Chen-June Seak1, Chip-Jin Ng2, David Hung-Tsang Yen3, Yon-Cheong Wong4, Kuang-Hung Hsu5, Joanna Chen-Yeen Seak6, Chen-Ken Seak6. 1. Department of Emergency Medicine, Lin-Kou Medical Center, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan; College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan; Institute of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan. 2. Department of Emergency Medicine, Lin-Kou Medical Center, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan; College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan. Electronic address: ngowl@ms3.hinet.net. 3. Institute of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Emergency Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. 4. College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan; Division of Emergency and Critical Care Radiology, Department of Medical Imaging and Intervention, Lin-Kou Medical Center, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan. 5. Laboratory for Epidemiology, Department of Health Care Management, and Healthy Aging Research Center, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan. Electronic address: khsu@mail.cgu.edu.tw. 6. Sarawak General Hospital, Kuching, Sarawak, Malaysia.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the performance of Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score for predicting illness severity and the mortality of adult hepatic portal venous gas (HPVG) patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). This will assist emergency physicians in risk stratification. METHODS: Data for 48 adult HPVG patients who visited our ED between December 2009 and December 2013 were analyzed. The SAPS II, APACHE II score, and SOFA score were calculated based on the worst laboratory values in the ED. The probability of death was calculated for each patient based on these scores. The ability of the SAPS II, APACHE II score, and SOFA score to predict group mortality was assessed by using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and calibration analysis. RESULTS: The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 92.6%,71.4%, and 83.3%, respectively, for the SAPS II method; 77.8%, 81%, and 79.2%, respectively, for the APACHE II scoring system, and 77.8%, 76.2%, and 79.2%, respectively, for the SOFA score. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the areas under the curve for the SAPS II, APACHE II scoring system, and SOFA score were 0.910, 0.878, and 0.809, respectively. CONCLUSION: This is one of the largest series performed in a population of adult HPVG patients in the ED. The results from the present study showed that SAPS II is easier and more quickly calculated than the APACHE II and more superior in predicting the mortality of ED adult HPVG patients than the SOFA. We recommend that the SAPS II be used for outcome prediction and risk stratification in adult HPVG patients in the ED.
OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the performance of Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score for predicting illness severity and the mortality of adult hepatic portal venous gas (HPVG) patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). This will assist emergency physicians in risk stratification. METHODS: Data for 48 adult HPVG patients who visited our ED between December 2009 and December 2013 were analyzed. The SAPS II, APACHE II score, and SOFA score were calculated based on the worst laboratory values in the ED. The probability of death was calculated for each patient based on these scores. The ability of the SAPS II, APACHE II score, and SOFA score to predict group mortality was assessed by using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and calibration analysis. RESULTS: The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 92.6%,71.4%, and 83.3%, respectively, for the SAPS II method; 77.8%, 81%, and 79.2%, respectively, for the APACHE II scoring system, and 77.8%, 76.2%, and 79.2%, respectively, for the SOFA score. In the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the areas under the curve for the SAPS II, APACHE II scoring system, and SOFA score were 0.910, 0.878, and 0.809, respectively. CONCLUSION: This is one of the largest series performed in a population of adult HPVG patients in the ED. The results from the present study showed that SAPS II is easier and more quickly calculated than the APACHE II and more superior in predicting the mortality of ED adult HPVG patients than the SOFA. We recommend that the SAPS II be used for outcome prediction and risk stratification in adult HPVG patients in the ED.