INTRODUCTION: A simple and easily applicable system for stratifying patients with acute pancreatitis is lacking. The aim of our study was to evaluate the ability of BISAP score to predict mortality in acute pancreatitis patients from our institution and to predict which patients are at risk for development of organ failure, persistent organ failure and pancreatic necrosis. METHODS: All patients with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. BISAP score was calculated within 24 h of admission. A Contrast CT was used to differentiate interstitial from necrotizing pancreatitis within seven days of hospitalization whereas Marshall Scoring System was used to characterize organ failure. RESULTS: Among 246 patients M:F = 153:93, most common aetiology among men was alcoholism and among women was gallstone disease. 207 patients had no organ failure and remaining 39 developed organ failure. 17 patients had persistent organ failure, 16 of those with BISAP score ≥3. 13 patients in our study died, out of which 12 patients had BISAP score ≥3. We also found that a BISAP score of ≥3 had a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 76%, a positive predictive value of 17%, and a negative predictive value of 99% for mortality. DISCUSSION: The BISAP score is a simple and accurate method for the early identification of patients at increased risk for in hospital mortality and morbidity.
INTRODUCTION: A simple and easily applicable system for stratifying patients with acute pancreatitis is lacking. The aim of our study was to evaluate the ability of BISAP score to predict mortality in acute pancreatitispatients from our institution and to predict which patients are at risk for development of organ failure, persistent organ failure and pancreatic necrosis. METHODS: All patients with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. BISAP score was calculated within 24 h of admission. A Contrast CT was used to differentiate interstitial from necrotizing pancreatitis within seven days of hospitalization whereas Marshall Scoring System was used to characterize organ failure. RESULTS: Among 246 patients M:F = 153:93, most common aetiology among men was alcoholism and among women was gallstone disease. 207 patients had no organ failure and remaining 39 developed organ failure. 17 patients had persistent organ failure, 16 of those with BISAP score ≥3. 13 patients in our study died, out of which 12 patients had BISAP score ≥3. We also found that a BISAP score of ≥3 had a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 76%, a positive predictive value of 17%, and a negative predictive value of 99% for mortality. DISCUSSION: The BISAP score is a simple and accurate method for the early identification of patients at increased risk for in hospital mortality and morbidity.
Authors: Elham Afghani; Stephen J Pandol; Tooru Shimosegawa; Robert Sutton; Bechien U Wu; Santhi Swaroop Vege; Fred Gorelick; Morihisa Hirota; John Windsor; Simon K Lo; Martin L Freeman; Markus M Lerch; Yoshihisa Tsuji; Gil Y Melmed; Wahid Wassef; Julia Mayerle Journal: Pancreas Date: 2015-11 Impact factor: 3.327