| Literature DB >> 24717625 |
Tim E A Peto1, Christopher P Conlon1, Timothy M Walker1, Maeve K Lalor1, Agnieszka Broda1, Luisa Saldana Ortega1, Marcus Morgan1, Lynne Parker1, Sheila Churchill1, Karen Bennett1, Tanya Golubchik1, Adam P Giess1, Carlos Del Ojo Elias1, Katie J Jeffery1, Ian C J W Bowler1, Ian F Laurenson1, Anne Barrett1, Francis Drobniewski1, Noel D McCarthy1, Laura F Anderson1, Ibrahim Abubakar1, H Lucy Thomas1, Philip Monk1, E Grace Smith1, A Sarah Walker1, Derrick W Crook1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Patients born outside the UK have contributed to a 20% rise in the UK's tuberculosis incidence since 2000, but their effect on domestic transmission is not known. Here we use whole-genome sequencing to investigate the epidemiology of tuberculosis transmission in an unselected population over 6 years.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 24717625 PMCID: PMC4571080 DOI: 10.1016/S2213-2600(14)70027-X
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Lancet Respir Med ISSN: 2213-2600 Impact factor: 30.700
Figure 1Flow chart of sample selection
*Three laboratory contaminants were identified previously and three by use of whole-genome sequencing.
Figure 2Country of birth of patients with tuberculosis in Oxfordshire, UK, 2007–12
Country of birth was not known for four patients. High and low incidences defined according to WHO. [14]
Figure 3Time interval between entry to the UK and diagnosis of tuberculosis
Data for year of entry to the UK were not available for 12 patients.
Figure 4Mean tuberculosis incidence in Oxfordshire (2007–12)
Map based on 383 of 384 cases: the postcode for one patient was unknown. Crown copyright and database rights 2013 Ordnance Survey 100016969.
Associations between country of birth and tuberculosis characteristics and epidemiological or genomic clustering
| Patients with data available | Patients born in low-incidence countries | Patients born in high-incidence countries | Odds ratio | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulmonary disease | 380 (99%) | 78/125 (62%) | 119/254 (47%) | 1·8 (1·2–2·9) | 0·009 |
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| Social risk factor | 261 (68%) | 23/87 (26%) | 13/174 (7%) | 4·4 (2·0–9·4) | <0·0001 |
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| Culture positive disease | 377 (98%) | 81/125 (65%) | 186/252 (74%) | 0·6 (0·4–0·99) | 0·045 |
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| Paediatric disease (age <18 years) | 384 (100%) | 16/125 (13%) | 8/255 (3%) | 4·8 (2·0–11·5) | 0·001 |
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| Epidemiological cluster | |||||
| All evaluable patients | 384 (100%) | 25/125 (20%) | 21/255 (8%) | 3·3 (1·7–6·3) | <0·0001 |
| Social risk factor data available (not adjusted for social risk factors) | 261 (68%) | 14/87 (16%) | 11/174 (6%) | 3·3 (1·4–7·8) | 0·006 |
| Social risk factor data available (adjusted for social risk factors) | 261 (68%) | 14/87 (16%) | 11/174 (6%) | 3·0 (1·2–7·2) | 0·016 |
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| Whole-genome-sequencing cluster | |||||
| All evaluable patients | 247 (64%) | 24/74 (32%) | 15/172 (9%) | 5·8 (2·7–12·4) | <0·0001 |
| Social risk factor data available (not adjusted for social risk factors) | 164 (43%) | 14/53 (26%) | 8/117 (7%) | 6·4 (2·2–18·8) | 0·001 |
| Social risk factor data available (adjusted for social risk factors) | 164 (43%) | 14/53 (26%) | 8/117 (7%) | 4·8 (1·6–14·8) | 0·006 |
Data are number (%) or n/N (%), unless otherwise indicated. Denominators were the numbers of patients for whom data were available for the variables that were being compared.
For low-incidence countries versus high-incidence countries of birth and calculated with multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for age and sex (just sex for children), and for social risk factors where indicated. Social risk factors are at least one of the following: homelessness, drug or alcohol misuse, or time spent in prison.
Figure 5All cases in Oxfordshire, UK, (2007–12) by incidence in country of birth, and by epidemiological and genomic clustering
Patients born in low-incidence countries are on the left and those born in high-incidence countries are on the right of the figure. Four patients whose country of birth was not known are at the bottom centre of the figure. Each shape (triangle or circle) represents a patient. Epidemiological clusters (E1–18) are circled in black and genetic links, shown as networks with edges representing the genetic distance, are circled in red. Edges in networks are red for distances within 12 SNPs. Genetic links of interest but greater than 12 SNPs are indicated by black dashed lines, representing the SNP distances. Patients in WGS clusters who are zero SNPs apart are indicated by shapes that abut each other, whereas distances of at least 1 SNP are quantified by the number of red lines (separated by small black nodes if >1 SNP) between patients. Epidemiological or WGS clusters that include patients born in low-incidence countries and patients born in high-incidence countries cross the central vertical line. SNP=single-nucleotide polymorphism. WGS=whole-genome sequencing.
Figure 6Minimum genetic distance between isolates
Figure 7Phylogenetic relations between whole-genome-sequencing clusters
Maximum likelihood tree of 13 clusters as ascertained with whole genome sequencing are represented by red circles. SNP distances are annotated on the branches. SNP=single-nucleotide polymorphism.