| Literature DB >> 25407057 |
Melanie L Bell1, Mallorie Fiero, Nicholas J Horton, Chiu-Hsieh Hsu.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Missing outcome data is a threat to the validity of treatment effect estimates in randomized controlled trials. We aimed to evaluate the extent, handling, and sensitivity analysis of missing data and intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in top tier medical journals, and compare our findings with previous reviews related to missing data and ITT in RCTs.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 25407057 PMCID: PMC4247714 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2288-14-118
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med Res Methodol ISSN: 1471-2288 Impact factor: 4.615
General characteristics of the 77 randomized controlled trials published July – December 2013
| N (%) | |
|---|---|
| Journal | |
| BMJ | 8 (10) |
| JAMA | 26 (34) |
| Lancet | 22 (29) |
| NEJM | 21 (27) |
| Number of centers involved | |
| Single | 21 (27) |
| Multiple | 56 (73) |
| Type of outcome | |
| Quantitative | 42 (55) |
| Binary | 35 (45) |
| How often outcome was collected | |
| Single | 16 (21) |
| Repeated | 61 (79) |
| How outcome was treated in the primary analysis | |
| Single | 63 (82) |
| Repeated | 14 (18) |
| Reported CONSORT flow diagram | 76 (99) |
| Reported primary analysis was intention-to-treat or modified intention-to-treat | 66 (86) |
Handling of missing data in primary analysis among 73 trials who reported missing outcome data
| N (%) 1 | |
|---|---|
| Proportion of patients with missing outcome1 | |
| No missing data | 4 (5) |
| 0 – 1% | 2 (3) |
| 1 – 5% | 11 (14) |
| 5 – 10% | 24 (31) |
| > 10% | 36 (47) |
| Reported number of patients with missing outcomes by randomized treatment arm | 71 (97) |
| Reported reasons why missing | 66 (90) |
| Mentioned attempts to avoid missing data before and during trial | 26 (36) |
| Methods | |
| Complete case | 33 (45) |
| Simple imputation | |
| Linear interpolation | 3 (5) |
| Worst-case | 8 (11) |
| LOCF | 9 (12) |
| Multiple imputation | 6 (8) |
| Model based | |
| GEE (un-weighted) | 3 (4) |
| Mixed model/hierarchical/multilevel | 11 (15) |
1The denominator for the proportion of patients with missing outcome is 77; the other denominators are 73 (the number of studies with any missing data).
Methods for handling missing data in sensitivity analysis in 27 trials
| Sensitivity method | Assumption | Primary analysis | Assumption | N | Total N (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete case | MCAR | Simple imputation | MCAR | 3 | 6 (22) |
| MI | MAR | 2 | |||
| Mixed Model | MAR | 1 | |||
| Simple imputation1 | MCAR | GEE | MCAR | 1 | 4 (15) |
| MI | MAR | 1 | |||
| Mixed model | MAR | 2 | |||
| GEE (un-weighted) | MCAR | Complete case | MCAR | 1 | 1 (4) |
| MI2 | MAR | Complete case | MCAR | 6 | 10 (37) |
| Simple imputation | MCAR | 1 | |||
| GEE | MCAR | 1 | |||
| Mixed model | MAR | 2 | |||
| Mixed model | MAR | Complete case | MCAR | 2 | 2 (7) |
| Adjustment using auxiliary data | MAR | Mixed model | MAR | 2 | 2 (7) |
| Unclear | Complete case | MCAR | 1 | 2 (7) | |
| Simple imputation | MCAR | 1 |
1One trial also performed complete case analysis.
2One trial also performed simple imputation.
Reviews on missing data and ITT in the BMJ, JAMA, NEJM and the Lancet
| Study | Timing | Study inclusion criteria | Number of trials included | Number (%) of papers with missing data 2 | Number (%) of papers with more than 10% missing data 2 | Missing data approaches in primary analysis | Number (%) 3 | Number (%) of papers reporting sensitivity analysis 3 | Number (%) of papers reporting ITT 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollis et al., 1999 [ | 1997 | All RCTs | 249 | 89/119 (75) | 29/119 (24) | Complete case | 44 (49) | 1 (1) | 119/249 (48) |
| Simple imputation | 15 (17) | ||||||||
| Multiple imputation | 0 | ||||||||
| Model based | 29 (33) | ||||||||
| Unclear | 1 (1) | ||||||||
| Wood et al., 2004 [ | July-Dec, 2001 | All RCTs with non-survival outcomes | 71 | 63/71 (89) | 36/71 (51) | Complete case | 41 (65) | 13 (21) | 26/63 (41) |
| Simple imputation | 14 (22) | ||||||||
| Multiple imputation | 1 (2) | ||||||||
| Model based | 5 (8) | ||||||||
| Unclear | 2 (3) | ||||||||
| Gravel et al., 2007 [ | 2002 | Sample of RCTs1 | 403 | 152/249 (61) | 52/249 (21) | Complete case | 89 (59) | Not reported | 249/403 (62) |
| Simple imputation | 32 (21) | 201/283 (71)5 | |||||||
| Multiple imputation | 1 (1) | ||||||||
| Model based6 | 0 | ||||||||
| Unclear6 | 30 (20) | ||||||||
| Fielding et al., 2008 [ | 2005-2006 | Random sample of RCTs with Quality of life outcomes | 61 | 55/61 (90) | 22/61 (36) | Complete case | 30 (55) | 6 (11) | Not reported |
| Simple imputation | 11 (20) | ||||||||
| Multiple imputation | 1 (2) | ||||||||
| Model based | 9 (16) | ||||||||
| Unclear | 4 (7) | ||||||||
| Bell et al., (current study) | July-Dec, 2013 | All RCTS with non-survival outcomes | 77 | 73/77 (95) | 36/77 (47) | Complete case | 33 (45) | 27 (37) | 62/73 (85) |
| Simple imputation | 20 (27) | ||||||||
| Multiple imputation | 6 (8) | ||||||||
| Model based | 14 (19) |
1Gravel et al. reported on 10 journals, including the BMJ, JAMA, NEJM and the Lancet.
2Denominator is the number of trials included except for Hollis et al. and Gravel et al., where denominators are the number of papers reporting ITT.
3Denominator is the number of papers with missing data.
4Denominator is the number of papers with missing data except for Hollis et al. and Gravel et al. where denominators are the number of trials included in the review.
5Sub-analysis of RCTs from the four journals (BMJ, JAMA, NEJM and the Lancet) out of the 10 journals included in Gravel’s review.
6Three reported as “other” might be model based (added to 27 marked “unclear”).