Literature DB >> 24962226

Prediction of hospitalization stay in COPD exacerbations: the AECOPD-F score.

Filia Diamantea1, Konstantinos Kostikas2, Konstantinos Bartziokas3, Foteini Karakontaki4, Stamatoula Tsikrika4, Sofia Pouriki4, Vlassis Polychronopoulos4, Napoleon Karagiannidis4, Aikaterini Haniotou3, Andriana I Papaioannou4.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Hospital admissions for COPD exacerbations account for 70% of total costs of COPD treatment, and the duration of hospital stay is directly related to this cost. The aim of this study was to investigate possible associations of demographic, clinical, laboratory, and functional parameters with stay of subjects admitted for COPD exacerbations and to provide a score for the prediction of the need for prolonged hospitalization.
METHODS: We included 164 consecutive subjects admitted to 2 respiratory medicine departments of 2 tertiary hospitals for a COPD exacerbation, and we evaluated laboratory, clinical, and functional parameters possibly related to the duration of hospital stay.
RESULTS: Seven parameters evaluated on subject admission (Antonisen type of exacerbation, number of Exacerbations in the previous year, Charlson index of comorbidities, Oxygenation, Partial pressure of P(aCO2) in arterial blood gases, Dyspnea according to the Borg dyspnea scale, and history of chronic respiratory Failure) were able to predict stay and were included in a simple score named AECOPD-F. The area under the curve of the score for the prediction of prolonged hospital stay is 0.960, and a cutoff point ≥ 3 predicts prolonged stay with a sensitivity of 84.5% and a specificity of 92.5% (95% CI 0.917-0.984). The AECOPD-F score was validated in a second group of 88 subjects admitted to the hospital for a COPD exacerbation. In the validation group, subjects with a score ≥ 3 required prolonged stay compared with those with a score < 3 (8.0 [6.0-10.0] vs 6.5 [4.0-9.0] d, respectively, P = .007).
CONCLUSION: The AECOPD-F score could accurately predict stay in hospitalized COPD subjects. The implementation of this score in clinical practice could be useful in the discharge planning of such subjects.
Copyright © 2014 by Daedalus Enterprises.

Entities:  

Keywords:  COPD exacerbation; comorbidities; duration of hospital stay; dyspnea; predictors of outcomes

Mesh:

Year:  2014        PMID: 24962226     DOI: 10.4187/respcare.03171

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Respir Care        ISSN: 0020-1324            Impact factor:   2.258


  5 in total

1.  Using Demographic Factors and Comorbidities to Develop a Predictive Model for ICU Mortality in Patients with Acute Exacerbation COPD.

Authors:  Sukrit S Jain; Indra Neil Sarkar; Paul C Stey; Rajsavi S Anand; Dustin R Biron; Elizabeth S Chen
Journal:  AMIA Annu Symp Proc       Date:  2018-12-05

2.  Utility of Computed Tomography in a Differential Diagnosis for the Patients with an Initial Diagnosis of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation.

Authors:  Hyung Jun Park; Soo Han Kim; Ho Cheol Kim; Bo Young Lee; Sei Won Lee; Jae Seung Lee; Sang Do Lee; Joon Beom Seo; Yeon Mok Oh
Journal:  Tuberc Respir Dis (Seoul)       Date:  2019-05-31

3.  The role of elevated red blood cell distribution width in the prognosis of AECOPD patients: A retrospective study.

Authors:  Mengpei Zhu; Hongxing Peng; Lei Wan; Shuling Zhang; Yulan Zeng
Journal:  Medicine (Baltimore)       Date:  2021-03-12       Impact factor: 1.817

4.  A Risk Prediction Model for Prolonged Length of Stay in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Retrospective Study of 225 Patients in a Single Center in Kunming, China.

Authors:  Lifen Yang; Meihua Li; Jingkui Shu; Yanxia Yang; Qian Huang
Journal:  Med Sci Monit       Date:  2022-02-09

5.  Utilization due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and its predictors: a study using the U.S. National Emergency Department Sample (NEDS).

Authors:  Jasvinder A Singh; Shaohua Yu
Journal:  Respir Res       Date:  2016-01-06
  5 in total

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