more) at the 1-sided 2.5% significance level with 90% power. (Or, equivalently, the sample sizes above guarantee a probability of 90% that the 2-sided 95% CI for the absolute risk difference excludes an excess risk of +Δ, at worst, in the placebo arm.)