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Literature DB >> 25114253

The Holocene temperature conundrum.

Zhengyu Liu¹, Jiang Zhu², Yair Rosenthal³, Xu Zhang⁴, Bette L Otto-Bliesner⁵, Axel Timmermann⁶, Robin S Smith⁷, Gerrit Lohmann⁴, Weipeng Zheng⁸, Oliver Elison Timm⁹.

Abstract

A recent temperature reconstruction of global annual temperature shows Early Holocene warmth followed by a cooling trend through the Middle to Late Holocene [Marcott SA, et al., 2013, Science 339(6124):1198-1201]. This global cooling is puzzling because it is opposite from the expected and simulated global warming trend due to the retreating ice sheets and rising atmospheric greenhouse gases. Our critical reexamination of this contradiction between the reconstructed cooling and the simulated warming points to potentially significant biases in both the seasonality of the proxy reconstruction and the climate sensitivity of current climate models.

Keywords: Holocene temperature; global temperature; model-data inconsistency

Year: 2014 PMID： 25114253 PMCID： PMC4151775 DOI： 10.1073/pnas.1407229111

Source DB: PubMed Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ISSN： 0027-8424 Impact factor: 11.205

7 in total

1. Collapse and rapid resumption of Atlantic meridional circulation linked to deglacial climate changes.

Authors: J F McManus; R Francois; J-M Gherardi; L D Keigwin; S Brown-Leger
Journal: Nature Date: 2004-04-22 Impact factor: 49.962

2. Climatic changes of the last 18,000 years: observations and model simulations.

Authors:
Journal: Science Date: 1988-08-26 Impact factor: 47.728

3. The influence of vegetation-atmosphere-ocean interaction on climate during the mid-holocene

Authors:
Journal: Science Date: 1998-06-19 Impact factor: 47.728

4. A reconstruction of regional and global temperature for the past 11,300 years.

Authors: Shaun A Marcott; Jeremy D Shakun; Peter U Clark; Alan C Mix
Journal: Science Date: 2013-03-08 Impact factor: 47.728

5. Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation.

Authors: Jeremy D Shakun; Peter U Clark; Feng He; Shaun A Marcott; Alan C Mix; Zhengyu Liu; Bette Otto-Bliesner; Andreas Schmittner; Edouard Bard
Journal: Nature Date: 2012-04-04 Impact factor: 49.962

6. Transient simulation of last deglaciation with a new mechanism for Bolling-Allerod warming.

Authors: Z Liu; B L Otto-Bliesner; F He; E C Brady; R Tomas; P U Clark; A E Carlson; J Lynch-Stieglitz; W Curry; E Brook; D Erickson; R Jacob; J Kutzbach; J Cheng
Journal: Science Date: 2009-07-17 Impact factor: 47.728

7. Record of Volcanism Since 7000 B.C. from the GISP2 Greenland Ice Core and Implications for the Volcano-Climate System.

Authors: G A Zielinski; P A Mayewski; L D Meeker; S Whitlow; M S Twickler; M Morrison; D A Meese; A J Gow; R B Alley
Journal: Science Date: 1994-05-13 Impact factor: 47.728

7 in total

21 in total

1. Earth's radiative imbalance from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present.

Authors: Daniel Baggenstos; Marcel Häberli; Jochen Schmitt; Sarah A Shackleton; Benjamin Birner; Jeffrey P Severinghaus; Thomas Kellerhals; Hubertus Fischer
Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Date: 2019-07-08 Impact factor: 11.205

2. Palaeoclimate puzzle explained by seasonal variation.

Authors: Jennifer Hertzberg
Journal: Nature Date: 2021-01 Impact factor: 49.962

3. Pollen weighs in on a climate conundrum.

Authors: Jeremy D Shakun
Journal: Nature Date: 2018-02 Impact factor: 49.962

4. Complex "human-vegetation-climate" interactions in the Late Holocene and their significance for paleotemperature reconstructions.

Authors: Yunxia Li; Yiping Tian; Haichun Guo; Shikai Wei; Jiantao Cao; Chao Huang; Fuxi Shi; Zhiguo Rao
Journal: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Date: 2020-02-21 Impact factor: 11.205

The Holocene temperature conundrum.

1. Collapse and rapid resumption of Atlantic meridional circulation linked to deglacial climate changes.

2. Climatic changes of the last 18,000 years: observations and model simulations.

3. The influence of vegetation-atmosphere-ocean interaction on climate during the mid-holocene

4. A reconstruction of regional and global temperature for the past 11,300 years.

5. Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation.

6. Transient simulation of last deglaciation with a new mechanism for Bolling-Allerod warming.

7. Record of Volcanism Since 7000 B.C. from the GISP2 Greenland Ice Core and Implications for the Volcano-Climate System.

1. Earth's radiative imbalance from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present.

2. Palaeoclimate puzzle explained by seasonal variation.

3. Pollen weighs in on a climate conundrum.

4. Complex "human-vegetation-climate" interactions in the Late Holocene and their significance for paleotemperature reconstructions.

5. Reply to: Concerns of assuming linearity in the reconstruction of thermal maxima.

6. Concerns of assuming linearity in the reconstruction of thermal maxima.

7. Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum.

8. Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD.

9. Seasonal origin of the thermal maxima at the Holocene and the last interglacial.

10. Northern Hemisphere vegetation change drives a Holocene thermal maximum.