M W Barentsz1, E L Postma2, T van Dalen3, M A A J van den Bosch4, H Miao5, P D Gobardhan6, L E van den Hout4, R M Pijnappel4, A J Witkamp2, P J van Diest7, R van Hillegersberg2, H M Verkooijen8. 1. Department of Radiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands. Electronic address: m.barentsz@umcutrecht.nl. 2. Department of Surgery, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands. 3. Department of Surgery, Diakonessenhuis Utrecht, PO Box 80250, 3508 TG Utrecht, The Netherlands. 4. Department of Radiology, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands. 5. Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, MD 3, 16 Medical Drive, Singapore 117597, Singapore. 6. Department of Surgery, Amphia Hospital Breda, Molengracht 21, 4818 CK Breda, The Netherlands. 7. Department of Pathology, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands. 8. Imaging Division, University Medical Center Utrecht, PO Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In patients undergoing breast conserving surgery for non-palpable breast cancer, obtaining tumour free resection margins is important to prevent reexcision and local recurrence. We developed a model to predict positive resection margins in patients undergoing breast conserving surgery for non-palpable invasive breast cancer. METHODS: A total of 576 patients with non-palpable invasive breast cancer underwent breast conserving surgery in five hospitals in the Netherlands. A prediction model for positive resection margins was developed using multivariate logistic regression. Calibration and discrimination of the model were assessed and the model was internally validated by bootstrapping. RESULTS: Positive resection margins were present in 69/576 (12%) patients. Factors independently associated with positive resection margins included mammographic microcalcifications (OR 2.14, 1.22-3.77), tumour size (OR 1.75, 1.20-2.56), presence of DCIS (OR 2.61, 1.41-4.82), Bloom and Richardson grade 2/3 (OR 1.82, 1.05-3.14), and caudal location of the lesion (OR 2.4, 1.35-4.27). The model was well calibrated and moderately able to discriminate between patients with positive versus negative resection margins (AUC 0.70, 95% CI, 0.63-0.77, and 0.69 after internal validation). CONCLUSION: The presented prediction model is moderately able to differentiate between women with high versus low risk of positive margins, and may be useful for surgical planning and preoperative patient counselling.
BACKGROUND: In patients undergoing breast conserving surgery for non-palpable breast cancer, obtaining tumour free resection margins is important to prevent reexcision and local recurrence. We developed a model to predict positive resection margins in patients undergoing breast conserving surgery for non-palpable invasive breast cancer. METHODS: A total of 576 patients with non-palpable invasive breast cancer underwent breast conserving surgery in five hospitals in the Netherlands. A prediction model for positive resection margins was developed using multivariate logistic regression. Calibration and discrimination of the model were assessed and the model was internally validated by bootstrapping. RESULTS: Positive resection margins were present in 69/576 (12%) patients. Factors independently associated with positive resection margins included mammographic microcalcifications (OR 2.14, 1.22-3.77), tumour size (OR 1.75, 1.20-2.56), presence of DCIS (OR 2.61, 1.41-4.82), Bloom and Richardson grade 2/3 (OR 1.82, 1.05-3.14), and caudal location of the lesion (OR 2.4, 1.35-4.27). The model was well calibrated and moderately able to discriminate between patients with positive versus negative resection margins (AUC 0.70, 95% CI, 0.63-0.77, and 0.69 after internal validation). CONCLUSION: The presented prediction model is moderately able to differentiate between women with high versus low risk of positive margins, and may be useful for surgical planning and preoperative patient counselling.
Authors: Nidal İflazoğlu; Orhan Üreyen; Murat Kemal Atahan; Ulvi Mehmet Meral; Gülten Sezgin; Ercüment Tarcan Journal: J Breast Health Date: 2015-07-01
Authors: Jennifer M Racz; Amy E Glasgow; Gary L Keeney; Amy C Degnim; Tina J Hieken; James W Jakub; John C Cheville; Elizabeth B Habermann; Judy C Boughey Journal: Ann Surg Oncol Date: 2020-07-04 Impact factor: 5.344