| Literature DB >> 24926304 |
Lynda D Prior1, David M J S Bowman1.
Abstract
We tested the hypothesis that the effect of forest basal area on tree growth interacts with macro-ecological gradients of primary productivity, using a large dataset of eucalypt tree growth collected across temperate and sub- tropical mesic Australia. To do this, we derived an index of inter-tree competition based on stand basal area (stand BA) relative to the climatically determined potential basal area. Using linear mixed effects modeling, we found that the main effects of climatic productivity, tree size, and competition explained 26.5% of the deviance in individual tree growth, but adding interactions to the model could explain a further 8.9%. The effect of competition on growth interacts with the gradient of climatic productivity, with negligible effect of competition in low productivity environments, but marked negative effects at the most productive sites. We also found a positive interaction between tree size and stand BA, which was most pronounced in the most productive sites. We interpret these patterns as reflecting intense competition for light amongst maturing trees on more productive sites, and below ground moisture limitation at low productivity sites, which results in open stands with little competition for light. These trends are consistent with the life history and stand development of eucalypt forests: in cool moist environments, light is the most limiting resource, resulting in size-asymmetric competition, while in hot, low rainfall environments are open forests with little competition for light but where the amount of tree regeneration is limited by water availability.Entities:
Keywords: Eucalyptus; basal area; climate; competition; diameter increment; tree size
Year: 2014 PMID: 24926304 PMCID: PMC4046579 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2014.00260
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Plant Sci ISSN: 1664-462X Impact factor: 5.753
Figure 1Location of plots showing climatic productivity categories, derived from maximum temperature of the warmest month and the ratio of precipitation to evaporation. These plots were all located outside of the tropics in areas receiving >500 mm mean annual precipitation (shown in gray). Climatic and growth characteristics of these plots are summarized in Table 1.
Summary of climatic conditions, stand basal area, and tree size in the four Climatic Productivity Categories, defined according to growth rate predicted from mean annual temperature and the ratio of precipitation to evaporation.
| Climatic productivity index (predicted growth) | Cm year−1 | 0.15 | 0.0001 | 0.31 | 0.0001 | 0.49 | 0.0001 | 0.66 | 0.0001 |
| Diameter increment | Cm year−1 | 0.16 | 0.001 | 0.28 | 0.001 | 0.48 | 0.001 | 0.56 | 0.001 |
| Mean annual temperature | °C | 19.4 | 0.009 | 16.6 | 0.007 | 12.9 | 0.005 | 11.2 | 0.002 |
| Mean maximum temperature of the warmest month | °C | 31.7 | 0.009 | 27.4 | 0.006 | 24.7 | 0.004 | 24.2 | 0.003 |
| Mean annual precipitation | mm | 750 | 0.7 | 1107 | 0.5 | 1168 | 0.5 | 1493 | 0.5 |
| Ratio precipitation: evaporation | Dimensionless ratio | 0.54 | 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.0004 | 1.38 | 0.001 | 2.03 | 0.001 |
| Initial stem diameter | cm | 27.6 | 0.10 | 31.6 | 0.05 | 29.3 | 0.04 | 37.7 | 0.05 |
| Stand basal area | m2 ha−1 | 15.3 | 0.04 | 27.3 | 0.03 | 39.6 | 0.04 | 47.0 | 0.05 |
| Stand basal area—90th percentile | m2 ha−1 | 26.8 | 0.03 | 40.6 | 0.03 | 57.3 | 0.02 | 69.3 | 0.02 |
| Relative basal area | Dimensionless ratio | 0.75 | 0.0007 | 0.81 | 0.0004 | 0.82 | 0.0004 | 0.81 | 0.004 |
Figure 2The relationship between diameter increment and (A) climatic productivity index and (B) initial diameter. Note the logarithmic scale for diameter. For presentation, data were grouped into 0.1- climatic productivity index classes and 10 cm—diameter classes. Standard errors are shown where larger than the symbols.
Figure 3Climatic productivity index as a function of (A) mean annual temperature and (B) the ratio of precipitation to evaporation. The index was based on a generalized additive model describing eucalypt growth (in cm year−1) in relation to these variables. Dashed lines indicate 95% confidence intervals and the dotted lines show mean growth rate for the entire dataset. Responses to each variable were calculated by holding the other variable constant at its mean value.
Correlation matrix for growth, tree size, climatic, and competition variables.
| Diam incr | 1.00 | 0.31 | −0.45 | −0.13 | 0.26 | −0.33 | 0.16 | −0.24 | −0.22 | −0.19 | −0.27 | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| l.DBH | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.03 | 0.23 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.11 | −0.10 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| CV−l.DBH | −0.45 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.03 | −0.36 | 0.24 | −0.17 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.37 | −0.39 | −0.45 |
| Stand BA | −0.13 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.79 | 0.26 | −0.55 | −0.49 | −0.45 | −0.56 | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| BA.90 | 0.26 | 0.16 | −0.36 | 0.55 | 1.00 | −0.03 | 0.49 | −0.98 | −0.85 | −0.84 | −0.94 | 0.86 | 0.88 |
| RBA | −0.33 | 0.03 | 0.24 | 0.79 | −0.03 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | −0.02 | 0.06 | −0.02 | −0.03 | 0.03 |
| P | 0.16 | 0.23 | −0.17 | 0.26 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 1.00 | −0.33 | −0.37 | −0.19 | −0.35 | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| T | −0.24 | −0.13 | 0.31 | −0.55 | −0.98 | 0.02 | −0.33 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.94 | −0.74 | −0.80 |
| Max warm | −0.22 | −0.09 | 0.27 | −0.49 | −0.85 | −0.02 | −0.37 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.87 | −0.67 | −0.73 |
| Min cold | −0.19 | −0.11 | 0.23 | −0.45 | −0.84 | 0.06 | −0.19 | 0.87 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.78 | −0.60 | −0.62 |
| E | −0.27 | −0.10 | 0.37 | −0.56 | −0.94 | −0.02 | −0.35 | 0.94 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 1.00 | −0.77 | −0.85 |
| P:E | 0.25 | 0.21 | −0.39 | 0.45 | 0.86 | −0.03 | 0.82 | −0.74 | −0.67 | −0.60 | −0.77 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Climatic productivity | 0.28 | 0.17 | −0.45 | 0.53 | 0.88 | 0.03 | 0.70 | −0.80 | −0.73 | −0.62 | −0.85 | 0.91 | 1.00 |
Variables shown are Diam.incr., annual diameter increment, l.DBH, log-transformed diameter at breast height, CV-l.DBH, coefficient of variation in l.DBH, stand BA, stand basal area, BA.90, climatically determined 90th percentile basal area, RBA, relative basal area, P, mean annual precipitation, T, mean annual temperature), Max Warm, average daily maximum temperature of the warmest month, Min Cold, average daily minimum temperature of the coldest month, E, evaporation, P:E, the ratio of P to E, and the climatic productivity index. n = 499,161 tree—intervals.
Comparison of linear mixed effects models describing individual tree growth.
| Comp * Climatic productivity * l.DBH | 8 | 0 | 34.47 | 0 | 35.37 |
| Comp * Climatic productivity + Comp * l.DBH + Climatic productivity * l.DBH | 7 | 11 | 34.47 | 576 | 35.23 |
| Comp + Climatic productivity * l.DBH | 5 | 3018 | 33.73 | 5562 | 34 |
| Comp * l.DBH + Climatic productivity | 5 | 15166 | 30.74 | 32742 | 27.33 |
| Comp * Climatic productivity + l.DBH | 5 | 34836 | 25.91 | 35055 | 26.76 |
| Comp + Climatic productivity + l.DBH | 4 | 35033 | 25.86 | 36023 | 26.52 |
| l.DBH | 2 | 91555 | 11.98 | 95226 | 11.98 |
| Comp | 2 | 107787 | 7.99 | 107792 | 8.89 |
| Climatic productivity | 2 | 139696 | 0.16 | 143368 | 0.16 |
| Intercept only | 1 | 140329 | NA | 144001 | NA |
Explanatory variables were Comp, competition, climatic productivity index, l.DBH, log-transformed diameter at breast height, and the stated interactions. The proxy used for competition was either stand basal area or RBA, relative basal area. Plot was a random effect in all models. The analyses were performed on only those trees <70 cm diameter, where the growth response is approximately linear and positive. The global model, which included all three two-factor interactions, was clearly the best, given that models with a delta AIC > 10 have essentially no statistical support (Burnham and Anderson, 2002). K is the number of parameters in the model and percent deviance explained is relative to the null (intercept only) model. (n = 475,821).
Figure 4Trends in stand basal area (Stand BA), the 90th percentile of basal area (BA.90) and relative basal area (RBA) in relation to (A) mean annual temperature, and (B) the ratio of precipitation to evaporation (P.E). Standard errors are shown where larger than the symbol. Values are based on plot means, and for presentation are grouped into 2°—temperature classes and 0.4—P.E classes.
Figure 5Relationship between diameter growth and (A) stand basal area, and (B) relative basal area. Relative basal area was calculated as square root (stand basal area/the 90th percentile of basal area). The 90th percentile of basal area was estimated by quantile regression of growth as a function of water availability and mean annual temperature. Standard error bars are shown where larger than the symbol.
Figure 6Eucalypt diameter growth in relation to stand basal area, tree size, and climatic productivity category. (This is analogous to the left-hand graphs in Figure 7, except that stand BA has been substituted for relative basal area).
Figure 7Eucalypt diameter growth in relation to relative basal area, tree size, and climatic productivity category. Data for a representative species growing in the climatic productivity category is presented in the right hand column. There was statistical support for all interactions. Standard errors are shown where larger than the symbol.
Summary of effects on growth of climatic productivity, tree size, and our proxies for competition (stand BA and RBA), and their interactions, from linear mixed effects modeling.
| Climatic productivity | + | Best growth in most productive climates | ||
| Tree size | + | Large trees grow fastest | ||
| Competition | − | 8.0 | Growth declines with increasing competition, and is more closely linked to competition relative to its climatic potential than to absolute stand BA | |
| Climatic productivity × tree size | + | Large trees grow especially fast in the most productive climates, and are especially affected by unfavorable climates | ||
| Climatic productivity × competition | − | 0.05 | Adverse effect of competition on growth is greatest in the most productive climates. Best correlated with RBA, which reflects competition relative to climatic potential | |
| Tree size × competition | + | 0.8 | Asymmetric competition—adverse effect of competition on growth is weaker for large trees than for small ones, and more marked for absolute stand BA, which provides a better measure of shading than does RBA | |
| Climatic productivity × tree size × competition | + | <0.01 | Asymmetric competition is most pronounced in the most productive climates. Best correlated with RBA, which reflects competition relative to climatic potential | |
The direction of effects was the same for both competition proxies, but the magnitude differed, as shown by the % deviance explained (relative to the simpler model without that term). The better proxy for each term is shown in bold. There was statistical support for all effects listed (Table 3). Coefficients and standard errors of the key RBA models are listed in Table 5.
Coefficients and associated standard errors for the global model describing eucalypt growth in terms of climatic productivity, tree size, and competition, and their interactions.
| Intercept | 0.71 | 0.06 | 2.08 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.02 |
| Climatic productivity | 1.23 | 0.13 | −1.70 | 0.06 | 0.82 | 0.04 |
| l.DBH | −0.22 | 0.04 | −1.17 | 0.02 | 0.77 | 0.003 |
| RBA | 0.18 | 0.08 | −1.55 | 0.03 | −1.54 | 0.01 |
| Climatic productivity × l.DBH | 1.00 | 0.09 | 3.01 | 0.02 | ||
| Climatic productivity × RBA | −6.10 | 0.16 | −2.40 | 0.04 | ||
| l.DBH × RBA | −0.38 | 0.05 | 0.81 | 0.02 | ||
| Climatic productivity × l.DBH × RBA | 2.54 | 0.11 | ||||
Adding interaction terms can sometimes reverse the sign of coefficients (For example, DBH is positively correlated with growth, but when the climatic productivity by DBH interaction is added to the model, the sign of the main DBH effect becomes negative), so coefficients from simpler models are presented to indicate the direction of the main effects and two-factor interactions. The coefficients presented here are from models using only trees <70 cm diameter, for which the growth response is approximately log-linear; those based on the full dataset were similar. Tree diameter was log10-transformed.
Figure 8Relationship between growth sensitivity to stand BA (growth—stand BA slope) and climatic productivity, for eucalypts <30 cm diameter.