Literature DB >> 25077975

Judging political judgment.

Philip Tetlock1, Barbara Mellers2.   

Abstract

Year:  2014        PMID： 25077975      PMCID： PMC4136586          DOI： 10.1073/pnas.1412524111

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN： 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


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  5 in total

1.  Accounting for the effects of accountability.

Authors:  J S Lerner; P E Tetlock
Journal:  Psychol Bull       Date:  1999-03       Impact factor: 17.737

2.  Hindsight not equal to foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. 1975.

Authors:  B Fischhoff
Journal:  Qual Saf Health Care       Date:  2003-08

3.  Psychological strategies for winning a geopolitical forecasting tournament.

Authors:  Barbara Mellers; Lyle Ungar; Jonathan Baron; Jaime Ramos; Burcu Gurcay; Katrina Fincher; Sydney E Scott; Don Moore; Pavel Atanasov; Samuel A Swift; Terry Murray; Eric Stone; Philip E Tetlock
Journal:  Psychol Sci       Date:  2014-03-21

4.  Intelligent management of intelligence agencies: beyond accountability ping-pong.

Authors:  Philip E Tetlock; Barbara A Mellers
Journal:  Am Psychol       Date:  2011-09

5.  Accuracy of forecasts in strategic intelligence.

Authors:  David R Mandel; Alan Barnes
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2014-07-14       Impact factor: 11.205
  5 in total

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