Literature DB >> 25237046

Characterizing types of readmission after acute coronary syndrome hospitalization: implications for quality reporting.

Danielle A Southern1, Jennifer Ngo2, Billie-Jean Martin3, P Diane Galbraith3, Merril L Knudtson3, William A Ghali1, Matthew T James4, Stephen B Wilton3.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Thirty-day readmission rates have been tied to hospital reimbursement in the United States, but remain controversial as measures of healthcare quality. We profile the timing, main diagnoses, and survival outcomes of inpatient and emergency department readmissions after acute coronary syndrome (ACS), based on a large regional database. METHODS AND
RESULTS: Patients enrolled in the Alberta Provincial Project for Outcomes Assessment in Coronary Heart Disease (APPROACH) registry with an ACS hospitalization between April 2008 and March 2010 (n=3411) were included. Primary outcomes were inpatient and emergency department-only readmissions, at 30 days and 1 year. Predictors of 30-day readmission were identified, and the association between 30-day readmission status and mortality was evaluated. A total of 1170 (34.3%) patients had ≥1 hospital readmission within 30 days, reaching 2106 (61.7%) within 1 year of ACS discharge. Of first readmissions, 45% were emergency department only and 53% were for cardiovascular or possibly related diagnoses. Renal disease and diabetes predicted all-cause readmissions at 30 days and 1 year, but there were no robust predictors of cardiovascular readmissions. Thirty-day inpatient, but not emergency department, readmissions were associated with increased mortality.
CONCLUSIONS: Hospital readmissions within 30 days after discharge for ACS are common, and associated with increased mortality. However, our findings underline that readmissions are quite heterogeneous in nature, and that many readmissions are unrelated to index stay and thus not easily predicted with common clinical variables. All-cause 30-day readmission rates may be too simplistic, and perhaps even misleading, as a hospital performance metric.
© 2014 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley Blackwell.

Entities:  

Keywords:  acute care; acute coronary syndrome; hospitalizations; readmissions

Mesh:

Year:  2014        PMID: 25237046      PMCID: PMC4323836          DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.114.001046

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Am Heart Assoc        ISSN: 2047-9980            Impact factor:   5.501


Introduction

Like other chronic illnesses, coronary artery disease is punctuated by episodes of acute exacerbation requiring hospitalization, most commonly for acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Despite improvements in acute care and survival after ACS hospitalization, early readmissions remain common, and have significant clinical and financial impact.[1] These readmissions are seen as undesirable events both for patients and healthcare systems. Because of the variability in readmission rates among different hospitals and regions, it has been argued that early readmissions are avoidable and furthermore are related to suboptimal quality of care during the index hospitalization.[2] Therefore, 30‐day readmission profiling is becoming a metric for institutional and regional performance, and beginning in 2012 in the United States, hospitals whose 30‐day hospital readmission rates for certain conditions, including acute myocardial infarction (AMI), exceed the national average are financially penalized under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.[3-5] However, while some readmissions after AMI may be preventable with improved in‐hospital and postdischarge processes, a substantial proportion may be unavoidable, unrelated to the index admission, or conversely reflect high‐quality, responsible care.[6-11] Therefore, considering early readmissions as a homogeneous phenomenon may obscure important variations in their impact and relevance. While several investigators have sought to identify predictors of 30‐day readmission following AMI[12-14] or percutaneous coronary interventions,[6,15] detailed contextual data about these encounters has been lacking. Furthermore, patients with an index admission for unstable angina have been excluded from most studies, and the relevance of admissions beyond the 30‐day window has been poorly studied. We sought to profile the timing, main diagnoses, and survival outcomes of inpatient and emergency department readmissions after acute coronary syndrome (ACS), based on a large inclusive regional database. Our findings shed light on the correlates of readmission episodes, with implications to the widespread reporting of readmission rates as an indicator of quality of care.

Methods

Study Population and Data Sources

This study included all subjects enrolled in the Alberta Provincial Project for Outcomes Assessment of Coronary Heart Disease (APPROACH)[16] within the Alberta Health Services—Calgary and South Zones (population 1.5 million) who were discharged alive after an ACS hospitalization between April 1, 2008, and March 31, 2010. Patients are captured in the APPROACH database when they are admitted to a cardiac ward in any acute care hospital. APPROACH uses prospective data collection for patient characteristics, comorbidities, and details of management during the index hospitalization. The diagnosis of ACS and its subcategorization as unstable angina, non‐ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), and ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), are entered at the time of discharge, and represent the physician's interpretation of all clinical data, including electrocardiography, biomarker elevation, and the results of cardiac testing. During the study period all participating centers used troponin T as the principal cardiac biomarker, with standardized cut‐offs to define myocardial infarction. APPROACH data were linked with the Discharge Abstract Database (DAD) and the Ambulatory Care Classification System administrative databases to obtain the timing and diagnosis for hospital readmissions after discharge. In addition, this linkage reduces missing data comorbidities data.[17] Comorbid illness is defined within the Discharge Abstract Database using the Charlson score,[18] based on International Classification of Disease (ICD‐10‐CA) discharge codes.[19] Comorbid illnesses were defined at time of index hospitalization. Data on all‐cause mortality is provided by linkage with Alberta Vital Statistics. All data sources were updated through March 31, 2011. The University of Calgary Research Ethics Board has approved APPROACH registry data collection and linkages with secondary sources, and waived the requirement for individual consent for inclusion.

Hospital Readmission Definitions

We categorized the first hospital‐based readmission after ACS discharge as follows. The reference group was patients who had no emergency department visit or inpatient readmission during the follow‐up period. Readmitted patients were categorized as inpatient if they were hospitalized under the care of an admitting service, either with or without being assessed in the emergency department first, and as emergency department if the first hospital readmission consisted of an assessment in the emergency department only. All readmissions were also categorized in terms of their relationship to the index admission based on the main discharge diagnosis codes, and were coded as cardiac‐related, possibly related, and unrelated. In Canada, the “main discharge diagnosis” is defined as the diagnosis requiring the most resources during a hospital stay. Cardiovascular‐related readmissions were those whose main diagnoses related to coronary artery disease, chest pain, congestive heart failure, arrhythmias, valvular heart disease, pericardial disease, or stroke. Readmissions were classified as possibly related when the main diagnosis may have been due to complications of a procedure (eg, wound infection, pleural effusion) or a medical therapy (eg, bleeding, acute renal failure, hypotension, electrolyte disturbance) provided during the initial hospitalization. Cardiac‐related readmissions were further subcategorized as either planned or unplanned. Planned readmissions were those involving elective coronary angiography, percutaneous coronary intervention, or cardiac surgery, using urgency codes in APPROACH. All other readmissions were considered to be unplanned.

Statistical Analysis

Demographic and clinical characteristics were compared by readmission status using χ2 tests for categorical variables, overall ANOVA for continuous variables, and nonparametric t tests for non‐normally distributed variables. Multivariable logistic regression models were created to predict readmissions. Initial predictors were selected for known or suspected associations with readmissions, and included age ≥75 years, female sex, index length of stay ≥7 days, STEMI/NSTEMI diagnosis, catheterization during index admission, congestive heart failure, pulmonary disease, renal disease, diabetes (uncomplicated and complicated), peripheral vascular disease, mild liver disease, and dementia. Stepwise backwards elimination was used to select variables[20] for the final logistic regression models to predict readmissions within 30 days and within 1 year. Separate models were created for all‐cause readmissions and for the emergency department and inpatient subtypes, to determine whether similar variables were predictive across readmissions types. Only variables with a P‐value <0.05 were retained in the models. We report C‐statistic values for model discrimination, as a measure of the extent to which readmission end points are related to the baseline clinical predictor variables that were modeled. A priori, we anticipated that these C‐statistic values could be quite low for readmission endpoints, especially if a number of nonclinical factors influence whether a patient is readmitted or not. We compared all‐cause mortality in follow‐up among patients who survived at least 30 days after the initial admission, according to both 30‐day readmission status and readmission type, using Kaplan–Meier plots and the log‐rank test, and used Cox proportional hazards models to adjust mortality estimates for known prognostic variables. All statistical analyses were performed with SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). A 2‐sided P<0.05 identified statistical significance.

Results

Of 3609 patients discharged with a diagnosis of ACS between April 1, 2008 and March 31, 2010, 3411 (94.5%) survived to discharge and were included. The ACS diagnosis subcategories were 1128 (33.1%) unstable angina; 1517 (44.5%) NSTEMI; and 766 (22.5%) STEMI. The mean age was 65.6±13.2, and 1055 (30.9%) patients were female. Figure 1 summarizes these data and Table 1 summarizes key characteristics of the patients and their index ACS admissions.
Figure 1.

Flow chart of patient cohort. ACS indicates acute coronary syndrome; APPROACH, Alberta Provincial Project for Outcomes Assessment in Coronary Heart Disease.

Table 1.

Characteristics of the Patients and Index Hospitalizations

All Patients N=3411No Readmission N=1305Emergency Department Only N=942Inpatient Admission N=1164P Value
Male2356 (69.1%)917 (70.3%)668 (70.9%)771 (66.2%)0.034
Mean age (SD)65.6 (13.2)65.2 (13.4)63.1 (12.9)68.2 (12.8)<0.0001*
Median Index LOS (Q1 to Q3)5.0 (3.75, 6.25)5.0 (4.0, 6.0)5.0 (4.0, 6.0)5.0 (3.5, 6.5)0.857
Median days to readmission (Q1 to Q3)23.0 (5.25, 40.75)30.0 (12.25, 47.75)18.0 (3.25, 32.75)<0.0001
Index discharge diagnosis 0.018
NSTEMI1517 (44.5%)555 (42.5%)425 (45.1%)537 (46.1%)
STEMI766 (22.5%)296 (22.7%)236 (25.1%)234 (20.1%)
Unstable angina1128 (33.1%)454 (34.8%)281 (29.8%)393 (33.8%)
Cardiac catheterization and/or revascularization2376 (69.7%)942 (72.2%)737 (78.2%)697 (59.9%)<0.0001
Patient residence<0.0001
Calgary and surrounding areas1774 (52.0%)661 (50.7%)487 (51.7%)626 (53.8%)
Nonmetropolitan1196 (35.1%)420 (32.2%)360 (38.2%)416 (35.7%)
Unknown441 (12.9%)224 (17.2%)95 (10.1%)122 (10.5%)
Comorbidities
Heart failure322 (9.7%)104 (8.0%)63 (6.7%)165 (14.2%)<0.0001
Diabetes884 (25.9%)295 (22.6%)216 (22.9%)373 (32.0%)<0.0001
Cancer162 (4.8%)45 (3.5%)44 (4.7%)73 (6.3%)0.004
Mild liver disease20 (0.6%)6 (0.5%)4 (0.4%)10 (0.9%)0.322
Moderate/severe liver disease16 (0.5%)5 (0.4%)3 (0.3%)8 (0.7%)0.396
Renal disease305 (8.9%)87 (6.7%)59 (6.3%)159 (13.7%)<0.0001
Pulmonary disease523 (15.3%)163 (12.5%)117 (12.4%)243 (20.9%)<0.0001
Peripheral vascular disease160 (4.7%)54 (4.1%)25 (2.7%)81 (7.0%)<0.0001
Dementia22 (0.6%)10 (0.8%)5 (0.5%)7 (0.6%)0.769
Metastatic cancer2 (0.1%)002 (0.2%)0.145
Cerebrovascular disease266 (7.8%)87 (6.7%)65 (6.9%)114 (9.8%)0.007
Peptic ulcer disease353 (10.4%)118 (9.0%)97 (10.3%)138 (11.9%)0.072
Rheumatic disease17 (0.5%)4 (0.3%)5 (0.5%)8 (0.7%)0.401
Paraplegia5 (0.2%)2 (0.2%)2 (0.2%)1 (0.1%)0.754
HIV0000
Charlson score <0.0001
0599 (17.6%)272 (20.9%)142 (15.1%)185 (15.9%)
11526 (44.7%)612 (46.9%)476 (50.5%)438 (37.6%)
2536 (15.7%)185 (14.2%)135 (14.3%)216 (18.6%)
3374 (11.0%)133 (10.2%)96 (10.2%)145 (12.5%)
4+376 (15.5%)103 (7.9%)93 (9.9%)180 (15.5%)

LOS indicates length of stay; NSTEMI, non‐ST elevation myocardial infarction; STEMI, ST elevation myocardial infarction.

*F‐test; †Kruskal–Wallis test; ‡revascularization = percutaneous coronary intervention and/or coronary artery bypass graft.

Flow chart of patient cohort. ACS indicates acute coronary syndrome; APPROACH, Alberta Provincial Project for Outcomes Assessment in Coronary Heart Disease. Characteristics of the Patients and Index Hospitalizations LOS indicates length of stay; NSTEMI, non‐ST elevation myocardial infarction; STEMI, ST elevation myocardial infarction. *F‐test; †Kruskal–Wallis test; ‡revascularization = percutaneous coronary intervention and/or coronary artery bypass graft. Table 2 describes the timing and main diagnoses for hospital readmissions. During 1 year of follow‐up, 2106 (61.7%) had at least 1 hospital readmission, and 1170 (34.3%) were readmitted within 30 days. In total, there were 695 (20.3%) inpatient readmissions within 30 days. The median time from index discharge to readmission was 0.8 months (Q1 to Q3 0.2, 1.4). The first hospital readmission was an assessment in the emergency department only in 942 patients (44.7%) and was an inpatient admission in 1164 (55.3%). The readmissions were categorized as cardiovascular in 984 (46.7%), as possibly related to the index admission in 135 (6.4%), and as unrelated in the remaining 987 (46.9%) cases. Considering only 30‐day readmissions, 594 (50.8%) were cardiovascular and another 90 (7.7%) were possibly related to the index admission. Cardiac catheterization and/or revascularization procedures were performed in 291 inpatient readmissions (24.8%). Of these, 213 (73.2%) occurred in the first 30 days, including 24 (8.2%) planned procedures. No sex‐based differences were present for any of the outcomes listed in Table 2.
Table 2.

Characteristics of Hospital Readmissions

All Readmissions N=2106Emergency Department Only N=942Inpatient Admission N=1164
Readmission within 7 days, %597 (28.3%)213 (22.6%)384 (32.0%)
Readmission within 30 days, %1170 (55.6%)475 (50.4%)695 (59.7%)
Mean LOS days, SD2.94 (12.2)0.06 (0.26)5.3 (16.1)
Median LOS days (Q1 to Q3)0* (−0.5, 0.5)0* (0)1 (0.25, 2.25)
Cardiac readmission, %984 (46.7%)388 (41.2%)596 (51.2%)
Possibly related readmission, %135 (6.4%)54 (5.7%)81 (7.0%)
Unrelated readmission, %987 (46.9%)500 (53.1%)487 (41.8%)
Cardiac catheterization and/or revascularization*, %291 (13.8%)0291 (25.2%)
Within first 30 days, %213 (73.2%)213 (73.2%)
Planned, %24 (8.2%)24 (8.2%)
Unplanned, %267 (91.8%)267 (91.8%)

LOS indicates length of stay.

0 represents 1 day (<24 hour).

Revascularization=percutaneous coronary intervention and/or coronary artery bypass graft.

Characteristics of Hospital Readmissions LOS indicates length of stay. 0 represents 1 day (<24 hour). Revascularization=percutaneous coronary intervention and/or coronary artery bypass graft.

Predictors of Readmission

Table 3 summarizes the results of multivariable predictive logistic regression modeling for all‐cause and cardiac readmission types. There was considerable variability in the predictor variables between all‐cause versus cardiovascular readmission types, and between 30‐day versus 1‐year time points. Considering all‐cause readmissions, both renal disease and diabetes mellitus predicted an increased risk at both time points, while having undergone a cardiac catheterization during the index ACS hospitalization predicted a reduced risk. However, neither renal disease nor cardiac catheterization status predicted cardiovascular readmissions, and diabetes mellitus predicted only inpatient cardiovascular readmission types. Other variables had divergent associations with different readmission types. For instance, age ≥75 was associated with significantly lower odds of either all‐cause or cardiac readmission within 30 days, but with significantly increased odds of all‐cause inpatient hospitalization by 1 year. Furthermore, length of stay at the index hospitalization >7 days was associated with significantly increased odds of all‐cause hospitalizations, but with a similar‐magnitude reduced odds of readmission for a cardiovascular cause. The fully adjusted models had only modest discriminatory capacity for predicting readmissions, with C‐statistics between 0.526 and 0.580 for cardiovascular readmissions, and between 0.553 and 0.658 for all‐cause readmissions.
Table 3.

Multivariable Adjusted Predictors of Readmission After ACS Discharge

All Readmissions 30 DaysInpatient Readmissions 30 DaysAll Readmissions 1 YearInpatient Readmissions 1 Year
OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)
All‐cause readmissions after ACS admission
Age >75 year0.69 (0.58, 0.82)1.33 (1.13, 1.57)
Female sex
Index LOS > 7 days1.22 (1.04, 1.46)1.33 (1.09, 1.62)1.40 (1.18, 166)
NSTEMI*1.25 (1.06, 1.48)
STEMI*1.31 (1.07, 1.64)
Cardiac catheterization during index admission0.52 (0.44, 0.61)0.41 (0.34, 0.49)0.56 (0.48, 0.66)
Peripheral vascular disease1.42 (1.02, 1.99)
Diabetes1.33 (1.13, 1.57)1.49 (1.24, 1.80)1.36 (1.11, 1.66)1.39 (1.18, 1.64)
Pulmonary disease1.36 (1.09, 1.69)1.26 (1.07, 1.49)1.57 (1.29, 1.91)
Cancer1.54 (1.08, 2.19)
Renal disease1.51 (1.17, 1.95)1.66 (1.22, 2.11)1.42 (1.10, 1.86)1.48 (1.15, 1.91)
Rural/unknown residence*1.26 (1.09, 1.46)
Area under ROC curve0.6130.6580.5530.645
Cardiac readmissions after ACS admission
Age >75 year0.79 (0.64, 0.98)
Female sex
Index LOS >7 days0.63 (0.50, 0.80)0.65 (0.51, 0.86)0.75 (0.63, 0.89)
Heart failure1.48 (1.09, 2.00)1.61 (1.11, 2.24)
Diabetes1.30 (1.03, 1.64)1.26 (1.04, 1.54)
Pulmonary disease1.37 (1.09, 1.72)
Rural/unknown residence*1.51 (1.26, 1.80)1.33 (1.07, 1.64)
Area under ROC curve0.5780.5800.5260.536

ACS indicates acute coronary syndrome; LOS, length of stay; NSTEMI, non‐ST elevation myocardial infarction; OR, odds ratio; ROC, receiver operating characteristic curve; STEMI, ST elevation myocardial infarction.

ACS type reference, unstable angina.

Patient residence reference=metro/moderate metro influence.

Multivariable Adjusted Predictors of Readmission After ACS Discharge ACS indicates acute coronary syndrome; LOS, length of stay; NSTEMI, non‐ST elevation myocardial infarction; OR, odds ratio; ROC, receiver operating characteristic curve; STEMI, ST elevation myocardial infarction. ACS type reference, unstable angina. Patient residence reference=metro/moderate metro influence.

Mortality

Among 3386 patients who survived at least 30 days after the index admission, having a readmission within 30 days was associated with a higher risk of all‐cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 95% CI=1.43, 1.15 to 1.79, compared to those without a readmission within 30 days) over a median follow‐up of 0.8 years (Figure 2A, P<0.0001). However, this excess mortality was not observed in patients in the emergency department–only readmission group (Figure 2B). Patients with an emergency department readmission were at significantly lower risk of death (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.95, compared to patients without readmission), while those with an inpatient readmission were at higher risk HR (1.83, 95% CI 1.45 to 2.31, compared to patients without readmission). Finally, among patients with a readmission within 30 days, the Kaplan–Meier risk of death was not statistically different in those with cardiac and noncardiac causes of readmission, though the small number of patients with possibly related readmissions appeared to be at increased risk of death (Figure 2C). Adjusted HRs (95% CI) for cardiac‐related and possibly related readmissions were 1.16 (0.91, 1.48) and 1.74 (1.10, 2.74), respectively. All HR were adjusted for age, sex, diabetes, heart failure, pulmonary disease, peripheral vascular disease, renal failure, and index length of stay >7 days.
Figure 2.

Kaplan–Meier plots for all‐cause mortality for patients who survived at least 30 days after initial discharge (and who survived their initial hospitalization if they were admitted before 30 days and discharged after 30 days). Patients categorized by 30‐day readmission status (A): (yes/no); (B): no/emergency department (ED)/inpatient (IP) groups; (C): cardiac/possibly‐related/noncardiac groups.

Kaplan–Meier plots for all‐cause mortality for patients who survived at least 30 days after initial discharge (and who survived their initial hospitalization if they were admitted before 30 days and discharged after 30 days). Patients categorized by 30‐day readmission status (A): (yes/no); (B): no/emergency department (ED)/inpatient (IP) groups; (C): cardiac/possibly‐related/noncardiac groups.

Discussion

These data provide several important insights into the phenomenon of repeat hospital visits after ACS discharge. First, as has been previously reported, these readmissions are common: 20% of our cohort had an inpatient readmission and an additional 14% had an emergency department visit within 30 days. Overall, 62% had a hospital visit within 1 year. Second, 30‐day inpatient readmissions are associated with an increased risk of mortality within 1 year, but patients whose first readmission is an emergency department assessment only do not share this elevated risk. Third, only about half of these readmissions are potentially related to the index stay. In fact, only 11.2% of our cohort had a cardiovascular inpatient readmission within 30 days. As has been reported in other series, a minority (8%) of these cardiac readmissions were for elective procedures such as staged percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting surgery.[6] Fourth, while some features are reliably associated with an increased (renal disease, diabetes) or decreased (cardiac catheterization during the index stay) risk of all cause readmissions, the overall discriminatory performance of our multivariable logistic models was modest, indicating that many readmissions were not predictable even with the detailed demographic and clinical data available. In particular, we found few robust predictors of cardiovascular readmissions, which are those most likely to be preventable by improved care at the index ACS admission.

Toward a Broader and Deeper Characterization of Readmissions After ACS

Absolute readmission rates reported in this study are higher than in some prior publications.[6,21] However, it is difficult to directly compare rates, due to several factors. First, because all Alberta hospitals participate in mandatory province‐wide reporting of readmissions, the rates reported here are inclusive. Second, since we studied hospital readmissions following all ACS events, this study captured patients with a discharge diagnosis of unstable angina, whereas most prior studies limited their evaluation to only those patients with NSTEMI and/or STEMI.[6,13-15,21] Sangu et al. did include patients with unstable angina in their cohort, and found that they had a similar risk of 30‐day readmission compared with NSTEMI patients, but a lower risk than STEMI patients. In our study, 30‐day inpatient and cardiovascular readmission rates were similar regardless of ACS subtype, indicating while patients with unstable angina may be at lower acute risk than those with NSTEMI or STEMI, they should be included in interventions aimed at reducing readmission rates after ACS. Finally, most studies examining 30‐day readmission rates have not addressed the prevalence and impact of emergency department visits. In this study, 41% of readmissions within 30 days were emergency department assessments without inpatient admission, similar to the findings in a recent study by Vashi and colleagues examining readmissions after a range of index discharge diagnoses.[22] Contrary to that report, we found that the majority of these emergency department–only visits were unrelated to the index ACS discharge. Interestingly, unlike those with an inpatient readmission, patients with emergency department–only readmissions within 30 days did not experience an increased risk of mortality. In fact, we found that patients with emergency department–only readmissions were associated with lower mortality by 1 year compared with nonreadmitted patients. Further research into the unmeasured reasons for this difference is warranted. The existing literature related to readmissions after AMI[6,13-15,13-24,3,25] focuses on early 30‐day postdischarge all‐cause readmissions. The specific time period explored in these studies is based upon the commonly chosen 30‐day readmission rates utilized as a hospital performance measure. However, several groups have raised concerns about the validity of utilizing 30‐day readmission rates as a performance metric.[9-10] Arguments include that only a small proportion of 30‐day readmissions can be considered preventable and most importantly, that it is unclear that 30‐day readmission rates represent poor quality of care. High rates can in fact represent low mortality or good access to care.[9] A recent multicenter prospective study reported that <20% of 30‐day readmissions were urgent, unplanned, and avoidable.[6] Predictors of delayed hospital readmissions may be equally as valuable as the predictors of early readmissions in understanding the burden of chronic coronary artery disease and the resource implications in caring for patients with this condition. In our study, 61.9% of ACS patients had hospital readmissions within 1 year of discharge, and 53% of these delayed readmissions had a cardiovascular cause.

Are Readmissions After ACS Predictable or Preventable?

Several groups have studied factors predictive of readmissions after ACS[21] or AMI hospitalizations,[13,26] and a systematic review[14] evaluating the consistency of patient‐level predictors has been published. Some predictors most commonly reported included older age, heart failure, a prior AMI event, hypertension, and diabetes. Factors associated with all‐cause 30‐day readmissions after STEMI[13-14,26] and percutaneous coronary intervention[15] (both elective and for AMI) reported that patients readmitted within 30 days had higher rates of conditions such as previously diagnosed coronary artery disease, hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic inflammatory conditions, renal disease, peptic ulcer disease, and metastatic cancer. Our predictive models for all‐cause readmissions and cardiovascular readmissions within both 30 days and 1 year were derived from multivariable logistic regression that included many of these same variables, but we found significant variation in predictors depending on the cause and timing of readmission. This emphasizes the difficulties in determining reliable and modifiable risk factors for readmission, as highlighted in a recent editorial accompanying a focus issue dedicated to readmissions in JAMA.[27]

Limitations

Our study has limitations. First, we were unable to assess the relative impact of a number of potential indicators of quality of post‐ACS care, such as prescription medications at the time of discharge, cardiac rehabilitation referral, or family physician follow‐up. Second, our study was conducted in the context of a healthcare system with universal coverage. Accordingly, our findings on predictors of readmission may not apply to settings such as the US healthcare system, where insurance status may influence the likelihood of readmission episodes. Third, our data linkage for determining occurrence of readmissions does not allow us to capture readmissions occurring outside of Alberta; however, we expect that these would be relatively rare events for our analysis, given that the study was confined to Alberta residents.

Conclusions

This study demonstrates that hospital readmissions within 30 days after discharge for an ACS are common, and that these are associated with increased mortality. Importantly, our findings underline that readmissions are rather heterogeneous in nature, and that many readmissions are unrelated to the index stay and thus not easily predicted with common clinical variables. All‐cause 30‐day readmission rates may be too simplistic, and perhaps even misleading, as a hospital performance metric.
  23 in total

1.  Paying for performance in the United States and abroad.

Authors:  Arnold M Epstein
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2006-07-27       Impact factor: 91.245

2.  All-cause readmission and repeat revascularization after percutaneous coronary intervention in a cohort of medicare patients.

Authors:  Jeptha P Curtis; Geoffrey Schreiner; Yongfei Wang; Jersey Chen; John A Spertus; John S Rumsfeld; Ralph G Brindis; Harlan M Krumholz
Journal:  J Am Coll Cardiol       Date:  2009-09-01       Impact factor: 24.094

3.  Inappropriate use of bivariable analysis to screen risk factors for use in multivariable analysis.

Authors:  G W Sun; T L Shook; G L Kay
Journal:  J Clin Epidemiol       Date:  1996-08       Impact factor: 6.437

4.  A new method of classifying prognostic comorbidity in longitudinal studies: development and validation.

Authors:  M E Charlson; P Pompei; K L Ales; C R MacKenzie
Journal:  J Chronic Dis       Date:  1987

5.  Overview of the Alberta Provincial Project for Outcome Assessment in Coronary Heart Disease. On behalf of the APPROACH investigators.

Authors:  W A Ghali; M L Knudtson
Journal:  Can J Cardiol       Date:  2000-10       Impact factor: 5.223

6.  Coding algorithms for defining comorbidities in ICD-9-CM and ICD-10 administrative data.

Authors:  Hude Quan; Vijaya Sundararajan; Patricia Halfon; Andrew Fong; Bernard Burnand; Jean-Christophe Luthi; L Duncan Saunders; Cynthia A Beck; Thomas E Feasby; William A Ghali
Journal:  Med Care       Date:  2005-11       Impact factor: 2.983

7.  The association between hospital volume and processes, outcomes, and costs of care for congestive heart failure.

Authors:  Karen E Joynt; E John Orav; Ashish K Jha
Journal:  Ann Intern Med       Date:  2011-01-18       Impact factor: 25.391

8.  Outcomes of acute myocardial infarction in Canada.

Authors:  Jack V Tu; Peter C Austin; Woganee A Filate; Helen L Johansen; Susan E Brien; Louise Pilote; David A Alter
Journal:  Can J Cardiol       Date:  2003-07       Impact factor: 5.223

Review 9.  Statistical models and patient predictors of readmission for acute myocardial infarction: a systematic review.

Authors:  Mayur M Desai; Brett D Stauffer; Harm H H Feringa; Geoffrey C Schreiner
Journal:  Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes       Date:  2009-09

10.  An administrative data merging solution for dealing with missing data in a clinical registry: adaptation from ICD-9 to ICD-10.

Authors:  Danielle A Southern; Colleen M Norris; Hude Quan; Fiona M Shrive; P Diane Galbraith; Karin Humphries; Min Gao; Merril L Knudtson; William A Ghali
Journal:  BMC Med Res Methodol       Date:  2008-01-23       Impact factor: 4.615

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1.  Reliability of Predicting Early Hospital Readmission After Discharge for an Acute Coronary Syndrome Using Claims-Based Data.

Authors:  David D McManus; Jane S Saczynski; Darleen Lessard; Molly E Waring; Jeroan Allison; David C Parish; Robert J Goldberg; Arlene Ash; Catarina I Kiefe
Journal:  Am J Cardiol       Date:  2015-12-02       Impact factor: 2.778

Review 2.  Readmission After ACS: Burden, Epidemiology, and Mitigation.

Authors:  Peter K Boulos; John C Messenger; Stephen W Waldo
Journal:  Curr Cardiol Rep       Date:  2022-04-30       Impact factor: 3.955

3.  Effects of Optimism and Gratitude on Physical Activity, Biomarkers, and Readmissions After an Acute Coronary Syndrome: The Gratitude Research in Acute Coronary Events Study.

Authors:  Jeff C Huffman; Eleanor E Beale; Christopher M Celano; Scott R Beach; Arianna M Belcher; Shannon V Moore; Laura Suarez; Shweta R Motiwala; Parul U Gandhi; Hanna K Gaggin; James L Januzzi
Journal:  Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes       Date:  2015-12-08

4.  Rates, causes, and types of readmissions after total joint arthroplasty.

Authors:  Emine Çetin Aslan; İsmail Ağırbaş
Journal:  Turk J Phys Med Rehabil       Date:  2020-03-03

5.  Short Sleep Duration After Hospital Evaluation for Acute Coronary Syndrome Is Associated With Increased Risk of 6-Month Readmission.

Authors:  Emily K Romero; Marwah Abdalla; Anusorn Thanataveerat; Carmela Alcantara; Ian M Kronish; Donald Edmondson; Ari Shechter
Journal:  Psychosom Med       Date:  2020-01       Impact factor: 3.864

6.  Multimorbidity and Readmissions in Older People with Acute Coronary Syndromes.

Authors:  Gudny Stella Gudnadottir; Thorarinn Gudnason; Katarina Wilhelmson; Annica Ravn-Fischer
Journal:  Cardiology       Date:  2022-01-18       Impact factor: 2.342

Review 7.  Challenges and opportunities associated with quantification of cardiovascular readmissions.

Authors:  Julie Redfern; Karice Hyun; Karla Santo
Journal:  J Am Heart Assoc       Date:  2014-09-18       Impact factor: 5.501

8.  The Use of Text Messaging to Improve the Hospital-to-Community Transition in Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients (Txt2Prevent): Intervention Development and Pilot Randomized Controlled Trial Protocol.

Authors:  Emily S Ross; Brodie M Sakakibara; Martha H Mackay; David Gt Whitehurst; Joel Singer; Mustafa Toma; Kitty K Corbett; Harriette Gc Van Spall; Kimberly Rutherford; Bobby Gheorghiu; Jillianne Code; Scott A Lear
Journal:  JMIR Res Protoc       Date:  2017-05-23

9.  CREATE: A New Data Resource to Support Cardiac Precision Health.

Authors:  Seungwon Lee; Bing Li; Elliot A Martin; Adam G D'Souza; Jason Jiang; Chelsea Doktorchik; Danielle A Southern; Joon Lee; Natalie Wiebe; Hude Quan; Cathy A Eastwood
Journal:  CJC Open       Date:  2020-12-27

10.  'Routine' versus 'Smart Phone Application Based - Intense' follow up of patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: Impact on clinical outcomes and patient satisfaction.

Authors:  Satyavir Yadav; Rishi Sethi; Akshyaya Pradhan; Pravesh Vishwakarma; Monika Bhandari; Raghav Gattani; Sharad Chandra; Gaurav Chaudhary; Akhil Sharma; S K Dwivedi; V S Narain; Bhawna Rao; Ambuj Roy
Journal:  Int J Cardiol Heart Vasc       Date:  2021-06-25
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