| Literature DB >> 24705282 |
Chien-Ya Hung1, Pei-Lun Sun2, Shu-Jen Chiang3, Fu-Shan Jaw1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Similar clinical appearances prevent accurate diagnosis of two common skin diseases, clavus and verruca. In this study, electrical impedance is employed as a novel tool to generate a predictive model for differentiating these two diseases.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2014 PMID: 24705282 PMCID: PMC3976310 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0093647
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Comparison of impedance data between clavus and verruca at 80
| Clavus | Verruca | Total |
| |
| Number of subjects | 15 | 14 | 29 | |
| Number of lesions | 29 | 28 | 57 | |
| Number of observations | 87 | 84 | 171 | |
|
| ||||
|
| 4.21±15.31 | 19.85±28.66 | 11.84±24.07 | 0.099 |
| 1.24 (0.17, 101) | 5.85 (0.80, 140) | 2.10 (0.17, 140.00) | ||
|
| 1874.58±2095.43 | 209.02±397.98 | 1061.63±1734.63 | <0.001 |
| 1153.50 (1.90, 10000) | 10.20 (0.74, 1559) | 307.50 (0.74, 10000) | ||
|
| 1280.19±1279.58 | 181.15±311.53 | 753.70±1094.39 | <0.001 |
| 873.90 (2.56, 5436) | 16.24 (0.73, 1063) | 357.30 (0.73, 5436) | ||
|
| −33.71±18.36 | −8.84±12.69 | −21.80±20.16 | <0.001 |
| −36.00 (−67.70, −0.81) | −2.36 (−53.90, −0.99) | −18.30 (−67.70, −0.81) | ||
|
| 1.34±0.55 | 1.02±0.36 | 1.19±0.49 | <0.001 |
| 1.38 (0.58, 3.18) | 0.90 (0.54, 1.80) | 1.10 (0.54, 3.18) | ||
|
| ||||
|
| −0.06±0.85 | 0.80±1.59 | 0.36±1.33 | 0.100 |
| −0.23 (−0.29, 5.30) | 0.03 (−0.25, 7.46) | −0.18 (−0.29, 7.46) | ||
|
| 1.11±1.74 | −0.27±0.33 | 0.43±1.44 | <0.001 |
| 0.51 (−0.45, 7.85) | −0.44 (−0.45, 0.85) | −0.19 (−0.45, 7.85) | ||
|
| 1.13±1.61 | −0.26±0.39 | 0.46±1.38 | <0.001 |
| 0.61 (−0.48, 6.35) | −0.46 (−0.48, 0.85) | −0.04 (−0.48, 6.35) | ||
|
| −0.33±0.88 | 0.87±0.61 | 0.24±0.97 | <0.001 |
| −0.44 (−1.96, 1.25) | 1.18 (−1.30, 1.24) | 0.41 (−1.96, 1.25) | ||
| log | 1.02±0.75 | −0.43±1.02 | 0.32±1.15 | <0.001 |
| 1.19 (−1.41, 2.01) | −0.58 (−1.96, 1.28) | 0.79 (−1.96, 2.01) | ||
| log | 0.22±0.39 | −0.04±0.34 | 0.09±0.39 | <0.001 |
| 0.32 (−0.54, 1.16) | −0.11 (−0.62, 0.59) | 0.10 (−0.62, 1.16) |
Notes: The measured variables, d, C, R, Z, and θ, indicate thickness, capacitance, resistance, impedance magnitude, and phase angle, respectively. The transformed variables, C, R, Z, and θ, signify standardized C, R, Z, and θ values, respectively. The transformed variables, log d and log Z denote logarithmized d value and standardized logarithmized Z value. The listed values were mean ± standard deviation (SD) on the upper row and median (range) on the lower one. All p-values of group comparisons are obtained by fitting univariate logistic regression models with the generalized estimating equations (GEE) method to account for the correlations between repeated measurements.
Figure 1Conditional box plots of the all five measured indices, stratified by clavus and verruca.
The lower edge, middle line, and upper edge of the box represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles of the distribution of the measured index, at 80 Hz. The box plots, A, B, C, D, and E, are for capacitance (C), resistance (R), impedance magnitude (Z), phase angle (θ) and thickness (d), respectively.
Figure 2The GAM plots of the predictors, log Z (A), θ (B), and log d (C) respectively.
The generalized additive models plots reveal the smoothed partial effects of the predictors in modeling the probability of being verruca. The distribution of the observed values of log Z, θ, and log d are shown by the rugs on the X-axes. The Y-axes are the logit of the estimated probability of being verruca (), i.e., log. The horizontal green line indicates the place where = 0.5.
Multivariate analysis of the predictors of verruca at 80(GEE) method.
| Covariate | Estimate regression coefficient | Robust Standard Error | Chi-Square test |
| Estimated Odds Ratio | 95% Confidence Interval of Odds Ratio |
| Intercept | −0.0198 | 0.5613 | 0.0012 | 0.9719 | - | - |
| log | −0.9008 | 0.5670 | 2.5245 | 0.1121 | 0.406 | 0.134-1.234 |
|
| 0.8347 | 0.7112 | 1.3773 | 0.2406 | 2.304 | 0.572-9.288 |
Goodness-of-fit assessment: Number of clusters = 57, number of observations = 166, the estimated area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve = 0.875>0.7, adjusted generalized R 2 = 0.512>0.3, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit F test p = 0.350>0.05 (df = 9, 156).
Prediction: To calculate the estimated probability of being verruca (i.e., the predicted value,) given the observed covariate values, one can use the following formula. According to the above fitted multiple logistic regression model
the predicted value of observation i is
where log Z = logarithmized standardized Z value, and θ = standardized θ value.
Figure 3The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve for the prediction of verruca.
The estimated area under the ROC curve (AUC) is 0.875.