John E Schneider1, Lawrence M Lewis2, Ian Ferguson3, Stacey L House3, Jingxia Liu4, Kazuko Matsuda5, Kirk Johnson5. 1. University of Missouri School of Medicine, Columbia, MO, USA. 2. Emergency Medicine Division, Washington University in St. Louis, USA. Electronic address: Lewisl@wusm.wustl.edu. 3. Emergency Medicine Division, Washington University in St. Louis, USA. 4. Division of Biostatistics, Washington University in St. Louis, USA. 5. MediciNova Inc., La Jolla, CA, USA.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: (1) Compare ideal cut-off points for DS and %FEV1 at 1 and 3 h to predict hospitalization/relapse in subjects with moderate to severe asthma exacerbation (2) Develop a multivariate regression model using DS, %FEV1, demographic, and clinical variables to predict hospitalization/relapse. METHODS:Subjects with acute exacerbation of asthma (FEV1 <50% predicted following 30 min of standardized treatment: 5 mg nebulized albuterol; 0.5-1.5 mg nebulized ipratropium; and 50 mg oral prednisone) were eligible. All subjects had %FEV1 and DS obtained at baseline and hourly for 3 h. Using hospitalization/relapse as the outcome of interest; we compared the area under the receiveroperator curves (AUC) between the 1 and 3 h DS and %FEV1 measurements, and the AUC for the change in DS and %FEV1 between baseline and hour-3. We determined ideal cut-points for %FEV1 and DS to maximize sensitivity and specificity. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR) were compared between %FEV1 and DS. We developed a multivariate regression model examining the association of specific demographic and clinical variables to hospitalization/relapse. RESULTS:142 patients were included for analysis. The AUC was greatest for the 3-h DS (0.721), followed by the 3-h %FEV1 (0.669). Optimum cut-off values were a DS of 2, and an FEV1 of 42%. These were associated with a +LR for the composite outcome of 3.06 and 2.48 respectively. Logistic regression showed baseline DS, 3-h DS, change in DS, and oxygen use at hour 3 were all associated with the composite outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The 3-h score for %FEV1 and DS performed better than scores at any other time point and better than either parameter over time. The 3-h DS had the greatest association with the composite outcome. Neither test was a strong enough predictor to be used solely for this purpose.
RCT Entities:
OBJECTIVES: (1) Compare ideal cut-off points for DS and %FEV1 at 1 and 3 h to predict hospitalization/relapse in subjects with moderate to severe asthma exacerbation (2) Develop a multivariate regression model using DS, %FEV1, demographic, and clinical variables to predict hospitalization/relapse. METHODS: Subjects with acute exacerbation of asthma (FEV1 <50% predicted following 30 min of standardized treatment: 5 mg nebulized albuterol; 0.5-1.5 mg nebulized ipratropium; and 50 mg oral prednisone) were eligible. All subjects had %FEV1 and DS obtained at baseline and hourly for 3 h. Using hospitalization/relapse as the outcome of interest; we compared the area under the receiveroperator curves (AUC) between the 1 and 3 h DS and %FEV1 measurements, and the AUC for the change in DS and %FEV1 between baseline and hour-3. We determined ideal cut-points for %FEV1 and DS to maximize sensitivity and specificity. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR) were compared between %FEV1 and DS. We developed a multivariate regression model examining the association of specific demographic and clinical variables to hospitalization/relapse. RESULTS: 142 patients were included for analysis. The AUC was greatest for the 3-h DS (0.721), followed by the 3-h %FEV1 (0.669). Optimum cut-off values were a DS of 2, and an FEV1 of 42%. These were associated with a +LR for the composite outcome of 3.06 and 2.48 respectively. Logistic regression showed baseline DS, 3-h DS, change in DS, and oxygen use at hour 3 were all associated with the composite outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The 3-h score for %FEV1 and DS performed better than scores at any other time point and better than either parameter over time. The 3-h DS had the greatest association with the composite outcome. Neither test was a strong enough predictor to be used solely for this purpose.
Authors: F-J Gonzalez-Barcala; U Calvo-Alvarez; M-T Garcia-Sanz; N Garcia-Couceiro; P Martin-Lancharro; A Pose; J-M Carreira; J-D Moure-Gonzalez; L Valdes-Cuadrado; X Muñoz Journal: Ir J Med Sci Date: 2017-06-07 Impact factor: 1.568
Authors: Debasree Banerjee; Jane Kamuren; Grayson L Baird; Amy Palmisciano; Ipsita Krishnan; Mary Whittenhall; James R Klinger; Corey E Ventetuolo Journal: Pulm Circ Date: 2017-03-16 Impact factor: 3.017