Serial determinations of HIV-1 titers in HIV-infected homosexual men: association of rising titers with CD4 T cell depletion and progression to AIDS.

Lymphocyte subset enumerations, antibody titers to specific proteins of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and measurement of infectious HIV titers in peripheral blood mononuclear cells were performed on serial blood specimens from 15 HIV-infected homosexual men with chronic lymphadenopathy syndrome (LAS); 6 of these men have subsequently progressed to AIDS (progressors), and 9 have remained clinically stable (nonprogressors). For the earliest samples studied, no test distinguished those who would progress to AIDS from those who have not. The two groups diverged significantly about 1 year before AIDS diagnosis in the progressor group. Virus titers rose in progressors but remained relatively stable in nonprogressors. CD4 T cells and the CD4 T cell subset, 4B4, declined more rapidly in progressors than in nonprogressors. HIV antibody titers tended to decline in progressors, but the differences were significant only for antibody and to the pol-encoded proteins, p51/65, and the gag-encoded polyprotein, p55. Before the onset of clinical AIDS, progressors are distinguished from nonprogressors by markedly different rates of CD4 cell depletion and virus replication, but the elements that control these dynamics remain to be defined.