| Literature DB >> 25233099 |
Amandine Etcheverry1, Marc Aubry2, Ahmed Idbaih3, Elodie Vauleon4, Yannick Marie5, Philippe Menei6, Rachel Boniface7, Dominique Figarella-Branger8, Lucie Karayan-Tapon9, Veronique Quillien4, Marc Sanson3, Marie de Tayrac1, Jean-Yves Delattre3, Jean Mosser10.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Consistently reported prognostic factors for glioblastoma (GBM) are age, extent of surgery, performance status, IDH1 mutational status, and MGMT promoter methylation status. We aimed to integrate biological and clinical prognostic factors into a nomogram intended to predict the survival time of an individual GBM patient treated with a standard regimen. In a previous study we showed that the methylation status of the DGKI promoter identified patients with MGMT-methylated tumors that responded poorly to the standard regimen. We further evaluated the potential prognostic value of DGKI methylation status.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2014 PMID: 25233099 PMCID: PMC4169423 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0104455
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Patients demographic and clinical characteristics.
| Characteristics | Population 1 (n = 399) | EORTC cohort | Population 2 training (n = 86) | Population 2 validation (n = 89) | |
| Age (years) | |||||
| Median | 59 | 57 | 59 | ||
| Range | 21–88 | 29–88 | 26–80 | ||
| Age - no. (%) | |||||
| ≤50 | 95 (24) | 44 (43) | 23 (27) | 22 (25) | |
| 51–60 | 130 (33) | 40 (39) | 30 (35) | 26 (29) | |
| >60 | 174 (44) | 19 (18) | 33 (38) | 41 (46) | |
| Sex - no. (%) | |||||
| Women | 161 (40) | 38 (37) | 41 (48) | 41 (46) | |
| Men | 238 (60) | 65 (63) | 45 (52) | 48 (54) | |
| KPS (%) | |||||
| Median | 80 | 80 | 80 | ||
| Range | 40–100 | 40–100 | 40–100 | ||
| KPS - no. (%) | |||||
| ≤70 | 37 (9) | 10 (12) | 10 (11) | ||
| >70 | 331 (83) | 69 (80) | 72 (81) | ||
| Missing | 31 (8) | 7 (8) | 7 (8) | ||
| Extent of surgery - no. (%) | |||||
| Biopsy | 30 (8) | 0 (0) | 10 (12) | 5 (6) | |
| Partial resection | 140 (35) | 56 (54) | 25 (29) | 34 (38) | |
| Complete resection | 220 (55) | 47 (46) | 50 (58) | 49 (55) | |
| Missing | 9 (2) | 0 (0) | 1 (1) | 1 (1) | |
| IDH1 mutational status - no. (%) | |||||
| Mutated | 18 (5) | 5 (6) | 8 (9) | ||
| Wild-type | 364 (91) | 80 (93) | 77 (87) | ||
| Missing | 17 (4) | 1 (1) | 4 (4) | ||
| MGMT methylation status - no. (%) | |||||
| Methylated | 175 (44) | 45 (44) | 86 (100) | 89 (100) | |
| Unmethylated | 224 (56) | 58 (56) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | |
| DGKI methylation status - no. (%) | |||||
| Methylated | 95 (24) | 22 (26) | 21 (24) | ||
| Ummethylated | 304 (76) | 61 (74) | 68 (76) | ||
| Overall survival - mo | |||||
| Median | 19.1 | 29.6 | 30.2 | ||
| 95% CI | 17.1–20.8 | 22.5–46.7 | 24.1–46.8 | ||
| Progression-free survival - mo | |||||
| Median | 10.8 | 15.2 | 15.6 | ||
| 95% CI | 10.1–11.9 | 13.8–19.1 | 13.1–23.4 | ||
*EORTC and NCIC trial 26981-22981/CE.3 population 3: GBM patients who underwent partial or complete resection and were assigned temozolomide and radiotherapy in the presence of an MGMT promoter methylation assessment.
Univariate analyses of survival prognostic factors.
| Population 1 (n = 399) | Population 2 (n = 175) | |||||||||
| Training cohort (n = 86) | Validation cohort (n = 89) | |||||||||
| Median survival, months (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | p | Median survival, months (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | p | Median survival, months (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | p | ||
| Age (years) | ||||||||||
| ≤50 | 33.1 (24.2–56.7) | .. | <0.001 | 42.5 (33.1-N) | .. | 0.01 | NA (37.8-N) | .. | 0.01 | |
| 51-60 | 19.3 (17.1–24.3) | 1.4 (1.2–1.7) | .. | 31.4 (19.7-N) | 1.7 (1.1–2.6) | .. | 30.2 (26.2-N) | 1.8 (1.1–2.8) | .. | |
| >60 | 15.6 (14.0–18.0) | .. | .. | 20.1 (16.3-N) | .. | .. | 16.5 (14.4–37.2) | .. | .. | |
| Sex | ||||||||||
| Women | 18.0 (16.3–26.0) | 1.0 | NS | 34.8 (25.0-N) | 1.0 | NS | 34.4 (17.8–N) | 1.0 | NS | |
| Men | 19.3 (17.1–21.1) | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | .. | 24.6 (19.7-N) | 1.6 (0.8–3.3) | .. | 27.5 (21.5–46.8) | 0.9 (0.5–1.7) | .. | |
| KPS (%) | ||||||||||
| ≤70 | 11.7 (10.2–16.9) | 1.0 | <0.001 | 19.3 (9.5-N) | 1.0 | 0.002 | 13.3 (10.9-N) | 1.0 | 0.002 | |
| >70 | 19.8 (18.3–24.1) | 0.5 (0.3–0.7) | .. | 33.1 (26.2–52.6) | 0.1 (0.04–0.5) | .. | 34.4 (26.2-N) | 0.2 (0.1–0.6) | .. | |
| Extent of surgery | ||||||||||
| Biopsy | 14.5 (11.3–34.8) | .. | 0.002 | 14.5 (11.4-N) | .. | 0.01 | 20.3 (20.3-N) | .. | NS | |
| Partial | 19.2 (17.1–24.1) | 0.7 (0.6–0.9) | .. | 19.9 (19.1-N) | 0.6 (0.4–0.9) | .. | 37.8.1 (21.5-N) | 0.8 (0.5–1.5) | .. | |
| Complete | 19.6 (17.1–22.3) | .. | .. | 33.1 (25.0-N) | .. | .. | 27.5 (22.3-N) | .. | .. | |
| IDH1 mutational status | ||||||||||
| Mutated | 56.7 (38.6-N) | 1.0 | <0.001 | 56.7 (N-N) | 1.0 | NS | NA (38.6-N) | 1.0 | NS | |
| Wild-type | 18.3 (16.6–19.8) | 7.8 (2.5–24.3) | .. | 27.8 (21.1–42.5) | 4.4 (0.6–33.8) | .. | 24.8 (20.3–37.8) | 5.3 (0.7–39.5) | .. | |
| MGMT methylation status | ||||||||||
| Methylated | 30.2 (24.8–37.8) | 1.0 | <0.001 | |||||||
| Unmethylated | 14.9 (13.8–16.9) | 3.1 (2.3–4.2) | .. | |||||||
| DGKI methylation status | ||||||||||
| Methylated | 16.9 (14–19.9) | 1.0 | 0.004 | 19.9 (9.9–N) | 1.0 | <0.001 | 16.5 (13.3-N) | 1.0 | 0.01 | |
| Unmethylated | 19.6 (17.8–24.1) | 0.7 (0.5–0.9) | .. | 34.8 (27.8–52.6) | 0.3 (0.1–0.5) | .. | 37.8 (26.2-N) | 0.4 (0.2–0.8) | .. | |
NA = not available; N = not enough events to calculate upper 95% CI boundary; NS = not significant. Age, KPS and extent of surgery are treated as ordinal variables.
Multivariate analyses of survival prognostic factors.
| Population 1 (n = 399) | |||
| HR (95% CI) | p (%inclusion) | ||
| Age (years) | |||
| ≤50 | .. | 0.006 (92) | |
| 51–60 | 1.3 (1.1–1.6) | .. | |
| >60 | .. | .. | |
| Karnofsky performance status (%) | |||
| ≤70 | 1.0 | <0.001 (99) | |
| >70 | 0.4 (0.2–0.6) | .. | |
| Extent of surgery | |||
| Biopsy | .. | <0.001 (98) | |
| Partial resection | 0.6 (0.5–0.8) | .. | |
| Complete resection | .. | .. | |
| IDH1 mutational status | |||
| Mutated | 1.0 | 0.02 (94) | |
| Wild-type | 4.1 (1.3–13.3) | .. | |
| MGMT methylation status | |||
| Methylated | 1.0 | <0.001 (100) | |
| Unmethylated | 3.0 (2.2–4.2) | .. | |
| DGKI methylation status | |||
| Methylated | 1.0 | 0.03 (74) | |
| Unmethylated | 0.7 (0.5–1.0) | .. | |
NA = not available; N = not enough events to calculate upper 95% CI boundary; NS = not significant. For ordered categorical factors, the first value is the reference.
Figure 1GBM patients assigned to standard treatment (population 1).
(A) Nomogram for predicting median survival, probability of survival at two years, and risk category. The total number of points for each patient is obtained by summing the points for each of the individual factors in the nomogram. The median survival and probability of survival at two years for a given patient are obtained by drawing a vertical line from the “total points” axis down to the outcome axes. The definition of two risk groups (high/low) is based on the value of the linear predictor underlying the nomogram: values greater than or equal to zero were assigned to the high-risk group, and negative values were assigned to the low-risk group. The total point value matching the null value of the linear predictor is 165. Example: a 55-year-old patient with a KPS of 80 and a partly resected/IDH1 wild-type/MGMT-methylated tumor has a total prognostic score of 129 and is predicted to have a median survival of approximately 30 months and a 60% probability of surviving two years. This patient is assigned to the low-risk group. (B) Kaplan-Meier estimation of OS and PFS. M: methylated patients, UM: unmethylated patients, LR: low-risk patients, HR: high-risk patients, mo: month. The difference in survival between groups is reported (log-rank test p-value). The size and the median survival of each group are also specified.
Figure 2Prognostic value of DGKI methylation status.
(A) MGMT-methylated GBM patients assigned to standard treatment (population 2). Kaplan-Meier estimation of OS in training and validation cohorts. (B) GBM patients assigned to standard treatment (population 1). Kaplan-Meier estimation of OS and PFS. M: methylated patients, UM: unmethylated patients, LR: low-risk patients, HR: high-risk patients, mo: month. The difference in survival between groups is reported (log-rank test p-value). The size and the median survival of each group are also specified.